Result
2:1
13/02/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Catarinense - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Vinicius Paulista 🟨,
- 34', Julio Cesar 🟨,
- 38', Yuri Sousa 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Danilo Matielo ↓, Keke ↑,
- 46', Julio Cesar ↓, Marquinhos Brazion ↑,
- 49', 1 - 0, Yuri Sousa ⚽,
- 51', Keke 🟨,
- 52', 2 - 0, Alex Henrique ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 1, Naldo ⚽,
- 57', 🟨,
- 58', Leo Herrero ↓, Mateus Mendes ↑,
- 58', Richard ↓, Alison ↑,
- 59', Davi Souza 🟨,
- 59', Yalle ↓, Joao Mafra ↑,
- 61', Yuri Sousa ↓, Filipe Fraga ↑,
- 78', Danilo Belao ↓, Ryan ↑,
- 80', Alison 🟨,
- 80', Gabriel Silva ↓, Dudu Silva ↑,
- 80', Alex Henrique ↓, Luizao ↑,
- 83', Lucas de Sa ↓, Neto A. ↑,
- 90+1', Marquinhos Brazion 🟨,
- 90+1', Luizao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hercílio Luz
38.1% | Draw
31.5% | Joinville
30.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hercílio Luz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Joinville has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hercílio Luz than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joinville than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Hercílio Luz - Joinville Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.67) |
2.9 ↑
(2.84) |
3 ↑
(2.62) |
9.5%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 9).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 3.
- Hercílio Luz has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Joinville is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Hercílio Luz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Hercílio Luz won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Hercílio Luz won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:7 (average 1.7:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hercílio Luz won against Joinville?
Hercílio Luz has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Joinville won against Hercílio Luz?
Joinville has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hercílio Luz - Joinville were as follows:
01.02.2024
Hercílio Luz
-
Joinville
1:1
22.10.2023
Hercílio Luz
-
Joinville
1:0
26.02.2023
Hercílio Luz
-
Joinville
1:0
Latest results of Hercílio Luz
Latest results of Joinville
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Brusque (4) | Chapecoense-SC (5) | 0 : 1 |
| 2 | Criciuma (1) | Joinville (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Santa Catarina (2) | Marcilio Dias (7) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Avai (3) | Figueirense (6) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Joinville (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Santa Catarina (2) | Avai (3) | 1 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Chapecoense-SC (5) | Avai (3) | 1 : 1, 2 : 2 |
