Hércules vs Alianza San Miguel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football El Salvador Primera Division Hércules - Alianza San Miguel
Result
2:5
16/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Apertura - Round 6
  • Where to Watch on TV:
el-salvadorEl-salvadorCanal 4

Match Stats

Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
610
Corner Kicks
105
Red Cards
11
Total shots
1014
Shots on target
610
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
105
Goalkeeper Saves
54

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Tobar L. ,
  • 27', 0 - 2, Sandoval G. ,
  • 40', 0 - 3, Canales W. ,
  • 41', 1 - 3, Flores C. N. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 4, Tobar L. ,
  • 64', Rivera R. 🟥,
  • 64', Jimenez J. 🟥,
  • 69', 1 - 5, Rodriguez A. ,
  • 83', 2 - 5, Posada C. ,

Chances of winning


Hércules
20%
Draw
32.1%
Alianza San Miguel
47.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.3% 35.5% 39.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 35.7% 39%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.
  • Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hércules - Alianza San Miguel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.76
    (3.6)
    2.97
    (2.57)
    1.99
    (2.33)
    5.1%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
    • Hércules is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Hércules may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Alianza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Hércules
    12.08.2025 Águila - Hércules 2:0
    10.08.2025 Zacatecoluca - Hércules 0:1
    30.07.2025 Hércules - Xelajú 0:2
    El Salvador Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FAS861122:61619
    2Luis Angel Firpo852116:7917
    3Metapan843112:8415
    4Aguila74216:3314
    5Alianza FC733113:9412
    6Cacahuatique832313:11211
    7Municipal Limeno831413:15-210
    8Hercules822410:19-98
    9Fuerte San Francisco81434:14-107
    10Platense Municipal80626:8-26
    11Inter F.A80447:14-74
    12Zacatecoluca81073:11-83

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )