Result
2:5
16/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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El-salvador | Canal 4 |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
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6 | 10 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Total shots |
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10 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 10 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
10 | 5 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Tobar L. ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 2, Sandoval G. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 3, Canales W. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 3, Flores C. N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 4, Tobar L. ⚽,
- 64', Rivera R. 🟥,
- 64', Jimenez J. 🟥,
- 69', 1 - 5, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 5, Posada C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hércules 20% | Draw 32.1% | Alianza San Miguel 47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hércules - Alianza San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.76 ↑ (3.6) |
2.97 ↑ (2.57) |
1.99 ↓ (2.33) |
5.1% (9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Hércules is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hércules may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alianza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Alianza San Miguel?
Hércules has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Hércules?
Alianza San Miguel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Alianza San Miguel were as follows:
Latest results of Hércules
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FAS | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 19 |
2 | Luis Angel Firpo | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16:7 | 9 | 17 |
3 | Metapan | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 15 |
4 | Aguila | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Alianza FC | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Cacahuatique | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:11 | 2 | 11 |
7 | Municipal Limeno | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | -2 | 10 |
8 | Hercules | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10:19 | -9 | 8 |
9 | Fuerte San Francisco | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4:14 | -10 | 7 |
10 | Platense Municipal | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
11 | Inter F.A | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
12 | Zacatecoluca | 8 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 3:11 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )