Result
2:5
16/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Division - Apertura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 El-salvador | Canal 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 6', 0 - 1, Tobar L. ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 2, Sandoval G. ⚽,
- 40', 0 - 3, Canales W. ⚽,
- 41', 1 - 3, Flores C. N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 47', 1 - 4, Tobar L. ⚽,
- 64', Rivera R. 🟥,
- 64', Jimenez J. 🟥,
- 69', 1 - 5, Rodriguez A. ⚽,
- 83', 2 - 5, Posada C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Hércules
20% | Draw
32.1% | Alianza San Miguel
47.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hércules's form might have worsened.Alianza San Miguel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alianza San Miguel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hércules, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alianza San Miguel than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alianza San Miguel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hércules - Alianza San Miguel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.76 ↑
(3.6) |
2.97 ↑
(2.57) |
1.99 ↓
(2.33) |
5.1%
(9.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )).
- Hércules is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Alianza has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Hércules may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Alianza is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Alianza San Miguel?
Hércules has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alianza San Miguel won against Hércules?
Alianza San Miguel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Alianza San Miguel were as follows:
Latest results of Hércules
Latest results of Alianza San Miguel
El Salvador Primera Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Luis Angel Firpo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:10 | 13 | 27 |
| 2 | Alianza FC | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 21:11 | 10 | 27 |
| 3 | FAS | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 30:14 | 16 | 24 |
| 4 | Cacahuatique | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 18:12 | 6 | 19 |
| 5 | Metapan | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | 1 | 18 |
| 6 | Platense Municipal | 12 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 16 |
| 7 | Municipal Limeno | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:21 | -4 | 14 |
| 8 | Aguila | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 8:13 | -5 | 14 |
| 9 | Fuerte San Francisco | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6:17 | -11 | 10 |
| 10 | Inter F.A | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
| 11 | Zacatecoluca | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6:14 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Hercules | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:27 | -15 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
