Hércules vs Peña Deportiva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3 Hércules - Peña Deportiva
Result
5:1
21/04/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 32

Match Stats

Red Cards
01
Yellow Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Coscia A. ,
  • 23', 2 - 0, Coscia A. ,
  • 45', 3 - 0, Alvarito ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 70', 4 - 0, Mendes M. ,
  • 84', 4 - 1, Tovar J. ,
  • 86', Chica S. 🟨,
  • 90', 5 - 1, Dapaah S. ,

Chances of winning


Hércules
63.8%
Draw
22.3%
Peña Deportiva
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57% 25.2% 17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 24.5% 17.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hércules's performance.
  • Peña Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hércules that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peña Deportiva than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Hércules - Peña Deportiva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.45
    (1.62)
    4.14
    (3.67)
    6.63
    (5.19)
    8.3%
    (8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 12).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hércules won 3.
    • Hércules is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Peña Deportiva is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • In this match Hércules is indisputable favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Hércules to win the game is with odds 1.39.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Hércules won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10-7.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hércules won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Peña Deportiva were as follows:
    10.12.2023 Peña Deportiva - Hércules 1:5
    12.03.2023 Peña Deportiva - Hércules 2:0
    23.10.2022 Hércules - Peña Deportiva 2:1
    Latest results of Hércules
    14.04.2024 Manresa - Hércules 0:1
    30.03.2024 Alzira - Hércules 0:1
    24.03.2024 Hércules - Terrassa 1:1
    16.03.2024 La Nucía - Hércules 0:0
    Latest results of Peña Deportiva
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1SD LogronesCD Estepona1 : 2, 1 : 1
    2CacerenoReal Avila2 : 0, 0 : 2
    3BalearesTeruel2 : 5, 1 : 1
    4NumanciaGetafe B0 : 1, 2 : 0
    5Union MalacitanoTorrent0 : 2, 1 : 2
    6CF TalaveraUtebo FC5 : 2, 0 : 1
    7Eibar BSabadell0 : 1, 1 : 1
    8UCAM MurciaDep. Fabril3 : 1, 0 : 0
    9Sant AndreuRayo Majadahonda1 : 2, 0 : 0
    10Real AvilesAntoniano2 : 2, 0 : 0

    Final
    1CD EsteponaCacereno2 : 5, 1 : 0
    2TeruelNumancia1 : 0, 0 : 0
    3TorrentCF Talavera0 : 2, 1 : 1
    4SabadellUCAM Murcia0 : 0, 2 : 1
    5Rayo MajadahondaReal Aviles0 : 4, 0 : 2