Result
1:1
11/01/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 19
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | A Punt, Footballclub, LaLiga+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Bustos A. ⚽,
- 26', Mangada C. 🟨,
- 30', Rentero J. 🟨,
- 39', Perez H. ↓, Jaso Zunzarren A. ↑,
- 45', Ropero U. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Mangada C. ↓, Colomina R. ↑,
- 54', Bustos A. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
- 61', Colomina R. 🟨,
- 69', Ropero U. ↓, Rojas C. ↑,
- 69', Espinosa N. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
- 73', Bosilj D. ↓, Jorquera Romero J. ↑,
- 73', Zenitagoia E. ↓, Antonio David ↑,
- 81', Ben Hamed N. ↓, Aranda A. ↑,
- 81', Puch Herrantz M. ↓, Slavy ↑,
- 88', 1 - 1, Vazquez S. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Real Murcia
48.4% | Draw
30.2% | Hércules
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Murcia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Real Murcia - Hércules Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.83) |
3.01 ↑
(3) |
4.22 ↓
(4.33) |
10%
(11.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Murcia is a strong favorite.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Murcia won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:25. (average 0.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Murcia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Hércules?
Real Murcia has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Real Murcia?
Hércules has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Real Murcia - Hércules were as follows:
02.08.2025
Hércules
-
Real Murcia
1:0
18.01.2025
Real Murcia
-
Hércules
1:0
21.09.2024
Hércules
-
Real Murcia
2:0
17.08.2024
Hércules
-
Real Murcia
2:1
Latest results of Real Murcia
Latest results of Hércules
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Sabadell | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 33:14 | 19 | 47 |
| 2 | Atl. Madrid B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 37:25 | 12 | 44 |
| 3 | CE Europa | 26 | 10 | 11 | 5 | 36:28 | 8 | 41 |
| 4 | Eldense | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Cartagena SAD | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 38 |
| 6 | Teruel | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 20:21 | -1 | 38 |
| 7 | Villarreal B | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 33:22 | 11 | 37 |
| 8 | Antequera | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Algeciras | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Alcorcon | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 36 |
| 11 | Hercules | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 30:30 | 0 | 36 |
| 12 | UD Ibiza | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 27:24 | 3 | 35 |
| 13 | Tarazona | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 22:25 | -3 | 33 |
| 14 | Gimnastic | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:34 | -4 | 33 |
| 15 | Murcia | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 24:25 | -1 | 32 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 33:35 | -2 | 32 |
| 17 | Sanluqueno | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 18 | Betis B | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 25:41 | -16 | 22 |
| 19 | Sevilla FC B | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 13:25 | -12 | 21 |
| 20 | Marbella | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 19:32 | -13 | 21 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
