Result
2:0
15/03/2026 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | Footballclub, LaLiga+, Movistar Plus+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 27', Vazquez S. 🟨,
- 37', Gil O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', Garcia H. J. 🟨,
- 55', Aranda A. ↓, Sergio G. F. ↑,
- 55', Sol F. ↓, Toril A. ↑,
- 64', 1 - 0, Toril A. ⚽,
- 67', 🟨,
- 69', Yoldi A. ↓, Juan Carlos ↑,
- 69', Bosilj D. ↓, Ortuno J. ↑,
- 77', Jorquera Romero J. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
- 78', Escudero A. ↓, De Leon J. ↑,
- 78', Calavera J. ↓, Mangada C. ↑,
- 82', 🟨,
- 82', Gil O. ↓, Gomez I. ↑,
- 82', Narro V. ↓, Benito P. A. P. ↑,
- 83', Benito P. A. P. 🟨,
- 85', 2 - 0, Toril A. ⚽,
- 87', 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hércules
40.8% | Draw
30.9% | Real Murcia
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hércules has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Real Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Hércules - Real Murcia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↑
(2.11) |
2.95 ↑
(2.8) |
3.27 ↓
(3.65) |
9%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Hércules - Real Murcia?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 3.
- Recent performances by Hércules have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Murcia's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Murcia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Hércules might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hércules won 11 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:17. (average 1.3:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hércules won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:8. (average 1.7:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Hércules won against Real Murcia?
Hércules has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Real Murcia won against Hércules?
Real Murcia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hércules - Real Murcia were as follows:
11.01.2026
Real Murcia
-
Hércules
1:1
02.08.2025
Hércules
-
Real Murcia
1:0
18.01.2025
Real Murcia
-
Hércules
1:0
21.09.2024
Hércules
-
Real Murcia
2:0
17.08.2024
Hércules
-
Real Murcia
2:1
Latest results of Hércules
Latest results of Real Murcia
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Eldense | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 47:29 | 18 | 59 |
| 2 | Sabadell | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 44:20 | 24 | 58 |
| 3 | Atl. Madrid B | 32 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 52:34 | 18 | 57 |
| 4 | Villarreal B | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 44:26 | 18 | 51 |
| 5 | CE Europa | 32 | 13 | 11 | 8 | 44:40 | 4 | 50 |
| 6 | FC Cartagena SAD | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 49 |
| 7 | Teruel | 32 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 25:26 | -1 | 46 |
| 8 | Algeciras | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 45 |
| 9 | Alcorcon | 32 | 10 | 14 | 8 | 33:29 | 4 | 44 |
| 10 | Hercules | 32 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 35:36 | -1 | 44 |
| 11 | UD Ibiza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34:31 | 3 | 43 |
| 12 | Murcia | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 30:32 | -2 | 42 |
| 13 | Antequera | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 37:39 | -2 | 41 |
| 14 | Tarazona | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 29:34 | -5 | 40 |
| 15 | Gimnastic | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 35:41 | -6 | 40 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 38:42 | -4 | 39 |
| 17 | Betis B | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:52 | -15 | 32 |
| 18 | Sanluqueno | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:43 | -18 | 29 |
| 19 | Marbella | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 28:43 | -15 | 28 |
| 20 | Sevilla FC B | 32 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 16:35 | -19 | 23 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga2
Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Group 1
Relegation
