Herediano vs Alajuelense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Costa Rican Primera Division Herediano - Alajuelense
Result
1:3
16/10/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera Division - Apertura - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
89
Shots on target
34
Corner Kicks
43
Yellow Cards
63
Total shots
89
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
55
Corner Kicks
43
Offsides
22
Fouls
1714

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Cisneros R. ,
  • 17', Roman Y. , Vargas K. ,
  • 27', Parkins R. 🟨,
  • 29', Aguilar E. 🟨,
  • 41', Rubio B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Mclean K. , Quiros H. ,
  • 46', Rubio B. , Araya R. ,
  • 47', 1 - 1, Araya R. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Cisneros R. ,
  • 61', Navarro J. , Bravo E. ,
  • 61', Matarrita R. 🟨,
  • 62', Lucumi J. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 63', Hernandez M. 🟨,
  • 70', Hernandez M. , Montenegro J. ,
  • 73', Michel K. , Perez C. ,
  • 73', Cisneros R. , Campos D. ,
  • 85', Brown K. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 3, Campbell J. (Pen),
  • 88', Gamboa A. 🟨,
  • 90', Campbell J. , Bran Flores A. J. ,
  • 90+5', Vargas K. 🟨,
  • 90+6', Araya R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Herediano
32%
Draw
31.1%
Alajuelense
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.7% 28.2% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7% 28.9% 32.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Herediano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Herediano's form might have worsened.
  • Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herediano than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Herediano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Herediano - Alajuelense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.17
    (2.39)
    3.17
    (3.28)
    2.57
    (2.79)
    2%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Herediano - Alajuelense?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. It will Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 2.
    • Recent form of Herediano has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Alajuelense's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Herediano won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Herediano won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:6. (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Herediano - Alajuelense were as follows:
    10.08.2025 Alajuelense - Herediano 0:1
    20.07.2025 Herediano - Alajuelense 0:1
    28.05.2025 Herediano - Alajuelense 1:0
    25.05.2025 Alajuelense - Herediano 0:0
    08.03.2025 Herediano - Alajuelense 1:2
    Latest results of Herediano
    Latest results of Alajuelense
    30.09.2025 Motagua - Alajuelense 1:2
    23.09.2025 Alajuelense - Motagua 0:1
    20.09.2025 Guadalupe - Alajuelense 0:0
    16.09.2025 Alajuelense - San Carlos 2:0
    Costa Rican Primera Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Alajuelense1383219:91027
    2Saprissa1482425:17826
    3Liberia1465317:14323
    4Cartagines1355314:8620
    5Zeledon1445518:19-117
    6Puntarenas FC1437416:18-216
    7Herediano1444614:19-516
    8Sporting San Jose1435615:16-114
    9Guadalupe1427514:21-713
    10San Carlos1433812:23-1112

          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)