Mateus Alves vs Hernan Casanova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Bogota Challenger Men Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova
Result
1:2
13/05/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
104
Double Faults
55
1st Serve Percentage
55%50%
1st Serve Points Won
77% (41/53)71% (37/52)
2nd Serve Points Won
41% (18/44)51% (26/51)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
29% (15/52)23% (12/53)
2nd Return Points Won
49% (25/51)59% (26/44)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
61% (59/97)61% (63/103)
Return Points Won
39% (40/103)39% (38/97)
Total Points Won
50% (99/200)51% (101/200)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
75% (12/16)69% (11/16)
Return Games Won
31% (5/16)25% (4/16)
Total Games Won
53% (17/32)47% (15/32)

Chances of winning


Mateus Alves
60.1%
Hernan Casanova
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 46.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3% 47.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mateus Alves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mateus Alves's performance.
  • Hernan Casanova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hernan Casanova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mateus Alves than the current prediction. (-7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mateus Alves that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hernan Casanova than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hernan Casanova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.55
    (1.74)

    2.35
    (1.99)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    What is the prediction for Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alves will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Casanova will win (votes: 3 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Alves is ranked ATP: 322. Casanova is ranked ATP: 503.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Alves may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alves won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mateus Alves - Hernan Casanova were as follows:
    02.05.2023 Hernan Casanova - Mateus Alves 0:2
    Latest results of Mateus Alves
    Latest results of Hernan Casanova
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Bertran P.2 : 0
    2Rodrigues P. (Q)Roncadelli F.2 : 0
    3Kuzuhara B.Rodriguez L. J.0 : 2
    4Monzon I. (Q)Alvarez Varona N. (5)0 : 2
    5McCormick T. (LL)Aboian L.1 : 2
    6Gomez J. S. (Q)Barreiros Reyes M. (Q)0 : 2
    7Cid Subervi R.Pannu K.2 : 0
    8Price S. (WC)Sakamoto P. (7)0 : 2
    9Alves M. (6)Casanova H.1 : 2
    10Nunez D. A. (Q)Tobon M. (WC)1 : 2
    11Soriano Barrera A.Heredia S. (WC)2 : 1
    12Kolar Z.Sell K. (3)2 : 1
    13Olivo R. (8)Kypson P.0 : 2
    14Huertas Del Pino Cordova A. (PR)Rodriguez J. A. (Q)1 : 2
    15Boscardin Dias P.Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    16Ejupovic E.Soto M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Mejia N. (1)Rodrigues P.1 : 2
    2Rodriguez L. J.Alvarez Varona N. (5)0 : 2
    3Aboian L.Barreiros Reyes M.0 : 2
    4Cid Subervi R.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    5Casanova H.Tobon M.2 : 0
    6Soriano Barrera A.Kolar Z.0 : 2
    7Kypson P.Rodriguez J. A.2 : 0
    8Boscardin Dias P.Ejupovic E.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Rodrigues P.Alvarez Varona N. (5)2 : 0
    2Barreiros Reyes M.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    3Casanova H.Kolar Z.2 : 1
    4Kypson P.Ejupovic E.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rodrigues P.Sakamoto P. (7)1 : 2
    2Casanova H.Kypson P.1 : 2

    Final
    1Sakamoto P. (7)Kypson P.0 : 2