Hershey Bears vs Lehigh Valley Phantoms – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms
Result
4:2
11/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2221
Shooting PCT
18.18% (4/22)9.52% (2/21)
Goalkeeper Saves
1918
Saves PCT
90.48% (19/21)85.71% (18/21)
Penalties
36
PIM
620
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)100% (6/6)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 05:19, 1 - 0, Smallman S. (G), Limoges A. (A), Lapierre H. (A2)
  • 16:13, 2 - 0, Sutter R. (G), Strome M. (A), Philp L. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 13:09, 3 - 0, Sutter R. (G), Roe G. (A), Massie J. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 2)
  • 02:08, 3 - 1, Richard A. (G), Andrae E. (A),
  • 14:03, 3 - 2, McDonald H. (G), Luchanko J. (A), Belpedio L. (A2)
  • 18:20, 4 - 2, Trineev B. (G),

Chances of winning


Hershey Bears
44.9%
Draw
23.4%
Lehigh Valley Phantoms
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 23.6% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8% 24% 30.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Lehigh Valley Phantoms has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lehigh Valley Phantoms than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.04)
    3.94
    (3.9)
    2.94
    (2.93)
    7.7%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • What is the prediction for Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hershey (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Series tied 2-2. 5th leg.
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 2.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hershey won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 60:51. (average 3:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hershey won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:21. (average 3.2:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms were as follows:
    09.05.2025 Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears 4:6
    04.05.2025 Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears 4:2
    02.05.2025 Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 1:3
    30.04.2025 Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3:0
    19.04.2025 Hershey Bears - Lehigh Valley Phantoms 3:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Bye
    2Toronto Marlies (4)Cleveland Monsters (5)0 : 2
    3Rochester Americans (2)Bye
    4ByeSyracuse Crunch (3)
    5Hershey Bears (1)Bye
    6Wilkes-Barre/Scranton (4)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)0 : 2
    7Charlotte Checkers (2)Bye
    8Providence Bruins (3)Springfield Thunderbirds (6)2 : 1
    9Colorado Eagles (1)Bye
    10Ontario Reign (3)San Jose Barracuda (6)0 : 2
    11Abbotsford Canucks (2)Tucson Roadrunners (7)2 : 1
    12Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)Calgary Wranglers (5)2 : 0
    13Milwaukee Admirals (1)Bye
    14Chicago Wolves (4)Rockford IceHogs (5)0 : 2
    15Texas Stars (2)Bye
    16ByeGrand Rapids Griffins (3)

    1/8-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Cleveland Monsters (5)3 : 1
    2Rochester Americans (2)Syracuse Crunch (3)3 : 0
    3Hershey Bears (1)Lehigh Valley Phantoms (5)3 : 2
    4Charlotte Checkers (2)Providence Bruins (3)3 : 2
    5Colorado Eagles (1)San Jose Barracuda (6)3 : 1
    6Abbotsford Canucks (2)Coachella Valley Firebirds (4)3 : 1
    7Milwaukee Admirals (1)Rockford IceHogs (5)3 : 2
    8Texas Stars (2)Grand Rapids Griffins (3)3 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Rochester Americans (2)3 : 2
    2Hershey Bears (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 3
    3Colorado Eagles (1)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 3
    4Milwaukee Admirals (1)Texas Stars (2)2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Laval Rocket (1)Charlotte Checkers (2)0 : 4
    2Abbotsford Canucks (2)Texas Stars (2)4 : 2

    Final
    1Charlotte Checkers (2)Abbotsford Canucks (2)2 : 4