Providence Bruins vs Hershey Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
08/03/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4128
Shooting PCT
12.2% (5/41)14.29% (4/28)
Goalkeeper Saves
2436
Saves PCT
85.71% (24/28)87.8% (36/41)
Penalties
37
PIM
614
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
28.57% (2/7)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)71.43% (5/7)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:55, 1 - 0, Abate J. (G), Sweezey B. (A), DiPietro M. (A2)
  • 06:13, 1 - 1, Smith D. (G), Belpedio L. (A), Cruikshank G. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:07, 2 - 1, Wolanin C. (G), Poitras M. (A), Merkulov G. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 3)
  • 06:29, 3 - 1, Blumel M. (G), Brown P. (A), Tufte R. (A2)
  • 07:29, 3 - 2, Trineyev B. (G), Protas I. (A), Chesley R. (A2)
  • 12:00, 3 - 3, Protas I. (G), Chesley R. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)
  • 16:08, 3 - 4, Protas I. (G), Trineyev B. (A),
  • 17:10, 4 - 4, Schmaltz J. (G), Lysell F. (A), Soderstrom V. (A2)
  • 19:13, 5 - 4, Tufte R. (G), Poitras M. (A),

Chances of winning


Providence Bruins
48.3%
Draw
22.5%
Hershey Bears
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 24.4% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 26.6% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Providence Bruins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.06)
    4.08
    (3.75)
    3.19
    (2.92)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
    • Providence is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hershey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Providence is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 46:46. (average 2.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.2:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 1:4
    10.12.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 1:3
    01.11.2025 Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears 0:2
    05.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 5:1
    04.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 4:3
    Latest results of Hershey Bears
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins553211111182:11887
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears57206823164:17760
    5Bridgeport Islanders57204825170:17856
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms56168626166:18854
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves532171213172:16768
    3Manitoba Moose51224619132:14358
    4Texas Stars54189423162:17158
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign56299216190:15178
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds55219520184:17065
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights532131019174:16858
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers571091424152:20852
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch56323417184:13674
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies56207920176:18063
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets56173927144:17949

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )