Providence Bruins vs Hershey Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
08/03/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4128
Shooting PCT
12.2% (5/41)14.29% (4/28)
Goalkeeper Saves
2436
Saves PCT
85.71% (24/28)87.8% (36/41)
Penalties
37
PIM
614
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
28.57% (2/7)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)71.43% (5/7)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:55, 1 - 0, Abate J. (G), Sweezey B. (A), DiPietro M. (A2)
  • 06:13, 1 - 1, Smith D. (G), Belpedio L. (A), Cruikshank G. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:07, 2 - 1, Wolanin C. (G), Poitras M. (A), Merkulov G. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 3)
  • 06:29, 3 - 1, Blumel M. (G), Brown P. (A), Tufte R. (A2)
  • 07:29, 3 - 2, Trineyev B. (G), Protas I. (A), Chesley R. (A2)
  • 12:00, 3 - 3, Protas I. (G), Chesley R. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)
  • 16:08, 3 - 4, Protas I. (G), Trineyev B. (A),
  • 17:10, 4 - 4, Schmaltz J. (G), Lysell F. (A), Soderstrom V. (A2)
  • 19:13, 5 - 4, Tufte R. (G), Poitras M. (A),

Chances of winning


Providence Bruins
48.3%
Draw
22.5%
Hershey Bears
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 24.4% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 26.6% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Providence Bruins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.06)
    4.08
    (3.75)
    3.19
    (2.92)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
    • Providence is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hershey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Providence is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 46:46. (average 2.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.2:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 1:4
    10.12.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 1:3
    01.11.2025 Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears 0:2
    05.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 5:1
    04.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 4:3
    Latest results of Hershey Bears
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )