Providence Bruins vs Hershey Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
08/03/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
4128
Shooting PCT
12.2% (5/41)14.29% (4/28)
Goalkeeper Saves
2436
Saves PCT
85.71% (24/28)87.8% (36/41)
Penalties
37
PIM
614
Power-play Goals
21
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
28.57% (2/7)33.33% (1/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
66.67% (2/3)71.43% (5/7)
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:55, 1 - 0, Abate J. (G), Sweezey B. (A), DiPietro M. (A2)
  • 06:13, 1 - 1, Smith D. (G), Belpedio L. (A), Cruikshank G. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 0)
  • 04:07, 2 - 1, Wolanin C. (G), Poitras M. (A), Merkulov G. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 3)
  • 06:29, 3 - 1, Blumel M. (G), Brown P. (A), Tufte R. (A2)
  • 07:29, 3 - 2, Trineyev B. (G), Protas I. (A), Chesley R. (A2)
  • 12:00, 3 - 3, Protas I. (G), Chesley R. (A), Trineyev B. (A2)
  • 16:08, 3 - 4, Protas I. (G), Trineyev B. (A),
  • 17:10, 4 - 4, Schmaltz J. (G), Lysell F. (A), Soderstrom V. (A2)
  • 19:13, 5 - 4, Tufte R. (G), Poitras M. (A),

Chances of winning


Providence Bruins
48.3%
Draw
22.5%
Hershey Bears
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.3% 24.4% 31.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7% 26.6% 34.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Providence Bruins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Hershey Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Providence Bruins than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Providence Bruins that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (2.06)
    4.08
    (3.75)
    3.19
    (2.92)
    7.8%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Providence won 2.
    • Providence is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Hershey has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Providence is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Providence won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 46:46. (average 2.3:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Providence won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.2:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears were as follows:
    12.12.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 1:4
    10.12.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 1:3
    01.11.2025 Providence Bruins - Hershey Bears 0:2
    05.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 5:1
    04.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Providence Bruins 4:3
    Latest results of Hershey Bears
    AHL Table
    Main

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 724113216239:162110
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 72406917243:186101
    3Charlotte Checkers ✔ 71349523234:18691
    4Bridgeport Islanders72277830219:22276
    5Springfield Thunderbirds72284832207:24072
    6Hershey Bears71256931205:22671
    7Lehigh Valley Phantoms712110634209:24368
    8Hartford Wolf Pack72224838190:25360


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 71438515251:153107
    2Chicago Wolves ✔ 712691521220:21785
    3Texas Stars ✔ 72289629222:22880
    4Manitoba Moose ✔ 72296829185:21678
    5Milwaukee Admirals ✔ 711913732205:21671
    6Iowa Wild72207936179:22663
    7Rockford IceHogs72208539196:24561


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign ✔ 723611520237:18799
    2Colorado Eagles ✔ 723291120237:19893
    3Henderson Silver Knights ✔ 723451221263:22590
    4Coachella Valley Firebirds ✔ 712813624233:21488
    5Bakersfield Condors ✔ 722981223244:23686
    6San Jose Barracuda ✔ 723010428243:23084
    7San Diego Gulls ✔ 722761227224:22878
    8Tucson Roadrunners7221131028230:23978
    9Abbotsford Canucks71198737169:23261
    10Calgary Wranglers721491534203:26961


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 712912822231:19690
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 72383724237:18989
    3Cleveland Monsters ✔ 712313926211:22381
    4Toronto Marlies ✔ 712781026225:22680
    5Utica Comets722641131199:22071
    6Rochester Americans71229931210:23071
    7Belleville Senators72217935223:26265

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Charlotte Checkers is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Chicago Wolves is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Texas Stars is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Manitoba Moose is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Milwaukee Admirals is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Ontario Reign is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Colorado Eagles is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Henderson Silver Knights is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Coachella Valley Firebirds is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Bakersfield Condors is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Jose Barracuda is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    San Diego Gulls is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Cleveland Monsters is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Toronto Marlies is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )