Rochester Americans vs Hershey Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey AHL
Result
3:1
30/01/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2923
Shooting PCT
10.34% (3/29)4.35% (1/23)
Goalkeeper Saves
2226
Saves PCT
95.65% (22/23)92.86% (26/28)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:34, 1 - 0, Tischke P. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:32, 1 - 1, McDonald J. (G),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:57, 2 - 1, Rosen I. (G),
  • 19:28, 3 - 1, Wahlberg A. (G),

Chances of winning


Rochester Americans
41.3%		Draw
23%		Hershey Bears
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 23.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 25% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Hershey Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
    •

    Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.22 ↑
    (2.11)    		 3.99 ↑
    (3.8)    		 2.6 ↓
    (2.75)    		 8.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Rochester (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 54:53. (average 2.7:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears were as follows:
    28.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 1:3
    09.11.2025 Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans 2:1
    19.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans 5:4
    22.11.2024 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 4:3
    24.02.2024 Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans 2:1
    Latest results of Rochester Americans
    28.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 1:3
    24.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Cleveland Monsters 1:2
    23.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Utica Comets 3:0
    19.01.2026 Syracuse Crunch - Rochester Americans 3:2
    17.01.2026 Utica Comets - Rochester Americans 3:0
    Latest results of Hershey Bears
    28.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 1:3
    24.01.2026 Lehigh Valley Phantoms - Hershey Bears 4:3 ✺
    23.01.2026 Hershey Bears - Wilkes-Barre Scranton Penguins 3:4 ✺
    20.01.2026 Hershey Bears - Hartford Wolf Pack 4:5
    18.01.2026 Charlotte Checkers - Hershey Bears 4:3
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins ✔ 633712113215:14099
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton ✔ 64346816207:16988
    3Charlotte Checkers64308521212:17481
    4Hershey Bears64226927185:20765
    5Bridgeport Islanders64226828190:19964
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms64199630191:21662
    7Springfield Thunderbirds63233829175:21760
    8Hartford Wolf Pack63204732169:21655


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins ✔ 64388513217:13797
    2Chicago Wolves622281319193:19873
    3Texas Stars63239427193:20468
    4Manitoba Moose62264626152:17866
    5Milwaukee Admirals621711727178:18363
    6Rockford IceHogs63187533174:20955
    7Iowa Wild61166831149:19152


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign65329519211:17787
    2Colorado Eagles632981016210:16684
    3San Jose Barracuda62299420217:18780
    4Bakersfield Condors632681019213:19878
    5Henderson Silver Knights642941120230:20177
    6Coachella Valley Firebirds622412521210:18977
    7San Diego Gulls632361222191:19570
    8Tucson Roadrunners631812924202:21169
    9Calgary Wranglers651191431178:24554
    10Abbotsford Canucks65158636151:22052


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket ✔ 662811720211:17585
    2Syracuse Crunch ✔ 64363520214:16483
    3Toronto Marlies642571022206:20074
    4Cleveland Monsters642013724189:19873
    5Rochester Americans61216925188:19363
    6Belleville Senators65196931203:23459
    7Utica Comets63204930168:20157

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Providence Bruins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Wilkes-Barre/Scranton is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Grand Rapids Griffins is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Laval Rocket is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
    Syracuse Crunch is Qualified for AHL (Play Offs )
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