Rochester Americans vs Hershey Bears – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
30/01/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaFlohockey

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2923
Shooting PCT
10.34% (3/29)4.35% (1/23)
Goalkeeper Saves
2226
Saves PCT
95.65% (22/23)92.86% (26/28)
Penalties
44
PIM
88
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/4)0% (0/4)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (4/4)100% (4/4)
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 03:34, 1 - 0, Tischke P. (G),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 04:32, 1 - 1, McDonald J. (G),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:57, 2 - 1, Rosen I. (G),
  • 19:28, 3 - 1, Wahlberg A. (G),

Chances of winning


Rochester Americans
41.3%
Draw
23%
Hershey Bears
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 23.9% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2% 25% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rochester Americans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Hershey Bears has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochester Americans than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hershey Bears than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.22
    (2.11)
    3.99
    (3.8)
    2.6
    (2.75)
    8.7%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Rochester (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 1.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rochester won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 54:53. (average 2.7:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rochester won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:30. (average 2.9:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears were as follows:
    28.01.2026 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 1:3
    09.11.2025 Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans 2:1
    19.01.2025 Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans 5:4
    22.11.2024 Rochester Americans - Hershey Bears 4:3
    24.02.2024 Hershey Bears - Rochester Americans 2:1
    Latest results of Rochester Americans
    AHL Table
    2025/26

    Atlantic Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Providence Bruins543111111177:11485
    2Wilkes-Barre/Scranton57315714189:15079
    3Charlotte Checkers56267518188:15771
    4Hershey Bears56206822160:17260
    5Bridgeport Islanders56194825165:17454
    6Lehigh Valley Phantoms55168625162:18354
    7Springfield Thunderbirds56193727151:19651
    8Hartford Wolf Pack55184627149:18550


    Central Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Grand Rapids Griffins5636749196:11190
    2Chicago Wolves522171113166:16067
    3Manitoba Moose50214619131:14356
    4Texas Stars53188423155:16556
    5Milwaukee Admirals54148725152:16551
    6Rockford IceHogs56155432152:19444
    7Iowa Wild54136530126:17043


    Pacific Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Ontario Reign55289216188:15076
    2Colorado Eagles55267814178:13974
    3San Jose Barracuda54259416188:16472
    4Bakersfield Condors572281017192:17870
    5Coachella Valley Firebirds54209520180:16963
    6San Diego Gulls552051218164:16162
    7Henderson Silver Knights522131018173:16658
    8Tucson Roadrunners551312822171:18258
    9Calgary Wranglers561091423151:20452
    10Abbotsford Canucks57138630132:19148


    North Division
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Laval Rocket592610518192:15777
    2Syracuse Crunch55313417180:13572
    3Cleveland Monsters561713719164:16767
    4Toronto Marlies55207919176:17963
    5Rochester Americans54195921166:16857
    6Belleville Senators58166828181:21452
    7Utica Comets55173926143:17549

          Promotion ~ AHL (Play Offs: )