Result
4:1
05/03/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 23
- Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
63% | Draw
21.8% | Hertha Berlin
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.55) |
4.4 ↑
(4.26) |
6.24 ↑
(5.72) |
4.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 63.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- Bayer has the most likely position - 9 (19.56%), has project points - 46, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Hertha has the most likely position - 15 (18.15%), has project points - 33, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 67, small importance 25, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Kanga W.
(Toe Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayer won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 37-28.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Hertha Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hertha Berlin won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Hertha Berlin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
10.09.2022
Hertha Berlin
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Hertha Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 30:4 | 26 | 24 |
| 2 | RB Leipzig | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 16:9 | 7 | 19 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:7 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 18:11 | 7 | 17 |
| 6 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 13 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 15:13 | 2 | 13 |
| 8 | FC Koln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Werder Bremen | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 10 | Union Berlin | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Freiburg | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11:13 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 8 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | St. Pauli | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
| 15 | Augsburg | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 16 | Mainz | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 9:16 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7:16 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | B. Monchengladbach | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:18 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
