Bayer Leverkusen vs Hertha Berlin – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin
Result
4:1
05/03/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 23
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)

Chances of winning


Bayer Leverkusen
63%
Draw
21.8%
Hertha Berlin
15.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.2% 22.2% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7% 21.7% 16.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.52
    (1.55)
    4.4
    (4.26)
    6.24
    (5.72)
    4.7%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin?
  • Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 63.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).
    • Bayer has the most likely position - 9 (19.56%), has project points - 46, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • Hertha has the most likely position - 15 (18.15%), has project points - 33, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 67, small importance 25, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C. (Calf Injury) Lunev A. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C. (Knee Injury) Jarstein R. (Injury) Kanga W. (Toe Injury) Nsona K. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayer won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 37-28.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
    10.09.2022 Hertha Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen 2:2
    Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga