Result
4:1
05/03/2023 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 23
- Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Bayer Leverkusen
63% | Draw
21.8% | Hertha Berlin
15.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(1.55) |
4.4 ↑
(4.26) |
6.24 ↑
(5.72) |
4.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin?
Users Predictions:
45 users predict this event. Bayer will win (votes: 34 - 75.6%). Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 15.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bayer: 63.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 14).
- Bayer has the most likely position - 9 (19.56%), has project points - 46, has currently - 28, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Hertha has the most likely position - 15 (18.15%), has project points - 33, has currently - 20, has a chance of relegated (32%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 67, small importance 25, match rating 46. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bayer won 1.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Bayer is the unquestionable favorite.
- There will not play in Bayer: Aranguiz C.
(Calf Injury)
Lunev A.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Kanga W.
(Toe Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Bayer won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 37-28.
- Including matches at home between the teams Bayer won 6 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 19-13.
How many head-to-head matches has Bayer Leverkusen won against Hertha Berlin?
Bayer Leverkusen has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hertha Berlin won against Bayer Leverkusen?
Hertha Berlin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bayer Leverkusen - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
10.09.2022
Hertha Berlin
-
Bayer Leverkusen
2:2
Latest results of Bayer Leverkusen
Latest results of Hertha Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 72 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 46 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
