Result
4:1
19/02/2023 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 21
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund
71% | Draw
17.8% | Hertha Berlin
11.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Hertha Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.7%)
Borussia Dortmund - Hertha Berlin Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↑
(1.34) |
5.35 ↓
(5.43) |
8.55 ↑
(7.8) |
4.7%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Hertha Berlin?
Users Predictions:
68 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 58 - 85.3%). Hertha will win (votes: 7 - 10.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 4.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 76.9% – 93.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (30.44%), has project points - 65, has currently - 40, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of qualify for ucl (81%), has a small chance of win league (12%).
- Hertha has the most likely position - 17 (24.52%), has project points - 32, has currently - 17, has a chance of relegated (42%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 68, importance 57, match rating 62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 4.
- Borussia D in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Hertha is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Hertha could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Borussia D is absolute favorite.
- There will not play in Borussia D: Duranville J.
(Muscle Injury)
Kamara A.
(Knee Injury)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Moukoko Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Wolf M.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Hertha: Ejuke C.
(Knee Injury)
Jarstein R.
(Injury)
Jovetic S.
(Muscle Injury)
Kanga W.
(Toe Injury)
Nsona K.
(Knee Injury)
Pekarik P.
(Hip Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Borussia D to win the game is with odds 1.34.
- Last 23 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 14 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 41-20.
- Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18-8.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Hertha Berlin?
Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hertha Berlin won against Borussia Dortmund?
Hertha Berlin has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Hertha Berlin were as follows:
27.08.2022
Hertha Berlin
-
Borussia Dortmund
0:1
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
Latest results of Hertha Berlin
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Mainz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Freiburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
