Hertha Berlin vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German DFB Pokal
Result
1:2 penalties
10/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - Quarter-finals
  • Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.720.92
Ball possession
52%48%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
48
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
65
Passes
79% (444/563)82% (431/524)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
0.720.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.492.02
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
67
Blocked shots
13
Shots inside the box
813
Shots outside the box
35
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
65
Touches in opposition box
2931
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
21
Free kicks
914
Passes
79% (444/563)82% (431/524)
Long passes
46% (32/70)25% (13/51)
Passes in final third
62% (73/118)62% (71/115)
Crosses
29% (6/21)11% (2/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.971.14
Throw ins
2426
Fouls
149
Tackles
79% (19/24)60% (12/20)
Duels won
7463
Clearances
3437
Interceptions
109
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper saves
73
xGOT faced
2.021.49
Goals prevented
1.020.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
  • 70', Grifo V. 🟨,
  • 78', Makengo J. ↓, Gunter C. ↑,
  • 78', Osterhage P. ↓, Manzambi J. ↑,
  • 80', Kownacki D. ↓, Schuler L. ↑,
  • 80', Winkler M. ↓, Brekalo J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Leistner T. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 96', 0 - 1, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
  • 99', Leistner T. ↓, Dudziak J. ↑,
  • 104', 1 - 1, Reese F. ⚽, Seguin P. (A),
  • 105+2', Seguin P. 🟨,
  • 113', Matanovic I. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
  • 116', Eitschberger J. ↓, Klemens P. ↑,
  • 116', Beste J. ↓, Irie C. ↑,
  • 119', Schuler L. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Grifo V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Reese F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Ginter M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Schuler L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Eggestein M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Cuisance M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Manzambi J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Brekalo J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Holer L. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Seguin P. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Suzuki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 6, Klemens P. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Hertha Berlin
31%		Draw
28.7%		Freiburg
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.5% 27.7% 43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5% 27.7% 43.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hertha Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hertha Berlin than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
    •

    Hertha Berlin - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.07 ↓
    (3.31)    		 3.31 ↓
    (3.39)    		 2.36 ↑
    (2.15)    		 5.2%
    (6.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Hertha Berlin - Freiburg?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Hertha will win (votes: 5 - 33.3%). Freiburg will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 15.2% – 64.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Freiburg (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Freiburg (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Hertha (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Freiburg (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Hertha may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Hertha: Demme D. (Head Injury) Eichhorn K. (Ankle Injury) Krattenmacher M. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:28. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hertha won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hertha Berlin - Freiburg were as follows:
    01.04.2023 Freiburg - Hertha Berlin 1:1
    09.10.2022 Hertha Berlin - Freiburg 2:2
    Latest results of Hertha Berlin
    07.02.2026 Elversberg - Hertha Berlin 0:3 ✺
    01.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Darmstadt 2:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Karlsruher - Hertha Berlin 2:2 ✺
    17.01.2026 Hertha Berlin - Schalke 04 0:0 ✺
    09.01.2026 Hertha Berlin - Standard Liège 2:3
    Latest results of Freiburg
    07.02.2026 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 1:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 1:0 ✺
    29.01.2026 Lille - Freiburg 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Freiburg - Köln 2:1 ✺
    22.01.2026 Freiburg - Maccabi Tel Aviv 1:0 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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