Freiberg vs Hessen Kassel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Regionalliga Sudwest Freiberg - Hessen Kassel
Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldOnefootball

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Kudala J. ,
  • 15', 2 - 0, Peto L. ,
  • 20', 2 - 1, Bravo-Sanchez A. ,
  • 31', 3 - 1, Grobelnik G. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 87', 3 - 2, Bonianga P. ,

Chances of winning


Freiberg
58.8%
Draw
22.3%
Hessen Kassel
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.2% 20.7% 13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.9% 19.6% 12.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.
  • Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hessen Kassel's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+11.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hessen Kassel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Freiberg - Hessen Kassel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.38)
    4.12
    (4.43)
    4.88
    (6.98)
    8.8%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3.
    • Freiberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Hessen Kassel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Freiberg is the clear favorite.
    • We predict that Freiberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiberg - Hessen Kassel were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Hessen Kassel - Freiberg 1:0
    12.10.2024 Freiberg - Hessen Kassel 1:0
    20.04.2024 Freiberg - Hessen Kassel 1:1
    14.10.2023 Hessen Kassel - Freiberg 1:2
    04.03.2023 Freiberg - Hessen Kassel 1:0
    Latest results of Freiberg
    13.09.2025 Freiberg - Bahlinger 5:0
    30.08.2025 Freiberg - Balingen 1:0
    23.08.2025 Eintracht Trier - Freiberg 1:4
    Latest results of Hessen Kassel
    German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Freiberg1191133:102328
    2Steinbach Haiger1164127:141322
    3Mainz II1155120:14620
    4FSV Frankfurt1162318:12620
    5Walldorf1153322:17518
    6Grossaspach1145232:211117
    7FC 08 Homburg1145225:17817
    8Eintracht Trier1152423:19417
    9Stutt. Kickers1142512:18-614
    10Fulda-Lehnerz1134420:16413
    11Kassel1134420:18213
    12Offenbach1134419:23-413
    13Freiburg II1134423:30-713
    14Sandhausen1141621:29-813
    15Balingen1132614:27-1311
    16Alzenau1122714:27-138
    17Bahlinger1114611:28-177
    18Schott Mainz1112816:30-145

          Promotion ~ 3. Liga
          Relegation