Result
3:2
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga Sudwest - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 World | Onefootball |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Kudala J. ⚽,
- 15', 2 - 0, Peto L. ⚽,
- 20', 2 - 1, Bravo-Sanchez A. ⚽,
- 31', 3 - 1, Grobelnik G. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 87', 3 - 2, Bonianga P. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Freiberg
58.8% | Draw
22.3% | Hessen Kassel
18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiberg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Freiberg's form might have worsened.Hessen Kassel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hessen Kassel's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiberg than the current prediction. (+11.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Freiberg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hessen Kassel than the current prediction. (-6.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hessen Kassel, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Freiberg - Hessen Kassel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.56 ↑
(1.38) |
4.12 ↓
(4.43) |
4.88 ↓
(6.98) |
8.8%
(9.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3.
- Freiberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Hessen Kassel has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Freiberg is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Freiberg will win today's game, with odds of 1.37.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Freiberg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 0.8:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiberg won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiberg won against Hessen Kassel?
Freiberg has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hessen Kassel won against Freiberg?
Hessen Kassel has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiberg - Hessen Kassel were as follows:
12.04.2025
Hessen Kassel
-
Freiberg
1:0
12.10.2024
Freiberg
-
Hessen Kassel
1:0
20.04.2024
Freiberg
-
Hessen Kassel
1:1
14.10.2023
Hessen Kassel
-
Freiberg
1:2
04.03.2023
Freiberg
-
Hessen Kassel
1:0
Latest results of Freiberg
Latest results of Hessen Kassel
German Regionalliga Sudwest Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Freiberg | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 36:14 | 22 | 30 |
| 2 | Mainz II | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 27 |
| 3 | Steinbach Haiger | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 32:19 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Grossaspach | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 40:24 | 16 | 24 |
| 5 | Walldorf | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 28:25 | 3 | 24 |
| 6 | FSV Frankfurt | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 23 |
| 7 | Eintracht Trier | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 23 |
| 8 | Stutt. Kickers | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 23 |
| 9 | FC 08 Homburg | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 31:23 | 8 | 21 |
| 10 | Kassel | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 26:21 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 | Freiburg II | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 32:34 | -2 | 19 |
| 12 | Offenbach | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 |
| 13 | Sandhausen | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25:32 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Fulda-Lehnerz | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 25:22 | 3 | 15 |
| 15 | Balingen | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
| 16 | Alzenau | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 18:35 | -17 | 8 |
| 17 | Bahlinger | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12:37 | -25 | 7 |
| 18 | Schott Mainz | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19:39 | -20 | 5 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Relegation
