Result
3:1
13/09/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/363) | 83% (303/365) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.82 | 0.85 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (296/363) | 83% (303/365) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (43/73) | 50% (20/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (100/144) | 68% (52/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (2/11) | 36% (5/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 53% (10/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 38 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.85 | 2.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.15 | -0.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Kobza E. ⚽, Musse A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 0, Musse A. ⚽, Ntignee G. (A),
- 50', Rampersad A. 🟨,
- 53', 3 - 0, Camargo S. ⚽, Warschewski T. (A),
- 57', 3 - 1, Pearlman A. ⚽, Rea S. (A),
- 58', Pearlman A. 🟨,
- 67', Camargo S. ↓, Shome S. ↑,
- 67', Laing L. ↓, Field T. ↑,
- 68', Pearlman A. ↓, Gagnon-Lapare J. ↑,
- 68', Vitor Dias ↓, Bai Y. ↑,
- 69', Ntignee G. 🟨,
- 72', Kobza E. 🟨,
- 73', Sow K. ↓, Mekideche N. ↑,
- 73', Fewo 🟨,
- 74', Baldisimo M. 🟨,
- 78', Musse A. ↓, Wahling N. ↑,
- 78', Kobza E. ↓, Myroniuk N. ↑,
- 78', Mekideche N. 🟨,
- 85', Ntignee G. ↓, Sellouf A. ↑,
- 86', Johnston I. ↓, Dunn J. ↑,
- 86', Alphonse J. ↓, Ciccarelli T. ↑,
- 90+2', Dunn J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Cavalry
46.8% | Draw
27.6% | HFX Wanderers
25.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cavalry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cavalry than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+2%)
Cavalry - HFX Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.01) |
3.33 ↑
(3.25) |
3.59 ↑
(3.29) |
8.7%
(10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cavalry - HFX Wanderers?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Cavalry (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- HFX Wanderers may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Cavalry could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cavalry won 9 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cavalry won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:8. (average 1.4:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Cavalry won against HFX Wanderers?
Cavalry has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HFX Wanderers won against Cavalry?
HFX Wanderers has won 2 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cavalry - HFX Wanderers were as follows:
09.08.2025
Cavalry
-
HFX Wanderers
0:0
14.06.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Cavalry
1:1
10.05.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Cavalry
0:3
12.10.2024
Cavalry
-
HFX Wanderers
2:1
10.08.2024
Cavalry
-
HFX Wanderers
3:2
Latest results of Cavalry
Latest results of HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 46:20 | 26 | 53 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 50:25 | 25 | 51 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 41:30 | 11 | 39 |
| 4 | HFX Wanderers | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 36:29 | 7 | 35 |
| 5 | York Utd | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:32 | 7 | 33 |
| 6 | Valour | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 28:54 | -26 | 22 |
| 7 | Pacific FC | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 24:50 | -26 | 21 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
