Result
3:2
12/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Canadian Premier League
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | OneSoccer |
 Usa | Fox Soccer Plus |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/369) | 86% (390/452) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 2.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 40 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (301/369) | 86% (390/452) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (25/56) | 61% (23/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (50/85) | 81% (116/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (3/10) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.53 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 32% (6/19) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.08 | 2.46 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.08 | -0.54 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 11', 1 - 0, Toualy Y. R. ⚽, Bustos M. (A),
- 14', Pearlman A. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 1, Coimbra T. ⚽, Timoteo W. (A),
- 35', 1 - 2, Bai Y. ⚽, Coimbra T. (A),
- 40', Rea S. 🟨,
- 42', 2 - 2, Toualy Y. R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Bai Y. ↓, Bahamboula J. ↑,
- 46', Mukumbilwa G. ↓, Young S. ↑,
- 55', 3 - 2, Toualy Y. R. (Pen),
- 58', Heard J. 🟨,
- 60', Johnston I. 🟨,
- 70', Heard J. ↓, Greco-Taylor C. ↑,
- 72', Coimbra T. ↓, Probo G. ↑,
- 72', Rea S. ↓, Vitor Dias ↑,
- 79', Johnston I. ↓, Rampersad A. ↑,
- 83', Toualy Y. R. ↓, Montejano E. ↑,
- 83', Bustos M. ↓, Vales M. ↑,
- 83', Daniels A. ↓, Zanatta D. ↑,
- 90+4', Melvin S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Pacific FC
33.5% | Draw
27.7% | HFX Wanderers
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pacific FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)HFX Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pacific FC than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.71 ↓
(2.94) |
3.28 ↑
(3.24) |
2.33 ↑
(2.19) |
10.3%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 2.
- Pacific has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- HFX Wanderers's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Pacific may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pacific won 8 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pacific won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.4:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Pacific FC won against HFX Wanderers?
Pacific FC has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HFX Wanderers won against Pacific FC?
HFX Wanderers has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers were as follows:
19.04.2025
HFX Wanderers
-
Pacific FC
3:1
18.09.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Pacific FC
2:2
07.09.2024
Pacific FC
-
HFX Wanderers
3:0
08.06.2024
HFX Wanderers
-
Pacific FC
0:0
13.04.2024
Pacific FC
-
HFX Wanderers
1:0
Latest results of Pacific FC
Latest results of HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Forge | 17 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 33:12 | 21 | 37 |
| 2 | Atl. Ottawa | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 35:16 | 19 | 36 |
| 3 | Cavalry | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 23:16 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | York Utd | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 27:20 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | HFX Wanderers | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Pacific FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 16:30 | -14 | 15 |
| 7 | Valour | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 18:41 | -23 | 14 |
| 8 | Vancouver FC | 17 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 17:34 | -17 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
