HFX Wanderers vs York United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League HFX Wanderers - York United
Result
4:0
01/09/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer
usaUsaFox Soccer Plus

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.090.91
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
819
Shots on target
65
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
210
Passes
81% (277/340)88% (406/460)
Yellow Cards
24
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
3.090.91
xG on target (xGOT)
3.971.05
Total shots
819
Shots on target
65
Shots off target
18
Blocked Shots
16
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
110
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
210
Touches in opposition box
1725
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
31
Free Kicks
1316
Passes
81% (277/340)88% (406/460)
Long passes
43% (22/51)54% (19/35)
Passes in final third
74% (67/91)80% (101/127)
Crosses
27% (3/11)30% (10/33)
Expected assists (xA)
1.490.98
Throw-ins
625
Fouls
1614
Tackles
63% (20/32)64% (14/22)
Duels won
6854
Clearances
449
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
02
Goalkeeper Saves
52
xGOT faced
1.053.97
Goals prevented
1.05-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Vitor Dias , Coimbra T. (A),
  • 19', Coimbra T. , Bahamboula J. ,
  • 25', Bitar G. 🟨,
  • 26', 2 - 0, Bahamboula J. (Pen),
  • 45+3', Timoteo W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Adekugbe E. , Altobelli J. ,
  • 46', Singh L. , Higgins N. ,
  • 55', Kibato K. 🟨,
  • 57', 3 - 0, Bahamboula J. , Pearlman A. (A),
  • 66', Lopez L. , Accettola L. ,
  • 66', Ferrari M. , Costa J. N. ,
  • 67', Rea S. , Bai Y. ,
  • 71', Leon O. 🟨,
  • 76', Sow K. 🟨,
  • 81', 4 - 0, Bai Y. , Timoteo W. (A),
  • 89', Bahamboula J. , Ciccarelli T. ,
  • 89', Callegari L. , Gagnon-Lapare J. ,
  • 89', Alphonse J. , Dunn J. ,
  • 90', Altobelli J. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 🟥,

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
55.1%
Draw
25.8%
York United
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 29.7% 30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5% 30.3% 30%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HFX Wanderers's performance.
  • York United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and York United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-14.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HFX Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for York United than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that York United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • HFX Wanderers - York United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2
    (2.25)
    4.28
    (3.01)
    5.77
    (2.92)
    -9.4%
    (11.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - York United?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. HFX Wanderers will win (votes: 3 - 50%). York United will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • HFX Wanderers might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:30. (average 1.3:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:18. (average 1.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - York United were as follows:
    31.05.2025 York United - HFX Wanderers 2:0
    13.04.2025 York United - HFX Wanderers 1:2
    19.10.2024 HFX Wanderers - York United 2:1
    02.09.2024 HFX Wanderers - York United 2:1
    06.07.2024 York United - HFX Wanderers 2:1
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    22.08.2025 HFX Wanderers - Valour 4:1
    16.08.2025 Pacific FC - HFX Wanderers 2:2
    09.08.2025 Cavalry - HFX Wanderers 0:0
    25.07.2025 HFX Wanderers - Forge 1:2
    Latest results of York United
    24.08.2025 York United - Pacific FC 5:1
    17.08.2025 Valour - York United 0:0
    09.08.2025 York United - Forge 1:2
    26.07.2025 Cavalry - York United 0:1
    Canadian Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge21137139:172246
    2Atl. Ottawa21127242:222043
    3Cavalry2196634:231133
    4HFX Wanderers2195732:25732
    5York Utd2185833:27629
    6Pacific FC21551123:40-1720
    7Valour21441321:48-2716
    8Vancouver FC21251424:46-2211

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