HFX Wanderers vs York United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Canadian Premier League HFX Wanderers - York United
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.83
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
108
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
78% (269/345)86% (432/502)
Yellow Cards
44
Expected Goals (xG)
0.940.83
xG on target (xGOT)
1.571.30
Total shots
108
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
73
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2113
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1613
Passes
78% (269/345)86% (432/502)
Long passes
61% (31/51)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
68% (89/131)78% (93/119)
Crosses
41% (7/17)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
1.190.80
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
1316
Tackles
61% (14/23)73% (16/22)
Duels won
5853
Clearances
2419
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.301.57
Goals prevented
0.300.57

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Mekideche N. ,
  • 36', Alphonse J. 🟨,
  • 36', Pearlman A. 🟨,
  • 45+1', Ferrari M. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 45+3', Timoteo W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 62', Sturing F. 🟨,
  • 62', Yeates S. , Adekugbe E. ,
  • 63', Reid A. , Jimoh S. ,
  • 68', 1 - 1, Ferrin M. , Altobelli J. (A),
  • 69', Timoteo W. , Bai Y. ,
  • 76', Altobelli J. , Hundal S. ,
  • 87', Sow K. , Biello A. ,
  • 90+2', Lopez L. , Ferrazzo R. ,
  • 90+3', Ferrazzo R. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Bai Y. 🟨,

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
44.4%
Draw
26.4%
York United
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.9% 25.4% 33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 25.9% 32.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HFX Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • York United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HFX Wanderers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for York United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • HFX Wanderers - York United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (2.24)
    3.45
    (3.6)
    3.11
    (2.72)
    10.1%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • HFX Wanderers could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:29. (average 1.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.9:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - York United were as follows:
    01.09.2025 HFX Wanderers - York United 4:0
    31.05.2025 York United - HFX Wanderers 2:0
    13.04.2025 York United - HFX Wanderers 1:2
    19.10.2024 HFX Wanderers - York United 2:1
    02.09.2024 HFX Wanderers - York United 2:1
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    20.09.2025 HFX Wanderers - Pacific FC 3:0
    13.09.2025 Cavalry - HFX Wanderers 3:1
    06.09.2025 Forge - HFX Wanderers 1:0
    Latest results of York United
    28.09.2025 York United - Valour 1:0
    21.09.2025 Vancouver FC - York United 2:1
    05.09.2025 York United - Cavalry 3:1
    Canadian Premier League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Forge ✔ 281610251:222958
    2Atl. Ottawa ✔ 281511254:282656
    3Cavalry ✔ 28119847:361142
    4HFX Wanderers ✔ 281161141:34739
    5York Utd ✔ 281081043:38538
    6Valour28751635:62-2726
    7Pacific FC28581530:59-2923
    8Vancouver FC28491535:57-2221

          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Canadian Premier League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Forge is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Atl. Ottawa is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Semi~finals)
    Cavalry is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    HFX Wanderers is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    York Utd is Qualified for Canadian Premier League (Play Offs 1/8~finals)