HFX Wanderers vs York United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
22/10/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Canadian Premier League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaOneSoccer

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.50
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
2319
Shots on target
138
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
81% (413/511)75% (301/401)
Yellow Cards
56
Expected Goals (xG)
1.141.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.081.91
Total shots
2319
Shots on target
138
Shots off target
85
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
158
Shots outside the Box
811
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
3723
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2313
Passes
81% (413/511)75% (301/401)
Long passes
41% (25/61)27% (16/59)
Passes in final third
70% (104/149)63% (76/121)
Crosses
30% (10/33)25% (6/24)
Expected assists (xA)
1.130.62
Throw-ins
2038
Fouls
1323
Tackles
67% (12/18)59% (10/17)
Duels won
7150
Clearances
3250
Interceptions
147
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
611
xGOT faced
1.912.08
Goals prevented
-0.090.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', Rea S. 🟨,
  • 16', Ferrazzo R. 🟨,
  • 26', Reid A. 🟨,
  • 38', Kibato K. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Coimbra T. , Rea S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Alphonse J. 🟨,
  • 55', Ferrazzo R. , Jimoh S. ,
  • 55', Reid A. , Ferrin M. ,
  • 66', Callegari L. 🟨,
  • 70', Adekugbe E. , Bitar G. ,
  • 71', Telfer R. , Timoteo W. ,
  • 80', Rea S. , Rampersad A. ,
  • 82', Bitar G. 🟨,
  • 86', 1 - 1, Altobelli J. , Jimoh S. (A),
  • 88', Singh L. 🟨,
  • 90', Jimoh S. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 1)
  • 103', Pearlman A. , Gagnon-Lapare J. ,
  • 105', Gagnon-Lapare J. 🟨,
  • 112', Sow K. , Bai Y. ,
  • 114', 2 - 1, Gagnon-Lapare J. , Timoteo W. (A),
  • 115', Ferrari M. , Accettola L. ,
  • 118', Johnston I. 🟨,
  • 118', 2 - 2, Hundal S. ,
  • Penalties (4 - 5)
  • 1, Altobelli J. (Pen),
  • 1, Coimbra T. (Pen),
  • 2, Bitar G. (Pen),
  • 2, Callegari L. (Pen),
  • 3, Hundal S. (Pen),
  • 3, Timoteo W. (Pen),
  • 4, Yeates S. (Pen),
  • 4, Johnston I. (Pen),
  • 5, Ferrin M. (Pen),
  • 5, Bai Y. (Pen),
  • 6, Kibato K. (Pen),
  • 6, Gagnon-Lapare J. (Pen),

Chances of winning


HFX Wanderers
44.7%
Draw
27.9%
York United
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 27.5% 27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1% 26.9% 26.9%

HFX Wanderers - York United Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.06
(2.04)
3.31
(3.35)
3.37
(3.35)
8.4%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for HFX Wanderers - York United?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - York United (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. York United (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • HFX Wanderers will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HFX Wanderers won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, HFX Wanderers won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 16:15. (average 1.8:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HFX Wanderers - York United were as follows:
    04.10.2025 HFX Wanderers - York United 1:1
    01.09.2025 HFX Wanderers - York United 4:0
    31.05.2025 York United - HFX Wanderers 2:0
    13.04.2025 York United - HFX Wanderers 1:2
    19.10.2024 HFX Wanderers - York United 2:1
    Latest results of HFX Wanderers
    Latest results of York United
    18.10.2025 Forge - York United 3:0
    09.10.2025 York United - Pacific FC 2:2
    28.09.2025 York United - Valour 1:0
    21.09.2025 Vancouver FC - York United 2:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1ForgeBye
    4ByeAtl. Ottawa
    7CavalryBye
    8HFX WanderersInter Toronto2 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1ForgeBye
    2ByeAtl. Ottawa
    4CavalryInter Toronto4 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1ForgeAtl. Ottawa1 : 2
    2ForgeCavalry0 : 1

    Final
    1Atl. OttawaCavalry2 : 1