Result
2:0
30/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 20
- Referee: McFarlane D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Nigeria | Red TV |
 United-kingdom | Hibs TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/539) | 81% (306/380) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.25 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (462/539) | 81% (306/380) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (29/51) | 28% (13/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (132/173) | 67% (64/96) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.81 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 33% (4/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.25 | 1.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.25 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 41', Boyle M. ↓, Youan T. ↑,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 55', Kjartansson K. ↓, Shinnie G. ↑,
- 60', 1 - 0, Klidje T. ⚽, Youan T. (A),
- 65', Sallinger R. 🟨,
- 66', Armstrong S. ↓, Keskinen T. ↑,
- 66', Lazetic M. ↓, Nisbet K. ↑,
- 66', Karlsson J. ↓, Bilalovic K. ↑,
- 72', Devlin N. 🟨,
- 72', Klidje T. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
- 83', Gyamfi E. ↓, Milanovic N. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 0, Hoilett J. ⚽, Mulligan J. (A),
- 90+2', Campbell J. ↓, Newell J. ↑,
- 90+9', Aouchiche A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hibernian
50.6% | Draw
25.8% | Aberdeen
23.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Aberdeen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aberdeen than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Hibernian - Aberdeen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(1.89) |
3.6 ↑
(3.28) |
3.96 ↓
(4.01) |
7%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hibernian - Aberdeen?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.5 - Hibernian (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Hibernian (2.41) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hibernian will win
(14 of 17 users predict this - 82.35%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.23% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hibernian will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Hibernian (votes: 7 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 3.
- Hibernian has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Aberdeen has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Aberdeen may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hibernian is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hibernian: Bushiri R.
(International duty)
Chaiwa M.
(International duty)
Molotnikov R.
(Injury)
Obita J.
(International duty)
- There will not play in Aberdeen: Molloy G.
(Knee Injury)
Tobers K.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Hibernian: Cadden N.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:23. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Aberdeen?
Hibernian has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Aberdeen won against Hibernian?
Aberdeen has won 4 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Aberdeen were as follows:
26.10.2025
Aberdeen
-
Hibernian
1:2
26.04.2025
Aberdeen
-
Hibernian
1:0
01.02.2025
Hibernian
-
Aberdeen
2:0
21.12.2024
Aberdeen
-
Hibernian
1:3
26.11.2024
Hibernian
-
Aberdeen
3:3
Latest results of Hibernian
Latest results of Aberdeen
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 51:24 | 27 | 60 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 49:28 | 21 | 54 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 45:18 | 27 | 50 |
| 5 | Hibernian | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 45:32 | 13 | 45 |
| 6 | Falkirk | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 39 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 30 |
| 8 | Aberdeen | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 28:38 | -10 | 29 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:42 | -18 | 27 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 27 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 23 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 31:55 | -24 | 21 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 28 | 1 | 10 | 17 | 30:58 | -28 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
