Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 7
- Referee: Dickinson D. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2 |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 5 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 8 |
 Thailand | True Premier Football 4 |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Hearts TV, Hibs TV, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.49 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/481) | 66% (196/296) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.49 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.06 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 7 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (399/481) | 66% (196/296) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 36% (24/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (102/142) | 43% (35/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 0.11 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 62 | 41 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.06 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.06 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Obita J. 🟨,
- 37', Baningime B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', McEntee O. 🟨,
- 76', Campbell J. ↓, McGrath J. ↑,
- 84', Braga C. ↓, Kabangu E. ↑,
- 84', McEntee O. ↓, Kerjota S. ↑,
- 84', Kingsley S. ↓, Steinwender M. ↑,
- 88', Bowie K. ↓, Klidje T. ↑,
- 88', Kyziridis A. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
- 90+1', Baningime B. ↓, Magnusson T. ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 0, Halkett C. ⚽, Kerjota S. (A),
Chances of winning
Hearts
50.8% | Draw
26.3% | Hibernian
22.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Hearts - Hibernian Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.87 ↑
(1.8) |
3.56 ↓
(3.63) |
4.11 ↑
(4.08) |
5.9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hearts - Hibernian?
Users Predictions:
Hearts will win
(16 of 20 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.47% – 97.53%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hearts will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 1.
- Hearts is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hibernian has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hearts is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hearts: Ageu
(Hamstring Injury)
Fulton R.
(Groin Injury)
Gordon C.
(Shoulder Injury)
Kent F.
(Knee Injury)
Pollock F.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Hibernian: Manneh A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Newell J.
(Groin Injury)
Youan T.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hearts won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hearts won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Hearts won against Hibernian?
Hearts has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Hearts?
Hibernian has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hearts - Hibernian were as follows:
02.03.2025
Hibernian
-
Hearts
2:1
26.12.2024
Hearts
-
Hibernian
1:2
27.10.2024
Hibernian
-
Hearts
1:1
28.02.2024
Hearts
-
Hibernian
1:1
27.12.2023
Hibernian
-
Hearts
0:1
Latest results of Hibernian
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:6 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Celtic | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Hibernian | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 14:10 | 4 | 11 |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 | Rangers | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 8:9 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | St. Mirren | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 8 | Falkirk | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 9 |
| 10 | Motherwell | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 8 |
| 11 | Aberdeen | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Livingston | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
