Hibernian vs Kilmarnock – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premiership - Round 2
  • Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomHibs TV, Kilmarnock TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.92
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Passes
86% (465/539)78% (286/366)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.850.92
xG on target (xGOT)
1.630.45
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
54
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
95
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
47
Touches in opposition box
2717
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
03
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
86% (465/539)78% (286/366)
Long passes
45% (15/33)45% (25/56)
Passes in final third
72% (93/129)42% (29/69)
Crosses
19% (5/26)24% (4/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.310.89
Throw-ins
2211
Fouls
1015
Tackles
67% (6/9)64% (18/28)
Duels won
4663
Clearances
2234
Interceptions
310
Errors leading to shot
20
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
04
xGOT faced
0.451.63
Goals prevented
-1.55-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 11', Mayo L. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Bushiri R. , McGrath J. (A),
  • 27', 2 - 0, Youan T. , Hoilett J. (A),
  • 45', 2 - 1, Polworth L. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 2, Brannan B. ,
  • 57', Brandon J. 🟨,
  • 59', Hanley G. , Iredale J. ,
  • 59', Youan T. , Boyle M. ,
  • 59', Hoilett J. , Cadden Ch. ,
  • 63', McKenzie R. , Kiltie G. ,
  • 68', Brandon J. , Thompson D. ,
  • 73', Mulligan J. 🟨,
  • 82', Levitt D. , Campbell J. ,
  • 82', Daniels D. , Anderson B. ,
  • 90+1', Bowie K. , Klidje T. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Hibernian
60.9%
Draw
23%
Kilmarnock
16.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 24.5% 21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3% 26.2% 20.5%

Hibernian - Kilmarnock Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.57
(1.75)
4.08
(3.83)
5.84
(4.29)
5.3%
(6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hibernian - Kilmarnock?
  • Users Predictions: Hibernian will win (23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 71.79%98.59%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.
    • Hibernian has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Kilmarnock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Hibernian is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hibernian: Newell J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Kilmarnock: Stanger G. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Hibernian: Molotnikov R. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Daniels D. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Kilmarnock were as follows:
    15.03.2025 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 1:1
    29.12.2024 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 1:0
    01.09.2024 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 1:1
    27.01.2024 Kilmarnock - Hibernian 2:2
    11.11.2023 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 1:0
    Latest results of Hibernian
    07.08.2025 Partizan - Hibernian 0:2
    03.08.2025 Dundee - Hibernian 1:2
    31.07.2025 Hibernian - Midtjylland 1:2
    24.07.2025 Midtjylland - Hibernian 1:1
    Latest results of Kilmarnock
    02.08.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 2:2
    26.07.2025 Kilmarnock - East Fife 4:0
    22.07.2025 Kelty Hearts - Kilmarnock 1:0
    16.07.2025 Kilmarnock - Livingston 1:0
    12.07.2025 Brora Rangers - Kilmarnock 0:2
    Scottish Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hearts17115134:132138
    2Celtic15102325:111432
    3Motherwell1769225:151027
    4Rangers1568122:13926
    5Hibernian1666427:18924
    6Aberdeen1563616:16021
    7Falkirk1756619:26-721
    8Dundee Utd1638521:25-417
    9St. Mirren1535714:22-814
    10Dundee FC17341015:31-1613
    11Kilmarnock1626816:30-1412
    12Livingston1616917:31-149

          Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
          Premiership (Relegation Group: )