Result
2:2
10/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 2
- Referee: Walsh N. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hibs TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.92 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (465/539) | 78% (286/366) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.85 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.63 | 0.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (465/539) | 78% (286/366) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (15/33) | 45% (25/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (93/129) | 42% (29/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (5/26) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 11 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 64% (18/28) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.45 | 1.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.55 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', Mayo L. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Bushiri R. ⚽, McGrath J. (A),
- 27', 2 - 0, Youan T. ⚽, Hoilett J. (A),
- 45', 2 - 1, Polworth L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 2, Brannan B. ⚽,
- 57', Brandon J. 🟨,
- 59', Hanley G. ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
- 59', Youan T. ↓, Boyle M. ↑,
- 59', Hoilett J. ↓, Cadden Ch. ↑,
- 63', McKenzie R. ↓, Kiltie G. ↑,
- 68', Brandon J. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
- 73', Mulligan J. 🟨,
- 82', Levitt D. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
- 82', Daniels D. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 90+1', Bowie K. ↓, Klidje T. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hibernian
60.9% | Draw
23% | Kilmarnock
16.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hibernian has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hibernian's performance.Kilmarnock has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kilmarnock might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
Hibernian - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↓
(1.75) |
4.08 ↑
(3.83) |
5.84 ↑
(4.29) |
5.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hibernian - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
Hibernian will win
(23 of 27 users predict this - 85.19%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.79% – 98.59%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.
- Hibernian has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kilmarnock is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hibernian may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hibernian is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Hibernian: Newell J.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Stanger G.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Hibernian: Molotnikov R.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 1.4:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Kilmarnock?
Hibernian has won 4 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Hibernian?
Kilmarnock has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Kilmarnock were as follows:
15.03.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
1:1
29.12.2024
Hibernian
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
01.09.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
1:1
27.01.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
2:2
11.11.2023
Hibernian
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
Latest results of Hibernian
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Celtic | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Livingston | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Hibernian | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kilmarnock | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 6 | Rangers | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 7 | Motherwell | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Dundee Utd | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Dundee FC | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | St. Mirren | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Falkirk | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 1 |
| 12 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
