Result
3:0
04/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premiership - Round 32
- Referee: Scott C. (Sco)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Hibs TV, Kilmarnock TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.56 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (385/474) | 84% (347/415) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 0.56 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.70 | 0.08 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 5 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 0 | 7 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (385/474) | 84% (347/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (31/70) | 59% (19/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (64/97) | 73% (87/119) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/14) | 6% (2/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 0.39 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (4/9) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.08 | 2.70 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.92 | -0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Elding O. ⚽, Passlack F. (A),
- 12', 2 - 0, Passlack F. ⚽, Obita J. (A),
- 18', Stanger G. 🟨,
- 39', Curtis F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', Barlaser D. 🟨,
- 62', Lyons B. ↓, Watson D. ↑,
- 62', Polworth L. ↓, Watkins M. ↑,
- 64', Barlaser D. ↓, Newell J. ↑,
- 64', Scarlett D. ↓, Suto A. ↑,
- 65', Tshibola A. 🟨,
- 71', Brandon J. ↓, Thompson D. ↑,
- 73', Chaiwa M. ↓, Andrews K. ↑,
- 81', Tshibola A. ↓, Anderson B. ↑,
- 81', Curtis F. ↓, Thomson J. ↑,
- 88', McGrath J. ↓, Boyle M. ↑,
- 88', Elding O. ↓, Campbell J. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 0, Suto A. ⚽, Boyle M. (A),
Chances of winning
Hibernian
60.1% | Draw
23.5% | Kilmarnock
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)Kilmarnock has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hibernian, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kilmarnock than the current prediction. (-1%)
Hibernian - Kilmarnock Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.57 ↑
(1.5) |
4.01 ↓
(4.46) |
5.72 ↓
(5.92) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hibernian - Kilmarnock?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hibernian will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: ) and 11 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).
- Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
- Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 2.
- Hibernian is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Kilmarnock has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Hibernian is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Hibernian: Molotnikov R.
(Ankle Injury)
Mulligan J.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Kilmarnock: Daniels D.
(Knee Injury)
John-Jules T.
(Muscle Injury)
Kennedy M.
(Hip Injury)
Magennis K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hibernian won 11 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hibernian won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:5. (average 1.7:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Kilmarnock?
Hibernian has won 5 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kilmarnock won against Hibernian?
Kilmarnock has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hibernian - Kilmarnock were as follows:
03.01.2026
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
1:3
10.08.2025
Hibernian
-
Kilmarnock
2:2
15.03.2025
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
1:1
29.12.2024
Hibernian
-
Kilmarnock
1:0
01.09.2024
Kilmarnock
-
Hibernian
1:1
Latest results of Hibernian
Latest results of Kilmarnock
Scottish Premier League Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hearts ✔ | 32 | 20 | 7 | 5 | 55:27 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Rangers ✔ | 32 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 60:28 | 32 | 66 |
| 3 | Celtic ✔ | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 58:35 | 23 | 64 |
| 4 | Motherwell ✔ | 32 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 51:26 | 25 | 54 |
| 5 | Hibernian ✔ | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 51:35 | 16 | 51 |
| 6 | Falkirk ✔ | 32 | 13 | 7 | 12 | 42:42 | 0 | 46 |
| 7 | Dundee Utd ✔ | 32 | 8 | 13 | 11 | 42:52 | -10 | 37 |
| 8 | Dundee FC ✔ | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 32 |
| 9 | Aberdeen ✔ | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 31:48 | -17 | 30 |
| 10 | St. Mirren ✔ | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 27:47 | -20 | 30 |
| 11 | Kilmarnock ✔ | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 35:63 | -28 | 27 |
| 12 | Livingston ✔ | 32 | 1 | 13 | 18 | 33:63 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Premiership (Championship Group: )
Premiership (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Hearts is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Rangers is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Celtic is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Motherwell is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Hibernian is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Falkirk is Qualified for Premiership (Championship Group )
Dundee Utd is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Dundee FC is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Aberdeen is Premiership (Relegation Group )
St. Mirren is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Kilmarnock is Premiership (Relegation Group )
Livingston is Premiership (Relegation Group )
