Result
3:3 ET
28/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.64 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 11 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
84% (497/594) | 80% (365/455) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 6 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.64 | 1.64 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.63 | 2.66 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 23 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 11 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 9 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
20 | 31 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
6 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
84% (497/594) | 80% (365/455) |
Long passes |
---|
52% (48/93) | 41% (29/70) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (127/186) | 70% (126/180) |
Crosses |
---|
22% (4/18) | 22% (7/32) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.78 | 1.60 |
Throw-ins |
---|
18 | 23 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
67% (16/24) | 91% (10/11) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 41 |
Clearances |
---|
48 | 39 |
Interceptions |
---|
11 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
8 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.66 | 2.63 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.34 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Bichakhchyan V. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
- 19', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 24', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
- 33', Mulligan J. 🟨,
- 37', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 1, Bushiri R. ⚽, Cadden N. (A),
- 57', Cadden Ch. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
- 57', McGrath J. ↓, Chaiwa M. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Boyle M. ⚽, Bushiri R. (A),
- 61', 1 - 3, Chaiwa M. ⚽,
- 62', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
- 66', Hoilett J. 🟨,
- 67', Kapustka B. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 67', Augustyniak R. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
- 74', Elitim J. 🟨,
- 79', Cadden N. ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
- 79', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 79', Wszolek P. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 80', Obita J. 🟨,
- 86', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 88', Boyle M. 🟨,
- 90', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 90', Boyle M. ↓, Megwa K. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Elitim J. ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 91', Levitt D. ↓, Youan T. ↑,
- 91', Nsame J. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 98', 3 - 3, Rajovic M. ⚽, Ziolkowski J. (A),
- 101', Obita J. ↓, Klidje T. ↑,
- 115', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
- 120+1', Bowie K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw 58.1% | Draw 23.1% | Hibernian 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+3%)
Legia Warsaw - Hibernian Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.68) |
4 ↑ (3.84) |
4.93 ↑ (4.1) |
7.5% (10%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Hibernian?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 99.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Hibernian?
Legia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Legia Warsaw?
Hibernian has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Hibernian were as follows:
21.08.2025
Hibernian
-
Legia Warsaw
1:2
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Hibernian
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Zrinjski | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
2 | AEK Larnaca | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 3 |
3 | Sparta Prague | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
4 | Lech Poznan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
5 | Lausanne | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
6 | Celje | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
7 | Crystal Palace | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
8 | Rayo Vallecano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
9 | Fiorentina | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
10 | Rakow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
11 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
12 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
13 | Mainz | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
14 | Samsunspor | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
15 | Jagiellonia | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
16 | Noah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
17 | Drita | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
18 | KuPS | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
19 | Hacken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
20 | Shelbourne | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
21 | Aberdeen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
22 | Slovan Bratislava | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
23 | Rijeka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
24 | Omonia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
25 | Legia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
26 | Hamrun | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
27 | AEK Athens FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
28 | Sigma Olomouc | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
29 | Dyn. Kyiv | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
30 | Shkendija | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
31 | Univ. Craiova | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
32 | SK Rapid | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
33 | Shamrock Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
34 | Breidablik | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
35 | AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
36 | Lincoln Red Imps | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)