Result
3:3 ET
28/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Conference League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Poland | sport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
United-kingdom | Solidsport TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (497/594) | 80% (365/455) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.63 | 2.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 23 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (497/594) | 80% (365/455) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (48/93) | 41% (29/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (127/186) | 70% (126/180) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (4/18) | 22% (7/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 1.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (16/24) | 91% (10/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.66 | 2.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.34 | -0.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', 1 - 0, Bichakhchyan V. ⚽, Kapustka B. (A),
- 19', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
- 24', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
- 33', Mulligan J. 🟨,
- 37', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 3)
- 50', 1 - 1, Bushiri R. ⚽, Cadden N. (A),
- 57', Cadden Ch. ↓, Hoilett J. ↑,
- 57', McGrath J. ↓, Chaiwa M. ↑,
- 59', 1 - 2, Boyle M. ⚽, Bushiri R. (A),
- 61', 1 - 3, Chaiwa M. ⚽,
- 62', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
- 66', Hoilett J. 🟨,
- 67', Kapustka B. ↓, Rajovic M. ↑,
- 67', Augustyniak R. ↓, Szymanski D. ↑,
- 74', Elitim J. 🟨,
- 79', Cadden N. ↓, Iredale J. ↑,
- 79', Bichakhchyan V. ↓, Stojanovic P. ↑,
- 79', Wszolek P. ↓, Alfarela M. ↑,
- 80', Obita J. 🟨,
- 86', Szymanski D. 🟨,
- 88', Boyle M. 🟨,
- 90', Jedrzejczyk A. ↓, Shkurin I. ↑,
- 90', Boyle M. ↓, Megwa K. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 3, Elitim J. ⚽, Vinagre R. (A),
- Extra Time (1 - 0)
- 91', Levitt D. ↓, Youan T. ↑,
- 91', Nsame J. ↓, Urbanski W. ↑,
- 98', 3 - 3, Rajovic M. ⚽, Ziolkowski J. (A),
- 101', Obita J. ↓, Klidje T. ↑,
- 115', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
- 120+1', Bowie K. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Legia Warsaw 58.1% | Draw 23.1% | Hibernian 18.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+3%)
Legia Warsaw - Hibernian Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.68) |
4 ↑ (3.84) |
4.93 ↑ (4.1) |
7.5% (10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Hibernian?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Legia Warsaw will win
(36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 99.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Legia Warsaw won against Hibernian?
Legia Warsaw has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hibernian won against Legia Warsaw?
Hibernian has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Hibernian were as follows:
21.08.2025
Hibernian
-
Legia Warsaw
1:2
Latest results of Legia Warsaw
Latest results of Hibernian
UEFA Europa Conference League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Fiorentina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | AEK Larnaca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Celje | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 6 |
| 4 | Lausanne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Samsunspor | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 6 | Mainz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 | Rayo Vallecano | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Rakow | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Strasbourg | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Noah | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | AEK Athens FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 3 |
| 13 | Zrinjski | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:1 | 4 | 3 |
| 14 | Lech Poznan | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 15 | Sparta Prague | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 16 | Crystal Palace | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 17 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 18 | Legia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 19 | Rijeka | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 20 | Shkendija | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 3 |
| 21 | AZ Alkmaar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
| 22 | Lincoln Red Imps | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Drita | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 24 | Hacken | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 25 | KuPS | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
| 26 | Omonia | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 27 | Shelbourne | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
| 28 | Sigma Olomouc | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 29 | Univ. Craiova | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 30 | Breidablik | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 32 | Hamrun | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 33 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 34 | Dyn. Kyiv | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
| 35 | SK Rapid | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:7 | -6 | 0 |
| 36 | Aberdeen | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:9 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Conference League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)