Legia Warsaw vs Hibernian – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Europa Conference League Legia Warsaw - Hibernian
Result
3:3 ET
28/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Conference League - Qualification - Final
  • Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
polandPolandsport.tvp.pl, TVP 1, TVP Sport app
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSolidsport TV

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.64
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1123
Shots on target
711
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
58
Passes
84% (497/594)80% (365/455)
Yellow Cards
66
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.641.64
xG on target (xGOT)
2.632.66
Total shots
1123
Shots on target
711
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
514
Shots outside the Box
69
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
58
Touches in opposition box
2031
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1214
Passes
84% (497/594)80% (365/455)
Long passes
52% (48/93)41% (29/70)
Passes in final third
68% (127/186)70% (126/180)
Crosses
22% (4/18)22% (7/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.781.60
Throw-ins
1823
Fouls
1615
Tackles
67% (16/24)91% (10/11)
Duels won
5741
Clearances
4839
Interceptions
116
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
84
xGOT faced
2.662.63
Goals prevented
-0.34-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Bichakhchyan V. , Kapustka B. (A),
  • 19', Augustyniak R. 🟨,
  • 24', Jedrzejczyk A. 🟨,
  • 33', Mulligan J. 🟨,
  • 37', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 50', 1 - 1, Bushiri R. , Cadden N. (A),
  • 57', Cadden Ch. , Hoilett J. ,
  • 57', McGrath J. , Chaiwa M. ,
  • 59', 1 - 2, Boyle M. , Bushiri R. (A),
  • 61', 1 - 3, Chaiwa M. ,
  • 62', Chaiwa M. 🟨,
  • 66', Hoilett J. 🟨,
  • 67', Kapustka B. , Rajovic M. ,
  • 67', Augustyniak R. , Szymanski D. ,
  • 74', Elitim J. 🟨,
  • 79', Cadden N. , Iredale J. ,
  • 79', Bichakhchyan V. , Stojanovic P. ,
  • 79', Wszolek P. , Alfarela M. ,
  • 80', Obita J. 🟨,
  • 86', Szymanski D. 🟨,
  • 88', Boyle M. 🟨,
  • 90', Jedrzejczyk A. , Shkurin I. ,
  • 90', Boyle M. , Megwa K. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 3, Elitim J. , Vinagre R. (A),
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Levitt D. , Youan T. ,
  • 91', Nsame J. , Urbanski W. ,
  • 98', 3 - 3, Rajovic M. , Ziolkowski J. (A),
  • 101', Obita J. , Klidje T. ,
  • 115', Ziolkowski J. 🟨,
  • 120+1', Bowie K. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Legia Warsaw
58.1%
Draw
23.1%
Hibernian
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 23.7% 22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 23.3% 21.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Legia Warsaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • Hibernian has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Legia Warsaw than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hibernian than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Legia Warsaw - Hibernian Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.61
    (1.68)
    4
    (3.84)
    4.93
    (4.1)
    7.5%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Legia Warsaw - Hibernian?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Legia Warsaw will win (36 of 40 users predict this - 90%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 80.7%99.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Legia Warsaw will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 2-1. 2nd leg.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • In this match, Legia is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Legia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Legia Warsaw - Hibernian were as follows:
    21.08.2025 Hibernian - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    Latest results of Legia Warsaw
    Latest results of Hibernian
    21.08.2025 Hibernian - Legia Warsaw 1:2
    17.08.2025 Livingston - Hibernian 0:2
    14.08.2025 Hibernian - Partizan 2:3
    10.08.2025 Hibernian - Kilmarnock 2:2
    07.08.2025 Partizan - Hibernian 0:2
    UEFA Europa Conference League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Zrinjski11005:053
    2AEK Larnaca11004:043
    3Sparta Prague11004:133
    4Lech Poznan11004:133
    5Lausanne11003:033
    6Celje11003:123
    7Crystal Palace11002:023
    8Rayo Vallecano11002:023
    9Fiorentina11002:023
    10Rakow11002:023
    11Shakhtar Donetsk11003:213
    12Strasbourg11002:113
    13Mainz11001:013
    14Samsunspor11001:013
    15Jagiellonia11001:013
    16Noah11001:013
    17Drita10101:101
    18KuPS10101:101
    19Hacken10100:001
    20Shelbourne10100:001
    21Aberdeen10012:3-10
    22Slovan Bratislava10011:2-10
    23Rijeka10010:1-10
    24Omonia10010:1-10
    25Legia10010:1-10
    26Hamrun10010:1-10
    27AEK Athens FC10011:3-20
    28Sigma Olomouc10010:2-20
    29Dyn. Kyiv10010:2-20
    30Shkendija10010:2-20
    31Univ. Craiova10010:2-20
    32SK Rapid10011:4-30
    33Shamrock Rovers10011:4-30
    34Breidablik10010:3-30
    35AZ Alkmaar10010:4-40
    36Lincoln Red Imps10010:5-50

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