Result
0:4
24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.17 | 2.41 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/24) | 19.05% (4/21) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 89.47% (17/19) | 100% (24/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 31 | 29 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 45.45 | 54.55 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 11:44, 0 - 1, Palmu P. (G), Kodytek P. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 03:43, Kangas K. (5 min),
- 03:43, Lindbohm P. (5 min),
- 08:05, Caron T. (2 min),
- 09:16, 0 - 2, Ashbrook T. (G), Josling S. (A), Kiviharju A. (A2)
- 11:37, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 10:07, Palmu P. (2 min),
- 10:07, Nikkila P. (2 min),
- 14:37, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 17:14, 0 - 3, Josling S. (G), Ashbrook T. (A),
- 18:59, 0 - 4, Makiaho D. (G),
Chances of winning
HPK
40% | Draw
24.8% | HIFK
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HPK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)The chances for HIFK have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HPK than the current prediction. (-2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
HPK - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↓
(2.45) |
3.69 ↑
(3.5) |
2.67 ↑
(2.65) |
7.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for HPK - HIFK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. HPK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 13 and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3.
- HPK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, HIFK has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HPK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that HPK will win today's game, with odds of 2.35.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HPK won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 43:64. (average 2.2:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, HPK won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.6:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has HPK won against HIFK?
HPK has won 4 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against HPK?
HIFK has won 19 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HPK - HIFK were as follows:
17.12.2025
HIFK
-
HPK
4:3
21.11.2025
HPK
-
HIFK
4:0
22.10.2025
HIFK
-
HPK
2:6
02.09.2025
HPK
-
HIFK
6:3
21.08.2025
HIFK
-
HPK
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
