Result
5:1
07/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.38 | 1.24 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 23.81% (5/21) | 4.17% (1/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 16 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.83% (23/24) | 76.19% (16/21) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 62 | 38 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (3 - 1)
- 03:40, 1 - 0, Marleau V. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Savolainen V. (A2)
- 04:25, 2 - 0, Josling S. (G), Somervuori J. (A),
- 06:01, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 14:49, 2 - 1, Borchardt C. (G), Okany A. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 17:09, Melart I. (2 min),
- 17:09, Kapanen K. (2 min),
- 18:37, 3 - 1, Ashbrook T. (G), Somppi O. (A), Larsen O. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 07:57, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 19:35, 4 - 1, Pakarinen I. (G), Lundell K. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 02:01, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 02:35, 5 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Ervasti K. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
Chances of winning
HIFK
41.7% | Draw
23.5% | KalPa
34.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
HIFK - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.25 ↓
(2.46) |
3.93 ↑
(3.72) |
2.71 ↑
(2.61) |
6.9%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for HIFK - KalPa?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). KalPa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): KalPa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.
- HIFK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, KalPa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 46:61. (average 2.3:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 2.6:2.6).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against KalPa?
HIFK has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against HIFK?
KalPa has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - KalPa were as follows:
17.10.2025
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:2
04.10.2025
KalPa
-
HIFK
3:0
10.01.2025
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:1
14.12.2024
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:4
16.11.2024
KalPa
-
HIFK
7:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
