Result
3:2
17/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV 3, MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.02 | 2.17 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12.5% (3/24) | 12.5% (2/16) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (14/16) | 87.5% (21/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 22 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 14.29% (1/7) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 85.71% (6/7) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 56.14 | 43.86 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 04:23, Rissanen J. (2 min),
- 08:46, 1 - 0, Kodytek P. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Sund T. (A2)
- 12:23, Karlsson A. (2 min),
- 14:57, Ervasti K. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 09:51, 2 - 0, Somppi O. (G), Sund T. (A), Larsen O. (A2)
- 11:12, Rajaniemi M. (2 min),
- 17:20, Okany A. (2 min),
- 17:20, Klemetti A. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 00:47, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 05:07, Curry P. (2 min),
- 05:35, 3 - 0, Kodytek P. (G), Marleau V. (A),
- 09:02, 3 - 1, Maenpaa J. (G), Hartikainen T. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
- 17:21, 3 - 2, Hartikainen T. (G), Borchardt C. (A), Maenpaa J. (A2)
Chances of winning
HIFK
31.2% | Draw
23.2% | KalPa
45.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HIFK - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.11 ↓
(3.47) |
4.17 ↓
(4.35) |
2.16 ↑
(1.86) |
2.5%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for HIFK - KalPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 2 - 50%). KalPa will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. HIFK (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 2.
- HIFK has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- KalPa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- KalPa will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- We predict that KalPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.86.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 46:64. (average 2.3:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 26:29. (average 2.6:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against KalPa?
HIFK has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against HIFK?
KalPa has won 9 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - KalPa were as follows:
04.10.2025
KalPa
-
HIFK
3:0
10.01.2025
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:1
14.12.2024
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:4
16.11.2024
KalPa
-
HIFK
7:2
26.10.2024
KalPa
-
HIFK
3:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 21 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 69:45 | 44 |
| 2 | JYP | 19 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 77:54 | 41 |
| 3 | Tappara | 21 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 73:50 | 38 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 72:62 | 36 |
| 5 | Jukurit | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 57:61 | 35 |
| 6 | Lukko | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 58:50 | 34 |
| 7 | SaiPa | 22 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 66:61 | 34 |
| 8 | Kiekko-Espoo | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 60:61 | 32 |
| 9 | KalPa | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 60:59 | 31 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 21 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 50:53 | 31 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 56:60 | 30 |
| 12 | Ilves | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60:71 | 27 |
| 13 | Karpat | 22 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 73:77 | 24 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 35:54 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 20 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 47:65 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 21 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 39:69 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
