HIFK vs KalPa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga HIFK - KalPa
Result
3:1
10/01/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.892.72
Shots on Goal
1918
Shots off Goal
1717
Shooting PCT
15.79% (3/19)5.56% (1/18)
Blocked Shots
75
Goalkeeper Saves
1716
Saves PCT
94.4% (17/18)84.2% (16/19)
Penalties
66
PIM
1212
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/6)0% (0/6)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (6/6)100% (6/6)
Faceoffs Won
2323
Faceoffs %
5050
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 01:36, 1 - 0, Lundell K. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Marleau V. (A2)
  • 04:19, Makiaho D. (2 min),
  • 06:32, Melart I. (2 min),
  • 12:01, Mattila J. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 03:40, (2 min),
  • 08:40, 1 - 1, Okany A. (G), Lantta J. (A), Mattila J. (A2)
  • 09:21, 2 - 1, Melart I. (G), Marleau V. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
  • 10:01, Kanak L. (2 min),
  • 13:54, Manninen O. (2 min),
  • 16:27, Komarov L. (2 min),
  • 16:27, Lantta J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 00:43, Pakarinen I. (2 min),
  • 07:47, Rissanen J. (2 min),
  • 10:48, Maenpaa J. (2 min),
  • 13:38, Sund T. (2 min),
  • 17:21, 3 - 1, Asten M. (G), Melart I. (A),

Chances of winning


HIFK
28.4%
Draw
22.4%
KalPa
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.4% 24.2% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 23.8% 41%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that HIFK's form might have worsened.
  • KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting KalPa's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for HIFK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for KalPa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • HIFK - KalPa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.63)
    4.19
    (3.85)
    1.91
    (2.3)
    6.3%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • What is the prediction for HIFK - KalPa?
  • Users Predictions: HIFK will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches HIFK won 1.
    • Recent matches HIFK is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • KalPa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • KalPa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • KalPa will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches HIFK won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 52:63 (average 2.6:3.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams HIFK won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 32:31 (average 2.9:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - KalPa were as follows:
    14.12.2024 HIFK - KalPa 3:4
    16.11.2024 KalPa - HIFK 7:2
    26.10.2024 KalPa - HIFK 3:4
    12.03.2024 HIFK - KalPa 0:3
    03.02.2024 KalPa - HIFK 4:2
    Latest results of HIFK
    08.01.2025 SaiPa - HIFK 2:0
    04.01.2025 HIFK - Pelicans 6:3
    03.01.2025 Pelicans - HIFK 4:0
    28.12.2024 Mikkelin Jukurit - HIFK 5:2
    26.12.2024 HIFK - HPK 4:3
    Latest results of KalPa
    08.01.2025 KalPa - Mikkelin Jukurit 3:2
    04.01.2025 Tappara - KalPa 2:4
    03.01.2025 KalPa - Tappara 5:2
    28.12.2024 Ilves - KalPa 4:1
    27.12.2024 KalPa - SaiPa 9:2
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

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          Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
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