Result
1:4
11/03/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.78 | 3.09 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.26% (1/19) | 14.29% (4/28) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.89% (24/27) | 94.74% (18/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 31 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 22 | 36 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 37.93 | 62.07 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 00:15, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 04:35, Lantta J. (2 min),
- 06:43, 0 - 1, Palmu P. (G), Larsen O. (A), Alnefelt H. (A2)
- 12:49, Melart I. (2 min),
- 15:54, Melart I. (2 min),
- 17:33, 1 - 1, Saarelainen J. (G), Curry P. (A), Hartikainen T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 01:41, Ruotsalainen V. (2 min),
- 11:31, Marleau V. (5 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 02:20, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 10:53, 1 - 2, Vanhatalo L. (G), Uronen A. (A), Melart I. (A2)
- 11:57, 1 - 3, Pakarinen I. (G), Somppi O. (A),
- 15:48, Korhonen B. (2 min),
- 19:48, 1 - 4, Kodytek P. (G),
Chances of winning
KalPa
41.4% | Draw
24.3% | HIFK
34.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
KalPa - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.27 ↑
(2.2) |
3.83 ↑
(3.7) |
2.7 ↓
(2.9) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for KalPa - HIFK?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
KalPa will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 2.
- KalPa is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- HIFK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 58:51. (average 2.9:2.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:20. (average 3.4:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against HIFK?
KalPa has won 9 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against KalPa?
HIFK has won 7 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - HIFK were as follows:
07.01.2026
HIFK
-
KalPa
5:1
17.10.2025
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:2
04.10.2025
KalPa
-
HIFK
3:0
10.01.2025
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:1
14.12.2024
HIFK
-
KalPa
3:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara ✔ | 57 | 34 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 214:138 | 113 |
| 2 | SaiPa | 58 | 30 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 197:154 | 109 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 57 | 30 | 7 | 2 | 18 | 201:148 | 106 |
| 4 | JYP | 57 | 25 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 191:164 | 103 |
| 5 | Ilves | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 175:144 | 101 |
| 6 | Lukko | 57 | 27 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 173:145 | 101 |
| 7 | KalPa | 58 | 27 | 7 | 5 | 19 | 174:170 | 100 |
| 8 | Assat ✔ | 57 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 23 | 155:156 | 88 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo ✔ | 58 | 21 | 5 | 11 | 21 | 147:155 | 84 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 57 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 130:149 | 80 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 57 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 26 | 137:178 | 79 |
| 12 | Hameenlinna | 57 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 138:158 | 72 |
| 13 | TPS Turku | 57 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 25 | 134:162 | 71 |
| 14 | Jukurit | 57 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 127:156 | 64 |
| 15 | Karpat | 57 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 167:188 | 63 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 58 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 37 | 107:202 | 40 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tappara is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Assat is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kiekko-Espoo is Qualified for Liiga (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
