Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.23 | 1.68 |
Shots on Goal |
---|
28 | 27 |
Shots off Goal |
---|
18 | 7 |
Shooting PCT |
---|
3.57% (1/28) | 7.41% (2/27) |
Blocked Shots |
---|
9 | 9 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
25 | 27 |
Saves PCT |
---|
92.59% (25/27) | 96.43% (27/28) |
Penalties |
---|
1 | 2 |
PIM |
---|
2 | 4 |
Power-play Goals |
---|
0 | 0 |
Shorthanded Goals |
---|
0 | 0 |
Power-play PCT |
---|
0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
Pen. Killing PCT |
---|
100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
Faceoffs Won |
---|
22 | 36 |
Faceoffs % |
---|
37.93 | 62.07 |
Empty Net Goals |
---|
0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 17:55, 0 - 1, Palmu P. (G), Marleau V. (A), Kodytek P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 19:10, Lehtera J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:11, 1 - 1, Virta P. (G), Bjork M. (A), Turunen T. (A2)
- 11:47, Masin D. (2 min),
- 12:26, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 19:32, 1 - 2, Pakarinen I. (G),
Chances of winning
Kärpät 40.1% | Draw 23% | HIFK 36.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kärpät's form might have worsened.HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HIFK's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kärpät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HIFK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kärpät - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.38 ↑ (2.06) |
4.09 ↓ (4.1) |
2.54 ↓ (3) |
5.8% (6.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 2.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- HIFK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 41:55 (average 2.1:2.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:30 (average 2.4:3).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HIFK?
Kärpät has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Kärpät?
HIFK has won 12 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HIFK were as follows:
14.03.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
3:0
15.02.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
2:3
02.11.2024
Kärpät
-
HIFK
2:3
01.11.2024
HIFK
-
Kärpät
2:3
04.10.2024
HIFK
-
Kärpät
3:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )