Result
0:1
05/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.83 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/15) | 4.76% (1/21) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95.24% (20/21) | 100% (15/15) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 64.29 | 35.71 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 10:31, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 10:54, Kantner M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 07:02, Salmela T. (2 min),
- 18:45, Ragnarsson J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 06:12, Virta P. (2 min),
- 07:37, 0 - 1, Karjalainen J. (G), Lundell K. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
47.9% | Draw
23.8% | HIFK
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↑
(1.91) |
3.9 ↑
(3.82) |
3.29 ↓
(3.66) |
7.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kärpät - HIFK?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Kärpät will win (votes: 2 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Kärpät could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 41:57. (average 2.1:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 22:28. (average 2.2:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HIFK?
Kärpät has won 6 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Kärpät?
HIFK has won 14 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HIFK were as follows:
15.11.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
5:2
14.11.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
4:3
15.03.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
1:2
14.03.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
3:0
15.02.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
