Result
5:2
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.92 | 2.76 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 6.06% (2/33) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 15 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.94% (31/33) | 78.95% (15/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 66.67% (2/3) | 33.33% (1/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 36 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.14 | 42.86 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 0)
- 13:18, 1 - 0, Paaso A. (G), Salmela T. (A), Ojantakanen K. (A2)
- 17:35, 2 - 0, Virta P. (G), Raty Aku (A), Antti-Roiko A. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 15:51, Ashbrook T. (2 min),
- 17:36, 3 - 0, Nutivaara M. (G), Virta P. (A), Antti-Roiko A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (2 - 2)
- 04:42, Antti-Roiko A. (2 min),
- 05:25, 3 - 1, Marleau V. (G), Makiaho D. (A), Palmu P. (A2)
- 06:14, Erholtz E. (2 min),
- 06:14, Josling S. (2 min),
- 06:14, (2 min),
- 11:50, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 12:36, 4 - 1, Raty Aku (G), Kantner M. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
- 15:43, 4 - 2, Marleau V. (G), Kodytek P. (A),
- 17:57, 5 - 2, Tichacek J. (G), Bjork M. (A), Kantner M. (A2)
Chances of winning
Kärpät
51.8% | Draw
22.2% | HIFK
26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.55) |
4.28 ↓
(4.82) |
3.7 ↓
(4.89) |
5.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Kärpät is a strong favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 37:55. (average 1.9:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 17:26. (average 1.9:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HIFK?
Kärpät has won 5 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Kärpät?
HIFK has won 14 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HIFK were as follows:
14.11.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
4:3
15.03.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
1:2
14.03.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
3:0
15.02.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
2:3
02.11.2024
Kärpät
-
HIFK
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 24 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 74:50 | 48 |
| 2 | JYP | 21 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 86:59 | 46 |
| 3 | Tappara | 24 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 82:55 | 45 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 24 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 8 | 86:67 | 43 |
| 5 | Lukko | 23 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 68:64 | 38 |
| 6 | Jukurit | 25 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 61:67 | 37 |
| 7 | TPS Turku | 25 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 58:61 | 36 |
| 8 | SaiPa | 24 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 72:69 | 35 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 24 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 67:70 | 35 |
| 10 | KalPa | 21 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 68:66 | 34 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 23 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 62:63 | 34 |
| 12 | Ilves | 24 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 69:77 | 33 |
| 13 | Karpat | 25 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 81:84 | 30 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 23 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 40:61 | 26 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 22 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 53:70 | 24 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 16 | 42:86 | 20 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
