Kärpät vs HIFK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga Kärpät - HIFK
Result
1:2
15/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FINLAND: Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+
swedenSwedenTV4 Play

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.231.68
Shots on Goal
2827
Shots off Goal
187
Shooting PCT
3.57% (1/28)7.41% (2/27)
Blocked Shots
99
Goalkeeper Saves
2527
Saves PCT
92.59% (25/27)96.43% (27/28)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (2/2)
Faceoffs Won
2236
Faceoffs %
37.9362.07
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 17:55, 0 - 1, Palmu P. (G), Marleau V. (A), Kodytek P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 19:10, Lehtera J. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:11, 1 - 1, Virta P. (G), Bjork M. (A), Turunen T. (A2)
  • 11:47, Masin D. (2 min),
  • 12:26, Kodytek P. (2 min),
  • 19:32, 1 - 2, Pakarinen I. (G),

Chances of winning


Kärpät
40.1%
Draw
23%
HIFK
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 23% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5% 24.4% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kärpät's form might have worsened.
  • HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting HIFK's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+8.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kärpät, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HIFK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kärpät - HIFK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.38
    (2.06)
    4.09
    (4.1)
    2.54
    (3)
    5.8%
    (6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 2.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • HIFK could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kärpät won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 41:55 (average 2.1:2.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kärpät won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 24:30 (average 2.4:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - HIFK were as follows:
    14.03.2025 HIFK - Kärpät 3:0
    15.02.2025 Kärpät - HIFK 2:3
    02.11.2024 Kärpät - HIFK 2:3
    01.11.2024 HIFK - Kärpät 2:3
    04.10.2024 HIFK - Kärpät 3:4
    Latest results of Kärpät
    14.03.2025 HIFK - Kärpät 3:0
    12.03.2025 Tappara - Kärpät 0:3
    08.03.2025 Kärpät - Tappara 2:4
    05.03.2025 Kärpät - JYP 4:3
    01.03.2025 Ässät - Kärpät 3:1
    Latest results of HIFK
    14.03.2025 HIFK - Kärpät 3:0
    07.03.2025 HPK - HIFK 2:3
    05.03.2025 HIFK - SaiPa 3:4
    01.03.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - HIFK 4:3
    28.02.2025 HIFK - JYP 1:0
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat000000:00
    2Hameenlinna000000:00
    3IFK Helsinki000000:00
    4Ilves000000:00
    5JYP000000:00
    6KalPa000000:00
    7Lukko000000:00
    8Pelicans000000:00
    9SaiPa000000:00
    10Tappara000000:00
    11TPS Turku000000:00
    12Karpat000000:00
    13KooKoo000000:00
    14Vaasan Sport000000:00
    15Jukurit000000:00
    16Kiekko-Espoo000000:00

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