Result
3:2
06/02/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 0.98 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 12% (3/25) | 14.29% (2/14) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (12/14) | 88% (22/25) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 29 | 17 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 63.04 | 36.96 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 06:42, Paaso A. (2 min),
- 19:56, Hakanpaa J. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 06:19, 0 - 1, Hermonen J. (G), Raty Aku (A),
- 16:18, Karjalainen A. (2 min),
- 16:30, 0 - 2, Kantner M. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
- 17:02, 1 - 2, Ashbrook T. (G), Kiviharju A. (A), Salmela S. (A2)
- 17:36, 2 - 2, Makiaho D. (G), Ervasti K. (A), Palmu P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 04:52, 3 - 2, Vanhatalo L. (G), Uronen A. (A),
Chances of winning
HIFK
47.7% | Draw
23.6% | Kärpät
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Kärpät has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
HIFK - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.94 ↑
(1.92) |
3.94 ↑
(3.83) |
3.25 ↓
(3.48) |
7.7%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for HIFK - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Kärpät will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Kärpät (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, OT - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 15).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 4.
- HIFK is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Kärpät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- HIFK is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- We predict that HIFK will win today's game, with odds of 1.9.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 56:41. (average 2.8:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 27:19. (average 3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Kärpät?
HIFK has won 15 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against HIFK?
Kärpät has won 6 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Kärpät were as follows:
05.12.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
0:1
15.11.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
5:2
14.11.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
4:3
15.03.2025
Kärpät
-
HIFK
1:2
14.03.2025
HIFK
-
Kärpät
3:0
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
