Result
3:2 OT
24/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.90 | 1.83 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.09% (3/33) | 11.76% (2/17) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.24% (15/17) | 90.91% (30/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.32 | 40.68 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 06:30, 1 - 0, Ervasti K. (G), Hartikainen S. (A),
- 16:28, Nieminen D. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 08:08, Teutari E. (2 min),
- 14:59, Larsen O. (2 min),
- 18:48, 2 - 0, Karjalainen J. (G), Repo S. (A),
- 3rd Period (0 - 2)
- 07:39, Teutari E. (2 min),
- 11:53, Sippola O. (2 min),
- 13:59, 2 - 1, Edmonds L. (G), Ciernik A. (A), Kettunen A. (A2)
- 19:40, 2 - 2, Forsberg C. (G), Zetterberg L. (A), Jordan M. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:26, 3 - 2, Sund T. (G), Lehtera J. (A), Repo S. (A2)
Chances of winning
HIFK
49.6% | Draw
22.7% | Pelicans
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in HIFK's performance.Pelicans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pelicans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pelicans than the current prediction. (+6.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pelicans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
HIFK - Pelicans Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.32) |
4.32 ↑
(3.76) |
3.65 ↑
(2.72) |
2.8%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for HIFK - Pelicans?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. HIFK will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Pelicans will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - HIFK (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. HIFK (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 1.
- HIFK is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Pelicans's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- HIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 47:57. (average 2.4:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:21. (average 2.4:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Pelicans?
HIFK has won 9 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pelicans won against HIFK?
Pelicans has won 15 of their last 24 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Pelicans were as follows:
13.09.2025
Pelicans
-
HIFK
5:2
04.01.2025
HIFK
-
Pelicans
6:3
03.01.2025
Pelicans
-
HIFK
4:0
23.10.2024
Pelicans
-
HIFK
6:4
28.09.2024
HIFK
-
Pelicans
2:5
Latest results of Pelicans
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
