TPS vs HIFK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga TPS - HIFK
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


TPS
53.7%
Draw
21.7%
HIFK
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.7% 21.8% 24.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 21.4% 23.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • The chances for TPS have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • TPS - HIFK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.74)
    4.32
    (4.28)
    3.81
    (3.82)
    6.7%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
    • TPS has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • HIFK is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • HIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, HIFK has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, TPS is the team to beat.
    • We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.74.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 48:49. (average 2.4:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - HIFK were as follows:
    21.02.2025 HIFK - TPS 3:2
    11.01.2025 TPS - HIFK 2:3
    18.10.2024 TPS - HIFK 2:4
    16.10.2024 HIFK - TPS 4:3
    08.03.2024 HIFK - TPS 2:3
    Latest results of TPS
    24.09.2025 KooKoo - TPS 4:3
    23.09.2025 Tappara - TPS 1:2
    20.09.2025 TPS - KalPa 0:3
    17.09.2025 TPS - Pelicans 3:1
    13.09.2025 TPS - Lukko 3:0
    Latest results of HIFK
    24.09.2025 HIFK - Pelicans 3:2
    20.09.2025 HIFK - SaiPa 1:4
    17.09.2025 HIFK - Lukko 1:5
    13.09.2025 Pelicans - HIFK 5:2
    12.09.2025 HIFK - Kiekko-Espoo 2:4
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1TPS Turku7411117:1315
    2Kiekko-Espoo7402121:1614
    3Assat5400122:1012
    4Tappara5400121:912
    5JYP5400123:1412
    6Lukko6300322:199
    7KooKoo6210319:228
    8KalPa6210319:258
    9SaiPa6201319:207
    10Pelicans6112212:167
    11Vaasan Sport6200414:156
    12Karpat5200315:186
    13Jukurit5200312:186
    14Hameenlinna5111210:166
    15Ilves6110417:235
    16IFK Helsinki6110414:235

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