Result
4:3
20/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 2.29 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (4/24) | 16.67% (3/18) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 20 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (15/18) | 83.33% (20/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 28.57% (2/7) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 71.43% (5/7) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 30 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.15 | 53.85 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 00:25, 1 - 0, Wernblom L. (G), Savinainen V. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 02:47, Marleau V. (2 min),
- 17:18, 1 - 1, Lundell K. (G), Palmu P. (A), Larsen O. (A2)
- 18:49, Josling S. (2 min),
- 18:49, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 18:53, 2 - 1, Lehtonen S. (G), Pakkila E. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 02:24, Sippola O. (2 min),
- 02:39, 2 - 2, Marleau V. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Salmela S. (A2)
- 08:33, 2 - 3, Karjalainen A. (G), Sinivuori L. (A), Seppala J. (A2)
- 18:40, Josling S. (2 min),
- 19:58, Kodytek P. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 0)
- 00:18, 3 - 3, Saarela A. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Savinainen V. (A2)
- 03:33, 4 - 3, Wernblom L. (G), Savinainen V. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
- 11:14, Landen A. (2 min),
- 18:55, Makiaho D. (2 min),
Chances of winning
TPS
42.9% | Draw
24.4% | HIFK
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+6.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for TPS, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for HIFK, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
TPS - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.02) |
3.82 ↓
(3.85) |
2.86 ↓
(3.33) |
7.3%
(5.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- HIFK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- TPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 47:49. (average 2.4:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.9:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against HIFK?
TPS has won 6 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against TPS?
HIFK has won 9 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - HIFK were as follows:
19.12.2025
HIFK
-
TPS
3:4
28.11.2025
HIFK
-
TPS
3:2
27.09.2025
TPS
-
HIFK
1:2
21.02.2025
HIFK
-
TPS
3:2
11.01.2025
TPS
-
HIFK
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
