Result
3:2
28/11/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.43 | 1.89 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.09% (3/33) | 11.76% (2/17) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 15 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.24% (15/17) | 90.91% (30/33) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 33.33% (1/3) | 20% (1/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 80% (4/5) | 66.67% (2/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 02:01, Nykyri N. (2 min),
- 07:43, Josling S. (2 min),
- 10:27, Lehtonen S. (2 min),
- 11:33, 1 - 0, Makiaho D. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Sund T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 07:30, Josling S. (2 min),
- 07:30, Lauridsen O. (2 min),
- 09:45, 2 - 0, Makiaho D. (G), Ervasti K. (A), Karjalainen J. (A2)
- 18:22, Teissala L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 02:59, Ragnarsson J. (2 min),
- 12:15, 3 - 0, Josling S. (G), Somervuori J. (A),
- 12:34, Makiaho D. (2 min),
- 14:30, 3 - 1, Savinainen V. (G), Maatta J. (A), Wernblom L. (A2)
- 18:11, 3 - 2, Reunanen T. (G), Savinainen V. (A),
Chances of winning
HIFK
39.5% | Draw
25.1% | TPS
35.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
HIFK - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.4 ↓
(2.76) |
3.69 ↑
(3.56) |
2.66 ↑
(2.4) |
6.3%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 5.
- HIFK has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- TPS is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:47. (average 2.6:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 2.7:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against TPS?
HIFK has won 8 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against HIFK?
TPS has won 5 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - TPS were as follows:
27.09.2025
TPS
-
HIFK
1:2
21.02.2025
HIFK
-
TPS
3:2
11.01.2025
TPS
-
HIFK
2:3
18.10.2024
TPS
-
HIFK
2:4
16.10.2024
HIFK
-
TPS
4:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
