Result
1:2
27/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 2.26 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 11.11% (2/18) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.89% (16/18) | 95% (19/20) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 14.29% (1/7) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (6/7) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 51.61 | 48.39 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 01:32, 0 - 1, Hartikainen S. (G), Seppala J. (A), Makiaho D. (A2)
- 02:36, Nykyri N. (2 min),
- 10:46, Karjalainen J. (2 min),
- 16:41, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:24, 1 - 1, Wernblom L. (G), Saarela A. (A),
- 08:25, Saarela A. (2 min),
- 13:45, Lehtonen S. (2 min),
- 13:45, Sippola O. (2 min),
- 15:26, Teissala L. (2 min),
- 15:26, Teissala L. (5 min),
- 15:26, Nykyri N. (5 min),
- 16:50, 1 - 2, Makiaho D. (G), Marleau V. (A), Palmu P. (A2)
- 17:36, Soderlund T. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
TPS
51.1% | Draw
21.9% | HIFK
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
TPS - HIFK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↑
(1.74) |
4.33 ↑
(4.28) |
3.47 ↓
(3.82) |
4.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for TPS - HIFK?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 3 - 50%). HIFK will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 1.
- Recent performances by TPS have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- HIFK is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- HIFK may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, HIFK has had a series of home games.
- In this match, TPS is a strong favorite.
- We predict that TPS will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 48:49. (average 2.4:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 21:22. (average 2.1:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against HIFK?
TPS has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against TPS?
HIFK has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - HIFK were as follows:
21.02.2025
HIFK
-
TPS
3:2
11.01.2025
TPS
-
HIFK
2:3
18.10.2024
TPS
-
HIFK
2:4
16.10.2024
HIFK
-
TPS
4:3
08.03.2024
HIFK
-
TPS
2:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
