Result
4:3 OT
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 5.29 | 1.71 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 44 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.09% (4/44) | 15% (3/20) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 40 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85% (17/20) | 90.91% (40/44) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 40% (2/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 53.06 | 46.94 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 12:24, Aarnio A. (2 min),
- 13:34, 1 - 0, Lehtera J. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Ashbrook T. (A2)
- 13:34, (2 min),
- 17:47, Heikkinen I. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 13:04, Ortio J. (2 min),
- 14:08, 2 - 0, Marleau V. (G), Kodytek P. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
- 18:35, 2 - 1, Piipponen S. (G), Straka A. (A), Hult O. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:20, 2 - 2, Heikkinen I. (G), Hunt B. (A), Piipponen S. (A2)
- 04:10, Alnefelt H. (2 min),
- 10:36, 2 - 3, Johnsson T. (G), Timonen S. (A), Harma M. (A2)
- 12:43, 3 - 3, Makiaho D. (Penalty Shot),
- 19:58, Piipponen S. (2 min),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:51, 4 - 3, Ervasti K. (G), Marleau V. (A), Lehtera J. (A2)
Chances of winning
HIFK
74.7% | Draw
14.5% | Vaasan Sport
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
HIFK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HIFK than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with HIFK that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
HIFK - Vaasan Sport Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.25 ↓
(1.3) |
6.32 ↑
(5.66) |
8.72 ↑
(7.86) |
7.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 4.
- In recent matches, HIFK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Vaasa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Vaasa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, HIFK is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, HIFK won 13 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 53:37. (average 2.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, HIFK won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:17. (average 2.9:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has HIFK won against Vaasan Sport?
HIFK has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vaasan Sport won against HIFK?
Vaasan Sport has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between HIFK - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
13.12.2025
Vaasan Sport
-
HIFK
3:2
18.12.2024
HIFK
-
Vaasan Sport
3:2
23.11.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
HIFK
0:1
09.03.2024
Vaasan Sport
-
HIFK
1:4
30.12.2023
HIFK
-
Vaasan Sport
4:1
Latest results of Vaasan Sport
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
