Western Force vs Highlanders – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union Super Rugby Western Force - Highlanders
Result
29:20
05/04/2025 at 04:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Rugby - Round 8
  • Referee: Way J. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaTSN+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Rugby
peruPeruDisney+
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Rugby
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomFloSports app, Sky Sports Mix, Sky Sports Mix
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Tries
52
Conversion Goals
22
Conversion Goal Attempts
52
Penalty Goals
02
Penalty Goal Attempts
02
Goals %
40100
Dropped Goals
00
Dropped Goal Attempts
00
Total Runs
18114
Metres Run With Ball
386422
Yellow Cards
11
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (19 - 20)
  • 8', Pietsch D. , Poolman G. ,
  • 11', Gilbert S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 13', Tizzano C. (Try),
  • 15', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 17', Nareki J. (Try),
  • 18', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 20', Gilbert S. (Try),
  • 21', Gilbert S. (Conversion Goal),
  • 26', Gilbert S. (Penalty Goal),
  • 37', Paenga-Amosa B. (Try),
  • 38', Donaldson B. (Conversion Goal),
  • 40', Grealy M. (Try),
  • 40', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
  • 2nd Half (10 - 0)
  • 41', Vikena S. , Taylor J. ,
  • 41', Tangitau C. , Manson M. ,
  • 45', Tavatavanawai T. , Tele'a T. ,
  • 45', Potter H. (Try),
  • 46', De Crespigny N. , Harris W. ,
  • 46', Paenga-Amosa B. , Dolly N. ,
  • 48', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
  • 48', Withy S. 🟥,
  • 48', Howden T. , Stodart W. ,
  • 48', Potter H. , Burey M. ,
  • 53', Poolman G. (Try),
  • 54', Tele'a T. , Tavatavanawai T. ,
  • 54', de Groot E. , Bartlett J. ,
  • 54', Ma'u S. , Kautai S. ,
  • 54', Hastie N. , Lennox A. ,
  • 54', Donaldson B. (Missed Conversion),
  • 56', Tomkinson S. 🟨,
  • 57', Burey M. , Potter H. ,
  • 63', Ekuasi V. , Prinsep R. ,
  • 67', Nareki J. 🟨,
  • 67', Withy S. , Loft M. ,
  • 67', Pearce M. , Moli A. ,
  • 67', Robertson T. , Smith J. ,
  • 69', Umaga-Jensen T. , Tele'a T. ,
  • 71', Stewart H. , Burey M. ,
  • 75', White N. , Fines-Leleiwasa I. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Western Force
56.8%
Draw
4%
Highlanders
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 4.1% 43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 4.6% 38.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Western Force has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Highlanders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Western Force than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Highlanders than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Western Force - Highlanders Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.63
    (1.76)
    23.4
    (22.5)
    2.36
    (2.14)
    8.3%
    (8.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 61.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
  • What is the prediction for Western Force - Highlanders?
  • Users Predictions: 1 users predict this event. Highlanders will win (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 33:30.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Rugby (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Western Force won 1.
    • Western Force is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Highlanders is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Highlanders could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Western Force will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Western Force won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 175:310 (average 17.5:31).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Western Force won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 73:138 (average 14.6:27.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Western Force - Highlanders were as follows:
    27.04.2024 Highlanders - Western Force 7:6
    22.04.2023 Western Force - Highlanders 30:17
    18.03.2023 Highlanders - Western Force 43:35
    Latest results of Western Force
    29.03.2025 Reds - Western Force 28:24
    23.03.2025 Western Force - Fijian Drua 52:15
    14.03.2025 Crusaders - Western Force 55:33
    08.03.2025 Waratahs - Western Force 34:10
    01.03.2025 Western Force - Reds 24:28
    Latest results of Highlanders
    28.03.2025 Brumbies - Highlanders 34:27
    21.03.2025 Highlanders - Reds 23:29
    14.03.2025 Highlanders - Hurricanes 18:20
    28.02.2025 Moana Pasifika - Highlanders 29:31
    22.02.2025 Highlanders - Blues 29:21
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Reds (5)32 : 12
    2Chiefs (1)Blues (6)19 : 20
    3Chiefs (1)Bye
    4Brumbies (3)Hurricanes (4)35 : 28

    Semi-finals
    1Crusaders (2)Blues (6)21 : 14
    2Chiefs (1)Brumbies (3)37 : 17

    Final
    1Crusaders (2)Chiefs (1)16 : 12