Result
2:1
27/09/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 11
- Referee: Klarlund F. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.79 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 77% (351/456) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.25 | 1.79 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.06 | 1.93 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 11 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/448) | 77% (351/456) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (40/88) | 34% (27/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (80/118) | 59% (102/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (1/4) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.83 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (7/9) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 39 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.93 | 3.06 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.06 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 32', 1 - 0, Justinussen A. ⚽, Kallsberg P. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Kallsberg P. ↓, Sulemana H. ↑,
- 67', Brandhof F. ↓, Baturina R. ↑,
- 67', Sene F. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Baturina R. ⚽, Saine A. (A),
- 72', Hausner S. ↓, Kolskogen O. ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Justinussen A. ⚽,
- 80', Schmidt N. ↓, Due Grandt M. ↑,
- 83', Moro A. ↓, Batigi J. ↑,
- 83', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Lusavec K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hillerød
49% | Draw
34% | Horsens
17% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hillerød's performance.Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Horsens might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-13.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hillerød that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+20%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Horsens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hillerød - Horsens Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.59 ↓
(2.64) |
4 ↑
(3.43) |
9.19 ↑
(2.56) |
-25.4%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Hillerød - Horsens?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 3.
- In recent matches, Hillerød has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Horsens is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Horsens may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Hillerød won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hillerød won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Horsens?
Hillerød has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Hillerød?
Horsens has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hillerød - Horsens were as follows:
25.10.2024
Hillerød
-
Horsens
2:0
26.07.2024
Horsens
-
Hillerød
3:2
24.05.2024
Hillerød
-
Horsens
2:0
05.04.2024
Horsens
-
Hillerød
1:0
27.10.2023
Horsens
-
Hillerød
1:3
Latest results of Hillerød
Latest results of Horsens
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:16 | 4 | 23 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 17:14 | 3 | 20 |
| 4 | Horsens | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 19 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 18 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 17 |
| 7 | B.93 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 17 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 21:16 | 5 | 16 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 14:17 | -3 | 16 |
| 10 | Hobro | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:21 | -8 | 11 |
| 11 | Koge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
