Result
3:1
23/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 17
- Referee: Gammelholm P. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (336/448) | 82% (523/637) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (336/448) | 82% (523/637) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (21/67) | 51% (33/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (59/106) | 72% (126/176) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 8% (1/12) | 10% (2/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.07 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 37 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.71 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, Kappenberger A. (Own goal),
- 33', Mouritz M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 0, Baturina R. ⚽, Kirkegaard K. (A),
- 52', Enghardt K. ↓, Arndal T. ↑,
- 52', Kallsberg P. ↓, Opoku S. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 0, Bruus A. ⚽,
- 55', 3 - 1, Opoku S. ⚽, Justinussen A. (A),
- 64', Bruus A. ↓, Saine A. ↑,
- 64', Madsen J. ↓, Milicevic I. ↑,
- 72', Due Grandt M. ↓, Toftegaard H. ↑,
- 72', Justinussen A. ↓, Kretzschmar N. ↑,
- 73', Kirkegaard K. ↓, Sene F. ↑,
- 73', Baturina R. ↓, Ouorou Y. ↑,
- 81', Boje-Larsen L. ↓, Glindtvad W. ↑,
- 86', Herdonsson A. ↓, Pingel S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Horsens
51.5% | Draw
26.5% | Hillerød
22% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Horsens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Hillerød has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Horsens than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Horsens, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Horsens - Hillerød Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.77) |
3.57 ↓
(3.62) |
4.29 ↓
(4.33) |
6.5%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Horsens - Hillerød?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 2.
- Horsens has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hillerød is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Horsens is a strong favorite.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Horsens won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.9:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Horsens won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Horsens won against Hillerød?
Horsens has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Horsens?
Hillerød has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Horsens - Hillerød were as follows:
27.09.2025
Hillerød
-
Horsens
2:1
25.10.2024
Hillerød
-
Horsens
2:0
26.07.2024
Horsens
-
Hillerød
3:2
24.05.2024
Hillerød
-
Horsens
2:0
05.04.2024
Horsens
-
Hillerød
1:0
Latest results of Horsens
Latest results of Hillerød
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 39:20 | 19 | 35 |
| 2 | Hillerod | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30:26 | 4 | 33 |
| 3 | Hvidovre IF | 19 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 28:22 | 6 | 32 |
| 4 | Esbjerg | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 28:26 | 2 | 32 |
| 5 | Horsens | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 29 |
| 6 | Aalborg | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 32:28 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 26 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 31:26 | 5 | 23 |
| 9 | B.93 | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 23:33 | -10 | 22 |
| 10 | Hobro | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 19:29 | -10 | 19 |
| 11 | Koge | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 23:35 | -12 | 19 |
| 12 | Middelfart ✔ | 19 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 19:37 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Middelfart is 1st Division (Relegation Group )
