Middelfart vs Hillerød – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Middelfart - Hillerød
Result
1:2
04/10/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 12
  • Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.72
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
64% (262/409)60% (214/356)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.691.72
xG on target (xGOT)
0.951.90
Total shots
813
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
310
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2721
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1014
Passes
64% (262/409)60% (214/356)
Long passes
32% (30/94)23% (18/78)
Passes in final third
51% (82/161)46% (43/93)
Crosses
27% (7/26)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.47
Throw-ins
2725
Fouls
1410
Tackles
92% (11/12)56% (5/9)
Duels won
5763
Clearances
2452
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
1.900.95
Goals prevented
-0.10-0.05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Akale A. , Vetter J. (A),
  • 35', 1 - 1, Mouritz M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', Vetter J. 🟨,
  • 65', 1 - 2, Justinussen A. ,
  • 67', Kallsberg P. , Arndal T. ,
  • 68', Boesen M. , Pedersen S. ,
  • 68', Barholt N. , Jensen L. ,
  • 73', Dedes V. , Enghardt K. ,
  • 73', Schmidt N. , Due Grandt M. ,
  • 80', Vetter J. , Wielzen J. ,
  • 82', Jalaei S. , Opoku S. ,
  • 86', Villemoes J. , Boyum Johansen C. ,

Chances of winning


Middelfart
28.8%
Draw
25.9%
Hillerød
45.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.4% 23.9% 48.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5% 24% 48.5%

Middelfart - Hillerød Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.23
(3.43)
3.58
(3.94)
2.09
(1.93)
6.7%
(6.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Middelfart - Hillerød?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Hillerød will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hillerød (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
    • Middelfart has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Hillerød has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Hillerød may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Hillerød could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Middelfart won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Middelfart - Hillerød were as follows:
    19.07.2025 Hillerød - Middelfart 2:1
    Latest results of Middelfart
    20.09.2025 Middelfart - Kolding IF 1:0
    14.09.2025 Aalborg BK - Middelfart 4:0
    03.09.2025 Middelfart - Silkeborg IF 1:2
    30.08.2025 Middelfart - Lyngby BK 2:2
    Latest results of Hillerød
    27.09.2025 Hillerød - Horsens 2:1
    24.09.2025 Hillerød - AGF Aarhus 1:2
    20.09.2025 Hvidovre - Hillerød 3:1
    14.09.2025 Hillerød - Esbjerg 3:0
    29.08.2025 Kolding IF - Hillerød 0:0
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lyngby1685335:191629
    2Hillerod1685325:20529
    3Horsens1674521:14725
    4Hvidovre IF1567221:16525
    5Aalborg1573527:20724
    6Esbjerg1572619:20-123
    7Kolding IF1664620:19122
    8B.931663720:27-721
    9Aarhus Fremad1646624:22218
    10Koge1652919:30-1117
    11Hobro1636717:27-1015
    12Middelfart1515912:26-148

          Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
          1st Division (Relegation Group: )