Result
4:2
16/05/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 31
- Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (270/367) | 84% (498/596) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.00 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 1.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (270/367) | 84% (498/596) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (36/86) | 38% (29/77) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 60% (77/128) | 63% (97/153) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 43% (3/7) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (10/15) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 39 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.33 | 2.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.67 | -1.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Veltz M. ⚽, Due Grandt M. (A),
- 41', 1 - 1, Maarup A. ⚽, Jensen Juul O. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 1, Uhd M. ⚽, Juhl M. (A),
- 50', Baskaya S. 🟨,
- 52', Alicino A. ↓, Jalaei S. ↑,
- 53', 3 - 1, Maarup A. ⚽, Taranis A. (A),
- 65', 3 - 2, Due Grandt M. ⚽, Arndal T. (A),
- 68', Due Grandt M. ↓, Bay M. ↑,
- 71', Lysholm M. ↓, Askham H. ↑,
- 71', Baskaya S. ↓, Nielsen E. ↑,
- 76', Juhl M. ↓, Engqvist F. ↑,
- 76', Arndal T. ↓, Koktvedgaard T. ↑,
- 76', Johansen D. ↓, Boje-Larsen L. ↑,
- 85', Halse N. ↓, Kristensen M. ↑,
- 86', 4 - 2, Uhd M. ⚽, Taranis A. (A),
Chances of winning
Roskilde
27.6% | Draw
24.3% | Hillerød
48.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Roskilde has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Roskilde's performance.Hillerød has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roskilde than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Roskilde that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hillerød than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hillerød could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Roskilde - Hillerød Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.41 ↓
(4.37) |
3.84 ↑
(3.63) |
1.94 ↑
(1.75) |
6.9%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Roskilde - Hillerød?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Roskilde will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Hillerød will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Roskilde has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hillerød is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Roskilde may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hillerød is the team to beat.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Roskilde won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:12. (average 1.2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Roskilde won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Roskilde won against Hillerød?
Roskilde has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hillerød won against Roskilde?
Hillerød has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Roskilde - Hillerød were as follows:
20.04.2025
Hillerød
-
Roskilde
5:2
01.03.2025
Roskilde
-
Hillerød
1:2
02.08.2024
Hillerød
-
Roskilde
2:0
Latest results of Roskilde
Latest results of Hillerød
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Koge | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 6 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 3 | Hillerod | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Horsens | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Kolding IF | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 7 | B.93 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 8 | Hvidovre IF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Aalborg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Aarhus Fremad | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 11 | Middelfart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Hobro | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
