Himeno Sakatsume vs Alina Korneeva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Porto Challenger Women Himeno Sakatsume - Alina Korneeva
Result
2:0
17/07/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Porto, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
03
Double Faults
24
1st Serve Percentage
65%69%
1st Serve Points Won
56% (30/54)54% (34/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (16/29)46% (13/28)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)55% (6/11)
1st Return Points Won
46% (29/63)44% (24/54)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (15/28)45% (13/29)
Break Points Converted
45% (5/11)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
55% (46/83)52% (47/91)
Return Points Won
48% (44/91)45% (37/83)
Total Points Won
52% (90/174)48% (84/174)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
67% (8/12)58% (7/12)
Return Games Won
42% (5/12)33% (4/12)
Total Games Won
54% (13/24)46% (11/24)

Chances of winning


Himeno Sakatsume
37%
Alina Korneeva
63%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 66.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.4% 68.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Himeno Sakatsume has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
  • Alina Korneeva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Himeno Sakatsume than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Himeno Sakatsume that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alina Korneeva than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alina Korneeva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Himeno Sakatsume - Alina Korneeva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.55
    (2.74)

    1.48
    (1.4)
    6.8%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Sakatsume is ranked WTA: 280. Korneeva is ranked WTA: 275.
    • Sakatsume has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Korneeva is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Sakatsume may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Korneeva is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Korneeva will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Himeno Sakatsume
    Latest results of Alina Korneeva
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ito A. (1)Sakatsume H. (Q)0 : 2
    2Korneeva A. (Q)Leonard M.2 : 0
    3Diatchenko V.Knutson G.2 : 0
    4Couto L. (WC)Charaeva A. (8)0 : 2
    5Valentova T. (3)Jorge F.2 : 0
    6Bektas E. (Q)Hruncakova V.1 : 2
    7Jorge M.Monnet C.2 : 0
    8Andrianjafitrimo T.Gao X. (5)0 : 2
    9Costoulas S. (RET.) (7)Preston T.0 : 1
    10Tararudee L.Ryser V.2 : 0
    11Falei A. (Q)Inoue H.1 : 2
    12Voloshchuk A. (WC)Watson H. (RET.) (4)1 : 0
    13Naef C. (6)Friedsam A-L.0 : 2
    14Cabrera L.Freitas A. (WC)2 : 0
    15Laundes F. (WC)Barthel M.0 : 2
    16Hontama M.Hon P. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Korneeva A.2 : 0
    2Diatchenko V.Charaeva A. (8)2 : 1
    3Valentova T. (3)Hruncakova V.2 : 0
    4Jorge M.Gao X. (5)1 : 2
    5Preston T.Tararudee L.0 : 2
    6Inoue H.Voloshchuk A.0 : 2
    7Friedsam A-L.Cabrera L.2 : 0
    8Barthel M. (RET.)Hontama M.0 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Diatchenko V.2 : 1
    2Valentova T. (3)Gao X. (5)2 : 0
    3Tararudee L.Voloshchuk A.2 : 0
    4Friedsam A-L.Hontama M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sakatsume H.Valentova T. (3)0 : 2
    2Tararudee L.Friedsam A-L.2 : 0

    Final
    1Valentova T. (3)Tararudee L.2 : 0