Hiroki Moriya vs Jason Kubler – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Brisbane Challenger Men Hiroki Moriya - Jason Kubler
Result
0:2
27/01/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brisbane (Australia), hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
011
Double Faults
20
1st Serve Percentage
60%67%
1st Serve Points Won
45% (13/29)76% (26/34)
2nd Serve Points Won
47% (9/19)35% (6/17)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)67% (2/3)
1st Return Points Won
24% (8/34)55% (16/29)
2nd Return Points Won
65% (11/17)53% (10/19)
Break Points Converted
33% (1/3)63% (5/8)
Service Points Won
48% (22/46)64% (32/50)
Return Points Won
36% (18/50)52% (24/46)
Total Points Won
42% (40/96)58% (56/96)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
38% (3/8)88% (7/8)
Return Games Won
13% (1/8)63% (5/8)
Total Games Won
25% (4/16)75% (12/16)

Chances of winning


Hiroki Moriya
30.9%
Jason Kubler
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.1% 59.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.
  • Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jason Kubler's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jason Kubler, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hiroki Moriya - Jason Kubler Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.01
    (2.32)

    1.37
    (1.55)
    6.3%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Moriya is ranked ATP: 407. Kubler is ranked ATP: 837.
    • Moriya is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Kubler is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Kubler could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Kubler will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Moriya won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
    Latest results of Hiroki Moriya
    Latest results of Jason Kubler
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Hijikata R. (1)Jones H. (WC)2 : 1
    2McCabe J.Bouzige M.2 : 0
    3Langmo C.Marchenko I. (Q)2 : 0
    4Bradshaw J. (Q)Jasika O. (6)0 : 2
    5Tu L. (3)Ellis B.0 : 2
    6Brumm J. (Q)Marinkov P. (WC)1 : 2
    7Gengel M.Nakagawa N.2 : 0
    8Imamura M.Shimizu Y. (7)0 : 2
    9Schoolkate T. (5)Zhou Y.2 : 0
    10Sweeny D.Dellavedova M.0 : 2
    11Nanda G.Janvier M.2 : 1
    12Hulme M. (Q)Bolt A. (4)0 : 2
    13Tomic B. (8)Broom C.2 : 1
    14Moriya H.Kubler J. (WC)0 : 2
    15Hazawa S. (Q)Isomura K. (RET.) (Q)1 : 0
    16Ilagan A.Walton A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Hijikata R. (1)McCabe J.0 : 2
    2Langmo C.Jasika O. (6)0 : 2
    3Ellis B.Marinkov P.2 : 0
    4Gengel M.Shimizu Y. (7)2 : 1
    5Schoolkate T. (5)Dellavedova M.2 : 0
    6Nanda G.Bolt A. (4)1 : 2
    7Tomic B. (8)Kubler J.2 : 1
    8Hazawa S.Walton A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1McCabe J.Jasika O. (6)1 : 2
    2Ellis B.Gengel M.1 : 2
    3Schoolkate T. (5)Bolt A. (4)2 : 0
    4Tomic B. (8)Walton A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Jasika O. (6)Gengel M.0 : 2
    2Schoolkate T. (5)Walton A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Gengel M.Schoolkate T. (5)0 : 2