Result
2:1
08/07/2025 at 14:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Winnipeg - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 57% | 51% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 63% (30/48) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (24/43) | 38% (18/47) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (4/8) | 30% (3/10) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (18/48) | 41% (24/58) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 62% (29/47) | 44% (19/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 70% (7/10) | 50% (4/8) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 58 | 0 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 91% (10/11) | 67% (6/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (58/101) | 51% (48/95) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (47/95) | 43% (43/101) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 54% (105/196) | 46% (91/196) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 53% (8/15) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (7/15) | 29% (4/14) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 59% (17/29) | 41% (12/29) |
Chances of winning
Hiroki Moriya
65% | Keegan Rice
35% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hiroki Moriya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hiroki Moriya's form might have worsened.Keegan Rice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Keegan Rice's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hiroki Moriya than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hiroki Moriya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Keegan Rice than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Keegan Rice, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Hiroki Moriya - Keegan Rice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.43 ↑
(1.32) |
|
2.65 ↓
(3.18) |
7.7%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Moriya is ranked ATP: 398. Rice is ranked ATP: 1487.
- Moriya is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rice has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Moriya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Moriya is considered a favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Hiroki Moriya won against Keegan Rice?
Hiroki Moriya has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Keegan Rice won against Hiroki Moriya?
Keegan Rice has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hiroki Moriya - Keegan Rice were as follows:
Latest results of Hiroki Moriya
Latest results of Keegan Rice
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Tudorica A. N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Nakagawa N. | Sakamoto R. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bouzige M. | Gengel M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Sell K. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Langmo C. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Johns G. | Chung H. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Riedi L. (Q) | Jubb P. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Boulais J. (WC) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Mejia N. (8) | Andrade A. | 1 : 2 |
| 10 | Glinka D. (Q) | Imamura M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zhou Y. | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Martin A. | Galarneau A. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Noguchi R. (6) | Ilagan A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Aguilar J. C. M. (WC) | Arseneault N. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Miyoshi K. | Sekulic P. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Moriya H. (Q) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Sakamoto R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. | Shimizu Y. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Jubb P. | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Andrade A. | Imamura M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Zhou Y. | Martin A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Noguchi R. (6) | Arseneault N. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Miyoshi K. | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimizu Y. (5) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Hsu Y. H. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Andrade A. | Zhou Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Noguchi R. (6) | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zhou Y. | Draxl L. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Blockx A. (1) | Draxl L. (2) | 1 : 2 |
