Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Chunichi Dragons – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chunichi Dragons
Result
2:1
03/08/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanJ sports 1

Match Stats

Hits
54
Errors
01
Home Runs
11
Runs batted in
21
Base on Balls
12
Strikeouts
36
Stolen bases
00
At bat
3030
Batting Average
0.1670.133

Chances of winning


Hiroshima Toyo Carp
51.4%
Chunichi Dragons
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6% 49.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Chunichi Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hiroshima Toyo Carp than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chunichi Dragons than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chunichi Dragons Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.89)

    1.97
    (1.89)
    4.6%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 6.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chunichi Dragons?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Chunichi will win (votes: 6 - 60%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chunichi: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chunichi Dragons will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5 and 4)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 44:53. (average 2.2:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hiroshima won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 3.3:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chunichi Dragons were as follows:
    02.08.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chunichi Dragons 0:6
    01.08.2025 Hiroshima Toyo Carp - Chunichi Dragons 3:1
    13.07.2025 Chunichi Dragons - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 3:2
    12.07.2025 Chunichi Dragons - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 7:1
    11.07.2025 Chunichi Dragons - Hiroshima Toyo Carp 2:1
    Latest results of Chunichi Dragons
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers9960237339:2200.619
    2Yomiuri Giants9847348283:2950.495
    3Yokohama BayStars9745547304:2820.489
    4Chunichi Dragons9743252256:2930.453
    5Hiroshima Carp9741551286:3080.446
    6Yakult Swallows9233554257:3640.379


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Nippon Ham Fighters9960237380:2560.619
    2Fukuoka S. Hawks9858436372:2680.617
    3Orix Buffaloes9649344334:3560.527
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles9645249273:3220.479
    5Seibu Lions9844252254:2870.458
    6Chiba Lotte Marines9537355283:3700.402

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)