Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 10
- Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Denmark | Viaplay, Viaplay Sport News |
Finland | Viaplay |
Norway | Viaplay |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 1.95 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
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7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
88% (447/506) | 86% (396/463) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
0 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.89 | 1.95 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.50 | 0.94 |
Total shots |
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7 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
2 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
1 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
4 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
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17 | 17 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 15 |
Passes |
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88% (447/506) | 86% (396/463) |
Long passes |
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40% (18/45) | 48% (22/46) |
Passes in final third |
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76% (107/140) | 66% (68/103) |
Crosses |
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25% (1/4) | 21% (3/14) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.70 | 1.55 |
Throw-ins |
---|
8 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 15 |
Tackles |
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63% (5/8) | 65% (13/20) |
Duels won |
---|
38 | 48 |
Clearances |
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21 | 8 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
0.94 | 2.50 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.94 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Kaastrup M. ⚽,
- 20', Klitten L. 🟨,
- 22', 2 - 0, Kubel M. (Pen),
- 40', Jacobsen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jacobsen M. ↓, Bjerge G. ↑,
- 46', Hansen T. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
- 46', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 60', Nissen E. ↓, Rolland B. ↑,
- 66', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
- 71', Grube F. ↓, de Claville Berthelsen M. ↑,
- 71', Kaastrup M. ↓, Lunding K. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 0, Andersen K. ⚽, Kubel M. (A),
- 78', 🟨,
- 83', Kubel M. ↓, Beluli J. ↑,
- 83', Egerton E. ↓, Holvad A. ↑,
- 87', Rasmussen V. ↓, Bryld A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Aarhus Fremad 69.3% | Draw 18.4% | Hobro 12.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus Fremad's performance.Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hobro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-15.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarhus Fremad that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+9.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hobro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Aarhus Fremad - Hobro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↓ (1.78) |
6.32 ↑ (3.84) |
9.67 ↑ (4.2) |
-10.5% (6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Aarhus Fremad - Hobro?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus Fremad (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Aarhus Fremad will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
- Aarhus Fremad is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Hobro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Aarhus Fremad is a strong favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Aarhus Fremad won against Hobro?
Aarhus Fremad has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Aarhus Fremad?
Hobro has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Aarhus Fremad - Hobro were as follows:
13.07.2024
Hobro
-
Aarhus Fremad
1:1
Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Hillerod | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
2 | Hvidovre IF | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
3 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
4 | Lyngby | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
5 | Horsens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
6 | Esbjerg | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
7 | Kolding IF | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Aalborg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
9 | B.93 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
10 | Koge | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
11 | Hobro | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
12 | Middelfart | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )