Aarhus Fremad vs Hobro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Danish 1 Division Aarhus Fremad - Hobro
Result
3:0
20/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1st Division - Round 10
  • Referee: Lykke M. (Den)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay, Viaplay Sport News
finlandFinlandViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.95
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
88% (447/506)86% (396/463)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.891.95
xG on target (xGOT)
2.500.94
Total shots
711
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
49
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
35
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1515
Passes
88% (447/506)86% (396/463)
Long passes
40% (18/45)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
76% (107/140)66% (68/103)
Crosses
25% (1/4)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.55
Throw-ins
817
Fouls
1515
Tackles
63% (5/8)65% (13/20)
Duels won
3848
Clearances
218
Interceptions
63
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.942.50
Goals prevented
0.94-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Kaastrup M. ,
  • 20', Klitten L. 🟨,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Kubel M. (Pen),
  • 40', Jacobsen M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Jacobsen M. , Bjerge G. ,
  • 46', Hansen T. , Pedersen M. ,
  • 46', Andreasen S. , Bruhn M. ,
  • 60', Nissen E. , Rolland B. ,
  • 66', Hyltoft Z. , Hauge R. ,
  • 71', Grube F. , de Claville Berthelsen M. ,
  • 71', Kaastrup M. , Lunding K. ,
  • 73', 3 - 0, Andersen K. , Kubel M. (A),
  • 78', 🟨,
  • 83', Kubel M. , Beluli J. ,
  • 83', Egerton E. , Holvad A. ,
  • 87', Rasmussen V. , Bryld A. ,

Chances of winning


Aarhus Fremad
69.3%
Draw
18.4%
Hobro
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53% 24.6% 22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9% 24.2% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Aarhus Fremad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Aarhus Fremad's performance.
  • Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hobro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aarhus Fremad than the current prediction. (-15.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Aarhus Fremad that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hobro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Aarhus Fremad - Hobro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.78)
    6.32
    (3.84)
    9.67
    (4.2)
    -10.5%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Aarhus Fremad - Hobro?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Aarhus Fremad (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Aarhus Fremad will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 11 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: )).
    • Aarhus Fremad is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Hobro has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Aarhus Fremad is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Aarhus Fremad won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Aarhus Fremad - Hobro were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Hobro - Aarhus Fremad 1:1
    Latest results of Aarhus Fremad
    Latest results of Hobro
    11.09.2025 Hobro - Lyngby BK 1:4
    29.08.2025 Hvidovre - Hobro 1:1
    24.08.2025 Hobro - Esbjerg 2:0
    20.08.2025 Hobro - Horsens 0:1
    16.08.2025 Hillerød - Hobro 0:2
    Danish 1 Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Hillerod1052316:14217
    2Hvidovre IF1044213:12116
    3Aarhus Fremad1043319:13615
    4Lyngby943216:10615
    5Horsens94328:4415
    6Esbjerg950412:13-115
    7Kolding IF1042412:10214
    8Aalborg932414:12211
    9B.93932412:15-311
    10Koge931511:15-410
    11Hobro102358:16-89
    12Middelfart1015410:17-78

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