Result
1:1
16/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 13
- Referee: Rasmussen S. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.97 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (329/419) | 80% (314/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.97 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (329/419) | 80% (314/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (18/56) | 44% (36/82) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (95/142) | 62% (61/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 25% (5/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', Skipper A. 🟨,
- 62', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 62', Klitten O. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
- 63', Lausen A. ↓, Buus J. ↑,
- 63', Tjornelund P. ↓, Maden M. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Gyamfi R. ⚽,
- 73', Hansen M. ↓, Ankersen J. ↑,
- 73', Gyamfi R. ↓, Lucena J. ↑,
- 77', Bjerge G. 🟨,
- 80', Buus J. 🟨,
- 80', Sogaard E. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
- 84', Kolawole J. ↓, Stagaard T. ↑,
- 85', Jacobsen M. ↓, Boye M. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 1, Bruhn M. ⚽, Rasmussen V. (A),
- 90+5', Lucena J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Esbjerg
43.6% | Draw
26.2% | Hobro
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Esbjerg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)Hobro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Esbjerg than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
Esbjerg - Hobro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.16 ↑
(1.97) |
3.57 ↓
(3.7) |
3.14 ↓
(3.44) |
6.2%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Esbjerg - Hobro?
Users Predictions:
Esbjerg will win
(21 of 26 users predict this - 80.77%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.62% – 95.92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Esbjerg will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 3.
- Esbjerg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Hobro's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Esbjerg has had a series of away games.
- Esbjerg is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Esbjerg won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 42:34. (average 2.1:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Esbjerg won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:13. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Esbjerg won against Hobro?
Esbjerg has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Esbjerg?
Hobro has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Esbjerg - Hobro were as follows:
24.08.2025
Hobro
-
Esbjerg
2:0
03.11.2024
Esbjerg
-
Hobro
3:2
26.07.2024
Hobro
-
Esbjerg
3:6
Latest results of Esbjerg
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 24 |
| 2 | Lyngby | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 27:16 | 11 | 23 |
| 3 | Horsens | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 16:9 | 7 | 22 |
| 4 | Hvidovre IF | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 | Aalborg | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 22:17 | 5 | 18 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | 2 | 18 |
| 7 | B.93 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Aarhus Fremad | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 17 |
| 9 | Esbjerg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:18 | -3 | 17 |
| 10 | Koge | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | -10 | 13 |
| 11 | Hobro | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 11:23 | -12 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
