Result
1:2
22/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Relegation Group - Round 26
- Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.33 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (413/537) | 68% (255/376) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 2.33 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (413/537) | 68% (255/376) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (42/102) | 25% (19/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (87/147) | 51% (50/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 33% (2/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (11/15) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.40 | 0.87 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.60 | -0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 25', 0 - 1, Thomsen T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 44', Sogaard E. 🟨,
- 45+2', Dietz F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 0 - 2, Gothler A. ⚽, Larsen G. (A),
- 61', Andreasen S. ↓, Hansen T. ↑,
- 61', Enemark C. ↓, Haarup M. ↑,
- 61', Hauge R. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
- 70', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 78', Larsen G. ↓, Semovski E. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Bruhn M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 84', Thomsen T. ↓, Mudi ↑,
- 86', Sogaard E. ↓, Bjerge G. ↑,
- 90+2', Gothler A. ↓, Achton L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hobro
42.4% | Draw
28.6% | HB Køge
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)HB Køge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for HB Køge than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Hobro - HB Køge Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.03) |
3.26 ↓
(3.53) |
3.21 ↓
(3.34) |
7.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Hobro will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:22. (average 1.3:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1.1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against HB Køge?
Hobro has won 6 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has HB Køge won against Hobro?
HB Køge has won 4 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hobro - HB Køge were as follows:
27.02.2026
Hobro
-
HB Køge
1:1
18.07.2025
HB Køge
-
Hobro
2:0
22.05.2025
Hobro
-
HB Køge
2:1
21.04.2025
HB Køge
-
Hobro
0:2
18.10.2024
HB Køge
-
Hobro
4:1
Latest results of HB Køge
Danish 1 Division Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyngby | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 62:29 | 33 | 54 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Horsens | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 34:26 | 8 | 44 |
| 4 | Hillerod | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 43 |
| 5 | Esbjerg | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 42 |
| 6 | Kolding IF | 27 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Superliga
