Result
1:4
11/09/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1st Division - Round 9
- Referee: Bogelund J. (Den)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV3 Sport, Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.80 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (506/579) | 85% (393/465) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.07 | 3.89 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (506/579) | 85% (393/465) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 65% (39/60) | 44% (14/32) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (89/126) | 76% (125/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.34 | 2.01 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.89 | 1.07 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.11 | 0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', 1 - 0, Andreasen S. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Gytkjaer F. ⚽, Cornelius J. (A),
- 19', Fraulo G. 🟨,
- 41', Mortensen G. 🟨,
- 45+2', Dietz F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 60', Dani 🟨,
- 62', Cornelius J. ↓, Sandgrav L. ↑,
- 62', Fraulo G. ↓, Steindorsson W. ↑,
- 65', Hyltoft Z. ↓, Pedersen M. ↑,
- 66', Andreasen S. ↓, Bruhn M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Gytkjaer F. ⚽, Langhoff P. (A),
- 72', Hansen T. ↓, Hauge R. ↑,
- 75', Gytkjaer F. 🟨,
- 83', Klitten L. ↓, Bjerge G. ↑,
- 83', Rasmussen V. ↓, Boye M. ↑,
- 84', 1 - 3, Gytkjaer F. ⚽, Colyn S. (A),
- 87', Colyn S. ↓, Kaarsbo M. ↑,
- 88', Mortensen G. ↓, Warmerdam D. ↑,
- 90+3', Dani ↓, Jorgensen A. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 4, Kaarsbo M. ⚽, Steindorsson W. (A),
Chances of winning
Hobro
21.5% | Draw
24.6% | Lyngby BK
53.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hobro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Lyngby BK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lyngby BK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
Hobro - Lyngby BK Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↑
(3.96) |
3.8 ↑
(3.68) |
1.77 ↓
(1.84) |
6%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hobro - Lyngby BK?
Users Predictions:
20 users predict this event. Hobro will win (votes: 1 - 5%). Lyngby will win (votes: 15 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lyngby: 56% – 94%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Lyngby BK will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 in the zone 1st Division (Relegation Group: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Lyngby may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lyngby will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hobro won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.4:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hobro won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.8:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Hobro won against Lyngby BK?
Hobro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lyngby BK won against Hobro?
Lyngby BK has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hobro - Lyngby BK were as follows:
Latest results of Lyngby BK
Danish 1 Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hillerod | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 17 |
| 2 | Hvidovre IF | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 16 |
| 3 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 15 |
| 4 | Lyngby | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 16:10 | 6 | 15 |
| 5 | Horsens | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
| 6 | Esbjerg | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | Kolding IF | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 12:10 | 2 | 14 |
| 8 | Aalborg | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 11 |
| 9 | B.93 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12:15 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | Koge | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:15 | -4 | 10 |
| 11 | Hobro | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 9 |
| 12 | Middelfart | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10:17 | -7 | 8 |
Promotion ~ 1st Division (Promotion Group: )
1st Division (Relegation Group: )
