Augsburg vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
10/04/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 29
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, ZAP
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
angolaAngolaZ Sports 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 1
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 1
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Prima Sport 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, Arena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 3, Voyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-africaSouth-africaSABC Plus, SABC Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, beIN SPORTS MAX
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomBBC iPlayer, BBC Sport
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN USA, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.901.06
Ball possession
34%66%
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
84
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
44
Passes
70% (193/275)79% (433/547)
Yellow cards
53
Expected goals (xG)
1.901.06
xG on target (xGOT)
1.330.58
Total shots
1713
Shots on target
84
Shots off target
74
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
1210
Shots outside the box
53
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
42
Corner kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
2826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free kicks
186
Passes
70% (193/275)79% (433/547)
Long passes
43% (29/67)51% (39/77)
Passes in final third
67% (76/114)59% (92/156)
Crosses
15% (3/20)33% (6/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.972.07
Throw ins
2326
Fouls
618
Tackles
67% (6/9)56% (9/16)
Duels won
4654
Clearances
4131
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
11
Goalkeeper saves
24
xGOT faced
0.581.33
Goals prevented
-1.42-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Claude-Maurice A. , Fellhauer R. (A),
  • 14', 2 - 0, Gregoritsch M. , Gouweleeuw J. (A),
  • 16', Giannoulis D. 🟨,
  • 24', Zesiger C. 🟨,
  • 35', 2 - 1, Hranac R. , Coufal V. (A),
  • 42', 2 - 2, Toure B. , Asllani F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 54', Promel G. 🟨,
  • 59', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 60', Gouweleeuw J. 🟨,
  • 63', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 64', Gregoritsch M. , Ribeiro R. ,
  • 64', Gouweleeuw J. , Jakic K. ,
  • 65', Wolf M. 🟨,
  • 66', Asllani F. 🟨,
  • 68', Hajdari A. , Bernardo ,
  • 73', Kramaric A. , Prass A. ,
  • 79', Wolf M. , Rexhbecaj E. ,
  • 85', Claude-Maurice A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 89', Kade A. , Gharbi I. ,
  • 89', Claude-Maurice A. , Komur M. ,
  • 89', Lemperle T. , Damar M. ,
  • 89', Coufal V. , Akpoguma K. ,

Chances of winning


Augsburg
27.5%
Draw
24.7%
Hoffenheim
47.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 25.2% 45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7% 25% 46.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Augsburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Augsburg than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Augsburg - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.45
    (3.29)
    3.86
    (3.77)
    2
    (2.07)
    4.8%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Augsburg - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 55 users predict this event. Augsburg will win (votes: 6 - 10.9%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 40 - 72.7%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 16.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hoffenheim: 60.9%84.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Augsburg (2.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Hoffenheim will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Augsburg (votes: 1 - 10%). Hoffenheim (votes: 9 - 90%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 1.
    • Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
    • Hoffenheim will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Augsburg: Keitel Y. (Knee Injury) Matsima C. (Muscle Injury) Schlotterbeck K. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Burger W. (Yellow Cards) Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Augsburg won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 17:37. (average 0.9:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Augsburg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.6:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Augsburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 3:0
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1
    10.11.2024 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 0:0
    07.04.2024 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 3:1
    06.01.2024 Augsburg - Hoffenheim 1:0
    Latest results of Augsburg
    04.04.2026 Hamburger SV - Augsburg 1:1
    22.03.2026 Augsburg - Stuttgart 2:5
    07.03.2026 RB Leipzig - Augsburg 2:1
    27.02.2026 Augsburg - Köln 2:0
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    04.04.2026 Hoffenheim - Mainz 1:2
    26.03.2026 Hoffenheim - Elversberg 3:5
    20.03.2026 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 5:0
    14.03.2026 Hoffenheim - Wolfsburg 1:1
    07.03.2026 Heidenheim - Hoffenheim 2:4
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich ✔ 322651116:358183
    2Dortmund31207465:313467
    3RB Leipzig32195863:422162
    4Bayer Leverkusen32177866:432358
    5Stuttgart32177866:462058
    6Hoffenheim32177864:481658
    7Eintracht Frankfurt3211101157:60-343
    8Freiburg311271244:52-843
    9Augsburg321171442:56-1440
    10Mainz318101339:49-1034
    11Hamburger SV328101436:51-1534
    12Union Berlin32891537:57-2033
    13FC Koln327111447:55-832
    14B. Monchengladbach317111336:50-1432
    15Werder Bremen32881637:57-2032
    16St. Pauli31681726:53-2726
    17Wolfsburg31671841:66-2525
    18Heidenheim32581938:69-3123

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )