Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich
Result
1:4
20/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 4
  • Referee: Hartmann R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
armeniaArmeniaSetanta Sports 2
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
azerbaijanAzerbaijanSetanta Sports 2
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilSporTV
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkSee, Viaplay
europeEuropeSetanta Sports 2 Baltic
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3, Setanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4, Net4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Max
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports 2
kyrgyzstanKyrgyzstanSetanta Sports 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
moldovaMoldovaSetanta Sports 2
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
russiaRussiaOkko Sport 2, Okko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 2, SportKlub 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Top Event
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 2
tajikistanTajikistanSetanta Sports 2
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
turkmenistanTurkmenistanSetanta Sports 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
uzbekistanUzbekistanSetanta Sports 2
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.89
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
410
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
77% (257/334)89% (497/560)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.942.89
xG on target (xGOT)
0.282.79
Total shots
1218
Shots on target
410
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
910
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
917
Passes
77% (257/334)89% (497/560)
Long passes
51% (23/45)61% (40/66)
Passes in final third
53% (50/95)78% (103/132)
Crosses
40% (6/15)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.950.67
Throw-ins
1617
Fouls
179
Tackles
54% (15/28)50% (8/16)
Duels won
5443
Clearances
2620
Interceptions
98
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.790.28
Goals prevented
-1.21-0.72

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Coufal V. 🟨,
  • 12', Diaz L. 🟨,
  • 29', Goretzka L. 🟨,
  • 44', 0 - 1, Kane H. , Karl L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 3)
  • 48', 0 - 2, Kane H. (Pen),
  • 62', Goretzka L. , Kimmich J. ,
  • 62', Karl L. , Olise M. ,
  • 62', Jackson N. , Gnabry S. ,
  • 66', Damar M. , Kramaric A. ,
  • 69', Kim Min-Jae , Upamecano D. ,
  • 77', 0 - 3, Kane H. (Pen),
  • 78', Burger W. , Promel G. ,
  • 78', Asllani F. , Bebou I. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Coufal V. ,
  • 83', Coufal V. , Akpoguma K. ,
  • 83', Avdullahu L. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 86', Boey S. , Bischof T. ,
  • 90+9', 1 - 4, Gnabry S. ,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
13.5%
Draw
18.6%
Bayern Munich
67.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
13% 17.1% 69.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12.7% 16.7% 71.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.06
    (7.36)
    5.18
    (5.58)
    1.44
    (1.37)
    3%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
  • What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). Bayern will win (votes: 43 - 75.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 64.2%86.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 12 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 3 - 25%). Bayern (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
    • Hoffenheim is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Bayern is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Hoffenheim has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bayern is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Musiala J. (Broken calfbone) Stanisic J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bayern: Guerreiro R. (Abdominal strain)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:51. (average 1.2:2.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:19. (average 1.4:2.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4
    15.01.2025 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 5:0
    18.05.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 4:2
    12.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 3:0
    15.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 1:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich550022:31915
    2Dortmund541011:3813
    3RB Leipzig54017:7012
    4Eintracht Frankfurt530217:1349
    5Stuttgart53027:619
    6Bayer Leverkusen522110:828
    7FC Koln521210:917
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli52128:807
    10Hoffenheim52129:11-27
    11Union Berlin52128:11-37
    12Wolfsburg51227:705
    13Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    14Mainz51135:6-14
    15Werder Bremen51138:14-64
    16Augsburg51048:12-43
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga