Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich
Result
0:4
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 34
  • Referee: Schlager D. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 1, New World Sport 1, New World Sport App, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilCaze TV, RedeTV!, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 1, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
irelandIrelandNOW
israelIsraelSport 2, Sport 3
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandEleven Sports 3, Viaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 1
romaniaRomaniaDigi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-africaSouth-africaSABC 3, SABC Plus, SABC Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Ultra
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2
taiwanTaiwanELTA Sports 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomNOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Football, Sky Sports+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Football, ON Plus
worldWorldDaystar Pacific, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.54
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Passes
78% (275/351)90% (633/702)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.441.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.592.21
Total shots
614
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
37
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
28
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
14
Touches in opposition box
1738
Accurate through passes
02
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
79
Passes
78% (275/351)90% (633/702)
Long passes
47% (34/73)61% (25/41)
Passes in final third
58% (56/96)86% (243/284)
Crosses
20% (1/5)6% (1/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.591.91
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
97
Tackles
53% (10/19)47% (7/15)
Duels won
5241
Clearances
3618
Interceptions
123
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.210.59
Goals prevented
-1.790.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 33', 0 - 1, Olise M. ⚽,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 3)
  • 46', Prass A. ↓, Bulter M. ↑,
  • 53', 0 - 2, Kimmich J. ⚽, Olise M. (A),
  • 61', Coman K. ↓, Sane L. ↑,
  • 61', Muller T. ↓, Kane H. ↑,
  • 67', Guerreiro R. ↓, Goretzka L. ↑,
  • 67', Laimer K. ↓, Boey S. ↑,
  • 67', Bischof T. ↓, Toure B. ↑,
  • 76', Geiger D. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
  • 80', 0 - 3, Gnabry S. ⚽, Kane H. (A),
  • 81', Stach A. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
  • 82', Kramaric A. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
  • 86', 0 - 4, Kane H. ⚽, Boey S. (A),
  • 86', Dier E. ↓, Vidovic G. ↑,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
19.5%		Draw
19.8%		Bayern Munich
60.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.3% 18.3% 63.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.5% 17.5% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • Bayern Munich has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayern Munich than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bayern Munich could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.98 ↓
    (5)    		 4.87 ↓
    (5)    		 1.56 ↑
    (1.44)    		 4.6%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich?
  • Users Predictions: 30 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 13.3%). Bayern will win (votes: 18 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bayern: 42.5% – 77.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Bayern (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
    • Bayern is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
    • In recent matches, Hoffenheim has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Bayern is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Bayern is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Gendrey V. (Broken collarbone) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Bayern: Buchmann T. (Shoulder Injury) Davies A. (Knee Injury) Ito H. (Foot Injury) Kim Min-Jae (Achilles Tendon Injury) Musiala J. (Muscle Injury) Upamecano D. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Nsoki S. (Thigh Injury) Orban G. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 24:49. (average 1.2:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:15. (average 1.6:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich were as follows:
    15.01.2025 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 5:0
    18.05.2024 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 4:2
    12.01.2024 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 3:0
    15.04.2023 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 1:1
    22.10.2022 Hoffenheim - Bayern Munich 0:2
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    09.05.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:2 ✺
    03.05.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Hoffenheim 4:4 ✺
    26.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:3 ✺
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Bayern Munich
    10.05.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Mönchengladbach 2:0 ✺
    03.05.2025 RB Leipzig - Bayern Munich 3:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Mainz 3:0 ✺
    19.04.2025 Heidenheim - Bayern Munich 0:4 ✺
    16.04.2025 Inter Milan - Bayern Munich 2:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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