Freiburg vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga Freiburg - Hoffenheim
Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.45
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
69% (205/297)78% (313/403)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.59
Total shots
615
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
69% (205/297)78% (313/403)
Long passes
41% (26/63)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
44% (35/80)54% (45/84)
Crosses
12% (2/17)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.13
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
915
Tackles
62% (8/13)36% (4/11)
Duels won
6254
Clearances
3539
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.591.00
Goals prevented
1.590.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Kubler L. , Adamu J. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Asllani F. , Coufal V. (A),
  • 38', Kubler L. , Treu P. ,
  • 45+6', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 59', Prass A. , Damar M. ,
  • 60', Schuster J. 🟨,
  • 64', Adamu J. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 64', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 73', Kramaric A. , Lemperle T. ,
  • 73', Avdullahu L. , Promel G. ,
  • 80', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 84', Beste J. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 84', Dinkci E. , Holer L. ,
  • 85', Burger W. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 85', Asllani F. , Bebou I. ,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
45%
Draw
27.2%
Hoffenheim
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.1% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 26.6% 30.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • Freiburg - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.23)
    3.67
    (3.65)
    3.68
    (3.07)
    0.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Manzambi J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    20.01.2024 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    19.08.2023 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:2
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1
    20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich550022:31915
    2Dortmund541011:3813
    3RB Leipzig54017:7012
    4Eintracht Frankfurt530217:1349
    5Stuttgart53027:619
    6Bayer Leverkusen522110:828
    7FC Koln521210:917
    8Freiburg52129:907
    9St. Pauli52128:807
    10Hoffenheim52129:11-27
    11Union Berlin52128:11-37
    12Wolfsburg51227:705
    13Hamburger SV51222:8-65
    14Mainz51135:6-14
    15Werder Bremen51138:14-64
    16Augsburg51048:12-43
    17Heidenheim51044:10-63
    18B. Monchengladbach50235:12-72

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga