Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 5
- Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
Albania | Tring Sport 3 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu, QQ Sports |
Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports 2 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Arena 4 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel |
Israel | Sport 4 |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257 |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Maldives | Medianet |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Saudi-arabia | Shahid |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | TV 360 |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.31 | 2.45 |
Ball Possession |
---|
42% | 58% |
Total shots |
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6 | 15 |
Shots on target |
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1 | 4 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 8 |
Passes |
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69% (205/297) | 78% (313/403) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.31 | 2.45 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.00 | 2.59 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
1 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
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6 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
0 | 4 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
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15 | 29 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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1 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 9 |
Passes |
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69% (205/297) | 78% (313/403) |
Long passes |
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41% (26/63) | 33% (17/52) |
Passes in final third |
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44% (35/80) | 54% (45/84) |
Crosses |
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12% (2/17) | 24% (6/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.28 | 1.13 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 21 |
Fouls |
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9 | 15 |
Tackles |
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62% (8/13) | 36% (4/11) |
Duels won |
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62 | 54 |
Clearances |
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35 | 39 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
2.59 | 1.00 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.59 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 3', 1 - 0, Kubler L. ⚽, Adamu J. (A),
- 13', 1 - 1, Asllani F. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
- 38', Kubler L. ↓, Treu P. ↑,
- 45+6', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 48', Makengo J. 🟨,
- 59', Prass A. ↓, Damar M. ↑,
- 60', Schuster J. 🟨,
- 64', Adamu J. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
- 64', Grifo V. ↓, Scherhant D. ↑,
- 73', Kramaric A. ↓, Lemperle T. ↑,
- 73', Avdullahu L. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 80', Osterhage P. 🟨,
- 84', Beste J. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
- 84', Dinkci E. ↓, Holer L. ↑,
- 85', Burger W. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
- 85', Asllani F. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
Chances of winning
Freiburg 45% | Draw 27.2% | Hoffenheim 27.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Freiburg - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↓ (2.23) |
3.67 ↑ (3.65) |
3.68 ↑ (3.07) |
0.6% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 46.5% – 86.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Manzambi J.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V.
(Ankle Injury)
Hlozek A.
(Foot Injury)
Kabak O.
(Knee Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Hoffenheim?
Freiburg has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Freiburg?
Hoffenheim has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
19.04.2025
Freiburg
-
Hoffenheim
3:2
08.12.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
1:1
20.01.2024
Freiburg
-
Hoffenheim
3:2
19.08.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
1:2
12.03.2023
Freiburg
-
Hoffenheim
2:1
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 22:3 | 19 | 15 |
2 | Dortmund | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11:3 | 8 | 13 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 12 |
4 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17:13 | 4 | 9 |
5 | Stuttgart | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 8 |
7 | FC Koln | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 7 |
8 | Freiburg | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
9 | St. Pauli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:11 | -2 | 7 |
11 | Union Berlin | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 7 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 5 |
13 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 5 |
14 | Mainz | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
15 | Werder Bremen | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
16 | Augsburg | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8:12 | -4 | 3 |
17 | Heidenheim | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 3 |
18 | B. Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga