Result
3:2
19/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 30
- Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | New World Sport App, Startimes Sports Focus |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 5 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW |
Greece | Nova Sports Extra 3 |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | K-Vision, RCTI+ |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect |
Poland | Viaplay |
Serbia | SportKlub 5 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6 |
Thailand | beIN Connect |
Turkey | beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 1.65 |
Ball Possession |
---|
39% | 61% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
78% (255/326) | 85% (419/495) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.41 | 1.65 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.21 | 1.48 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 19 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 8 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 12 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
4 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
2 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
24 | 29 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 14 |
Passes |
---|
78% (255/326) | 85% (419/495) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (25/51) | 48% (26/54) |
Passes in final third |
---|
66% (68/103) | 76% (111/146) |
Crosses |
---|
27% (3/11) | 28% (7/25) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.99 | 1.17 |
Fouls |
---|
14 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
75% (6/8) | 64% (7/11) |
Duels won |
---|
45 | 50 |
Clearances Total |
---|
34 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
4 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.48 | 2.21 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.52 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 28', 1 - 0, Holer L. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
- 36', 2 - 0, Doan R. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
- 39', Nsoki S. 🟨,
- 45+2', 2 - 1, Bulter M. ⚽,
- 45+5', 2 - 2, Kramaric A. ⚽, Bulter M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Nsoki S. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,
- 57', 3 - 2, Holer L. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
- 59', Osterhage P. 🟨,
- 61', Gendrey V. ↓, Kaderabek P. ↑,
- 61', Toure B. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
- 68', Tabakovic H. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
- 69', Manzambi J. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
- 69', Grifo V. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
- 73', Holer L. 🟨,
- 74', Doan R. 🟨,
- 76', Bischof T. 🟨,
- 81', Bischof T. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
- 82', Kubler L. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
- 88', Doan R. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
- 88', Osterhage P. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Freiburg 49.6% | Draw 25.5% | Hoffenheim 24.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Freiburg - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (1.95) |
3.75 ↓ (3.79) |
3.85 ↑ (3.8) |
4.4% (4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 50%).
Users Predictions:
Freiburg will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3.
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- Freiburg will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Freiburg: Adamu J.
(Yellow Cards)
Atubolu N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Gulde M.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Kyereh D.
(Knee Injury)
Ogbus B.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I.
(Knee Injury)
Kabak O.
(Knee Injury)
Lenz C.
(Calf Injury)
Moerstedt M.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Ostigard L.
(Red Card)
Promel G.
(Knee Injury)
Samassekou D.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Freiburg: Rohl M.
(Heel Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 38:30 (average 1.9:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Freiburg won against Hoffenheim?
Freiburg has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Freiburg?
Hoffenheim has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
08.12.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
1:1
20.01.2024
Freiburg
-
Hoffenheim
3:2
19.08.2023
Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
1:2
12.03.2023
Freiburg
-
Hoffenheim
2:1
18.09.2022
Hoffenheim
-
Freiburg
0:0
Latest results of Freiburg
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga