Freiburg vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
28/09/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 5
  • Referee: Dankert B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 3
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 6, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, Sky Go Germany, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryArena 4
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel
israelIsraelSport 4
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Sports 3, Sooka
maldivesMaldivesMedianet
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 5
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaRUSH Sports 2 Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
papua-new-guineaPapua-new-guineaTVWan Sports
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN 4, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineSetanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.45
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
615
Shots on target
14
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
69% (205/297)78% (313/403)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.312.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.002.59
Total shots
615
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
28
Shots inside the Box
611
Shots outside the Box
04
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
1529
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
159
Passes
69% (205/297)78% (313/403)
Long passes
41% (26/63)33% (17/52)
Passes in final third
44% (35/80)54% (45/84)
Crosses
12% (2/17)24% (6/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.281.13
Throw-ins
2121
Fouls
915
Tackles
62% (8/13)36% (4/11)
Duels won
6254
Clearances
3539
Interceptions
95
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
30
xGOT faced
2.591.00
Goals prevented
1.590.00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Kubler L. , Adamu J. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Asllani F. , Coufal V. (A),
  • 38', Kubler L. , Treu P. ,
  • 45+6', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 48', Makengo J. 🟨,
  • 59', Prass A. , Damar M. ,
  • 60', Schuster J. 🟨,
  • 64', Adamu J. , Matanovic I. ,
  • 64', Grifo V. , Scherhant D. ,
  • 73', Kramaric A. , Lemperle T. ,
  • 73', Avdullahu L. , Promel G. ,
  • 80', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 84', Beste J. , Rosenfelder M. ,
  • 84', Dinkci E. , Holer L. ,
  • 85', Burger W. , Tohumcu U. ,
  • 85', Asllani F. , Bebou I. ,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
45%
Draw
27.2%
Hoffenheim
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 26.1% 31.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.6% 26.6% 30.5%

Freiburg - Hoffenheim Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.17
(2.23)
3.67
(3.65)
3.68
(3.07)
0.6%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Freiburg will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 3 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Freiburg: 46.5%86.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • DC - Hoffenheim (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 25%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 4.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Freiburg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Freiburg could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Manzambi J. (Red Card)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Gendrey V. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Foot Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Freiburg won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:29. (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Freiburg won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:16. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    20.01.2024 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    19.08.2023 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:2
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    Latest results of Freiburg
    24.09.2025 Freiburg - Basel 2:1
    20.09.2025 Werder Bremen - Freiburg 0:3
    13.09.2025 Freiburg - Stuttgart 3:1
    31.08.2025 Köln - Freiburg 4:1
    23.08.2025 Freiburg - Augsburg 1:3
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich18162071:145750
    2Dortmund18116135:171839
    3Hoffenheim17103435:211433
    4Stuttgart18103533:26733
    5RB Leipzig17102533:24932
    6Bayer Leverkusen1792634:25929
    7Eintracht Frankfurt1876538:39-127
    8Freiburg1866629:31-224
    9Union Berlin1866624:27-324
    10FC Koln1855827:30-320
    11B. Monchengladbach1855823:29-620
    12Wolfsburg1854927:38-1119
    13Werder Bremen1746721:34-1318
    14Hamburger SV1745817:27-1017
    15Augsburg18441020:35-1516
    16Heidenheim18341117:39-2213
    17Mainz18261018:31-1312
    18St. Pauli17331116:31-1512

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga