Freiburg vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Freiburg - Hoffenheim
Result
3:2
19/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 30
  • Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, Startimes Sports Focus
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Extra 3
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 6
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandViaplay
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 5
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.65
Ball Possession
39%61%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
66
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Passes
78% (255/326)85% (419/495)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.411.65
xG on target (xGOT)
2.211.48
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
66
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
812
Shots outside the Box
47
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
26
Touches in opposition box
2429
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1314
Passes
78% (255/326)85% (419/495)
Long passes
49% (25/51)48% (26/54)
Passes in final third
66% (68/103)76% (111/146)
Crosses
27% (3/11)28% (7/25)
Expected assists (xA)
0.991.17
Fouls
1413
Tackles
75% (6/8)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4550
Clearances Total
3421
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.482.21
Goals prevented
-0.52-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Holer L. ⚽, Manzambi J. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Doan R. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
  • 39', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 45+2', 2 - 1, Bulter M. ⚽,
  • 45+5', 2 - 2, Kramaric A. ⚽, Bulter M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Nsoki S. ↓, Geiger D. ↑,
  • 57', 3 - 2, Holer L. ⚽, Grifo V. (A),
  • 59', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 61', Gendrey V. ↓, Kaderabek P. ↑,
  • 61', Toure B. ↓, Orban G. ↑,
  • 68', Tabakovic H. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
  • 69', Manzambi J. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
  • 69', Grifo V. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
  • 73', Holer L. 🟨,
  • 74', Doan R. 🟨,
  • 76', Bischof T. 🟨,
  • 81', Bischof T. ↓, Becker F. O. ↑,
  • 82', Kubler L. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
  • 88', Doan R. ↓, Sildillia K. ↑,
  • 88', Osterhage P. ↓, Hofler N. ↑,

Chances of winning


Freiburg
49.6%		Draw
25.5%		Hoffenheim
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 25.4% 25.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 25.5% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Freiburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
    •

    Freiburg - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.93 ↓
    (1.95)    		 3.75 ↓
    (3.79)    		 3.85 ↑
    (3.8)    		 4.4%
    (4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Freiburg - Hoffenheim?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Freiburg (votes: 1 - 50%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Users Predictions: Freiburg will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 14).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 3.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Freiburg will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Adamu J. (Yellow Cards) Atubolu N. (Shoulder Injury) Gulde M. (Lacking Match Fitness) Kyereh D. (Knee Injury) Ogbus B. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Moerstedt M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ostigard L. (Red Card) Promel G. (Knee Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Rohl M. (Heel Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Freiburg won 9 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 38:30 (average 1.9:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Freiburg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15:14 (average 1.7:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Freiburg - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    20.01.2024 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    19.08.2023 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:2
    12.03.2023 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 2:1
    18.09.2022 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 0:0
    Latest results of Freiburg
    12.04.2025 Borussia Mönchengladbach - Freiburg 1:2 ✺
    05.04.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:4 ✺
    30.03.2025 Freiburg - Union Berlin 1:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Mainz - Freiburg 2:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Freiburg - RB Leipzig 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1 ✺
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0 ✺
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich11006:063
    2Union Berlin00000:000
    3Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig10010:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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