Hoffenheim vs Freiburg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
3:0
14/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 22
  • Referee: Exner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaPlay Diema Xtra
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision
japanJapanDAZN Japan
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
mexicoMexicoIzzi TV, Sky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaPrima Sport PPV 3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaMBC Shahid, Shahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, True ID, True Premier Football 5
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.800.78
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
2513
Shots on target
73
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
66
Passes
84% (440/522)70% (233/331)
Yellow cards
31
Expected goals (xG)
1.800.78
xG on target (xGOT)
2.390.37
Total shots
2513
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
96
Blocked shots
94
Shots inside the box
1410
Shots outside the box
113
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
20
Big chances
20
Corner kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
4425
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
22
Free kicks
68
Passes
84% (440/522)70% (233/331)
Long passes
51% (31/61)43% (29/68)
Passes in final third
75% (117/155)53% (52/99)
Crosses
25% (7/28)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.830.59
Throw ins
2014
Fouls
86
Tackles
63% (10/16)67% (4/6)
Duels won
4934
Clearances
3839
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
34
xGOT faced
0.372.39
Goals prevented
0.37-0.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 9', Toure B. 🟨,
  • 24', Promel G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 46', Irie C. ↓, Rosenfelder M. ↑,
  • 46', 1 - 0, Asllani F. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
  • 51', 2 - 0, Kabak O. ⚽, Coufal V. (A),
  • 53', Kabak O. 🟨,
  • 55', Osterhage P. 🟨,
  • 57', Rosenfelder M. ↓, Jung A. ↑,
  • 57', Suzuki Y. ↓, Matanovic I. ↑,
  • 72', Scherhant D. ↓, Grifo V. ↑,
  • 73', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
  • 74', Asllani F. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
  • 86', Kramaric A. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
  • 88', Treu P. ↓, Beste J. ↑,
  • 90+4', Coufal V. ↓, Gendrey V. ↑,
  • 90+5', 3 - 0, Gendrey V. ⚽, Prass A. (A),

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
54.7%		Draw
24.1%		Freiburg
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 24.1% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.4% 23.3% 22.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • Freiburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Freiburg than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
    •

    Hoffenheim - Freiburg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.75 ↓
    (1.81)    		 3.95
    (3.95)    		 4.53 ↑
    (4.07)    		 4.7%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Freiburg?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Hoffenheim (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Hoffenheim (1.92) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Hoffenheim (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Hoffenheim (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Hoffenheim will win (47 of 55 users predict this - 85.45%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 76.13% – 94.77%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (24 of 25 users predict this - 96%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 29 high ROI users predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 28 - 96.6%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 0.
    • Hoffenheim is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Freiburg's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Hoffenheim is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Akpoguma K. (Red Card) Bernardo (Injury) Campbell C. (Ankle Injury) Hlozek A. (Calf Injury) Lemperle T. (Ankle Injury) Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Freiburg: Kyereh D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Manzambi J. (Red Card)
    • There are questionable in Freiburg: Kubler L. (Hamstring Injury) Lienhart P. (Abdominal strain)
    • We predict that Hoffenheim will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:38. (average 1.5:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:20. (average 1.3:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Freiburg were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 1:1
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    08.12.2024 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:1
    20.01.2024 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2
    19.08.2023 Hoffenheim - Freiburg 1:2
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    08.02.2026 Bayern Munich - Hoffenheim 5:1 ✺
    31.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Union Berlin 3:1 ✺
    27.01.2026 Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim 0:2 ✺
    24.01.2026 Eintracht Frankfurt - Hoffenheim 1:3 ✺
    17.01.2026 Hoffenheim - Bayer Leverkusen 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Freiburg
    10.02.2026 Hertha Berlin - Freiburg 1:2 ✺
    07.02.2026 Freiburg - Werder Bremen 1:0 ✺
    01.02.2026 Stuttgart - Freiburg 1:0 ✺
    29.01.2026 Lille - Freiburg 1:0 ✺
    25.01.2026 Freiburg - Köln 2:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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