Result
0:2
27/01/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 16
- Referee: Storks S. (Ger)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.61 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (410/504) | 74% (280/378) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.61 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 18 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (410/504) | 74% (280/378) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 57% (41/72) | 24% (15/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (104/144) | 61% (78/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.02 | 1.03 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 69% (9/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 49 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 0.32 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.78 | -0.68 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 44', 0 - 1, Prass A. ⚽, Kramaric A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', Milosevic J. 🟨,
- 52', Burger W. 🟥,
- 54', 0 - 2, Promel G. ⚽,
- 59', Kramaric A. ↓, Kabak O. ↑,
- 59', Deman O. ↓, Mbangula S. ↑,
- 59', Njinmah J. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
- 73', Stage J. 🟨,
- 76', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 76', Puertas C. ↓, Covic P. ↑,
- 76', Malatini J. ↓, Topp K. ↑,
- 90+4', Baumann O. 🟨,
- 90+6', Prass A. ↓, Akpoguma K. ↑,
- 90+7', Bernardo 🟨,
Chances of winning
Werder Bremen
25.7% | Draw
25.6% | Hoffenheim
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Werder Bremen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Werder Bremen's form might have worsened.Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hoffenheim's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (+8.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Werder Bremen, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hoffenheim, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↑
(2.78) |
3.73 ↓
(3.75) |
1.96 ↓
(2.35) |
4.8%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Hoffenheim (1.45) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 8 - 80%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Werder (1.90) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 7 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- DC - Hoffenheim (1.29) (votes: 8 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH +1.5 - Hoffenheim (3.34) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH 0 - Hoffenheim (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.75 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Hoffenheim will win
(63 of 75 users predict this - 84%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.7% – 92.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hoffenheim will win (34 of 37 users predict this - 91.89%) 🥇 Gold Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 55 high ROI users predict this event. Werder (votes: 6 - 10.9%). Hoffenheim (votes: 48 - 87.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 1.8%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Postponed due to bad weather.
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Werder won 1.
- Recent form of Werder has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Hoffenheim is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Werder: Agu F.
(Ankle Injury)
Backhaus M.
(Eye injury)
Boniface V.
(Knee Injury)
Weiser M.
(Knee Injury)
Wober M.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Hoffenheim: Hajdari A.
(Yellow Cards)
Hlozek A.
(Calf Injury)
Machida K.
(Knee Injury)
Toure B.
(International duty)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Werder won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 23:39. (average 1.2:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Werder won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 12:24. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Werder Bremen won against Hoffenheim?
Werder Bremen has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Werder Bremen?
Hoffenheim has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Werder Bremen - Hoffenheim were as follows:
01.08.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Hoffenheim
0:3
01.08.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Hoffenheim
0:1
16.02.2025
Werder Bremen
-
Hoffenheim
1:3
29.09.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Werder Bremen
3:4
03.03.2024
Hoffenheim
-
Werder Bremen
2:1
Latest results of Werder Bremen
Latest results of Hoffenheim
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 27 | 22 | 4 | 1 | 97:25 | 72 | 70 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 58:28 | 30 | 61 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 56:36 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 53:35 | 18 | 50 |
| 5 | Hoffenheim | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 54:39 | 15 | 50 |
| 6 | Bayer Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 52:36 | 16 | 46 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 50:51 | -1 | 38 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 9 | Union Berlin | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 31:46 | -15 | 31 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 33:50 | -17 | 31 |
| 11 | Mainz | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 33:42 | -9 | 30 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 31:40 | -9 | 30 |
| 13 | B. Monchengladbach | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 33:46 | -13 | 29 |
| 14 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:47 | -17 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Koln | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 38:47 | -9 | 26 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 24:44 | -20 | 24 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 35:57 | -22 | 21 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 27 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 27:61 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
