Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune vs Reilly Opelka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
22/03/2025 at 15:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Miami (USA), hard - 1/32-finals

Match Stats

Aces
121
Double Faults
54
1st Serve Percentage
64%68%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (45/60)76% (48/63)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)67% (20/30)
Break Points Saved
67% (2/3)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
24% (15/63)25% (15/60)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (10/30)41% (14/34)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)33% (1/3)
Winners
1741
Unforced Errors
237
Service Points Won
70% (65/93)73% (68/93)
Return Points Won
27% (25/93)30% (28/93)
Total Points Won
48% (90/186)52% (96/186)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
93% (14/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)7% (1/15)
Total Games Won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
66.6%
Reilly Opelka
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
70.6% 29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.1% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
  • Reilly Opelka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Reilly Opelka than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Reilly Opelka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.43
    (1.33)

    2.82
    (3.18)
    5.4%
    (6.9%)
    What is the prediction for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Reilly Opelka?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Opelka will win (votes: 5 - 35.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 39.2%89.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rune is ranked ATP: 12. Opelka is ranked ATP: 114.
    • Rune is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Opelka is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Opelka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Rune is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Reilly Opelka
    Draw
    Singles - Qualification

    Semi-finals
    1Buse I. (1)Echargui M.2 : 1
    2Pinnington Jones J.Wong C. (21)1 : 2
    3Hanfmann Y. (2)Riedi L.2 : 0
    4Willwerth B. (WC)van Assche L. (13)0 : 2
    5Tirante T. A. (3)Dedura D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Landaluce M.McDonald M. (22)
    7Vukic A. (4)Harris B.
    8Basavareddy N.Barrios Vera T. (18)
    9Garin C. (5)Draxl L.1 : 2
    10Clarke J.Mochizuki S. (24)2 : 1
    11Walton A. (6)Rodesch C.
    12Sweeny D.Hijikata R. (19)
    13Bellucci M. (7)Jarry N.
    14Cassone M. (Alt)Maestrelli F. (17)
    15Kypson P. (8)Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    16Bolt A.Shimabukuro S. (16)1 : 2
    17Blockx A. (9)Tseng C. H.2 : 0
    18Mejia N.O'Connell C. (23)0 : 2
    19Burruchaga R. A. (10)Fery A.1 : 2
    20Bu Y.Schoolkate T. (20)2 : 0
    21Svajda Z. (11)Smith C.
    22Merida Aguilar D.Svrcina D. (14)
    23Jodar R. (12)Dhamne M. (WC)
    24Miguel G. (WC)Bonzi B. (15)

    Final
    1Buse I. (1)Wong C. (21)
    2Hanfmann Y. (2)van Assche L. (13)
    3Tirante T. A. (3)TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5Draxl L.Clarke J.
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Basilashvili N.Shimabukuro S. (16)
    9Blockx A. (9)O'Connell C. (23)
    10Fery A.Bu Y.
    11TBD #21TBD #22
    12TBD #23TBD #24