Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune vs Valentin Vacherot – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Shanghai Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Valentin Vacherot
Result
1:2
09/10/2025 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
czech-republicCzech-republicOneplay, Premier Sport 3
hungaryHungaryArena 4

Match Stats

Aces
127
Double Faults
41
1st Serve Percentage
68%69%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (49/67)65% (55/84)
2nd Serve Points Won
39% (12/31)50% (19/38)
Break Points Saved
50% (2/4)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
37% (31/84)28% (19/67)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (19/38)58% (18/31)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)50% (2/4)
Winners
4932
Unforced Errors
2522
Net Points Won
78% (21/27)50% (22/44)
Service Points Won
63% (62/98)60% (73/121)
Return Points Won
40% (48/121)37% (36/98)
Total Points Won
50% (110/219)50% (109/219)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
87% (13/15)80% (12/15)
Return Games Won
20% (3/15)13% (2/15)
Total Games Won
53% (16/30)47% (14/30)

Chances of winning


Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
75%
Valentin Vacherot
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73% 27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.2% 25.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Valentin Vacherot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Vacherot than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Valentin Vacherot Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.28
    (1.32)

    3.77
    (3.56)
    4.5%
    (4.2%)
    What is the prediction for Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Valentin Vacherot?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Rune will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%). Vacherot will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rune: 32.6%78.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Rune is ranked ATP: 11. Vacherot is ranked ATP: 204.
    • Rune is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Vacherot is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, Rune is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Valentin Vacherot
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/64-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Bye
    2Tien L.Kecmanovic M.2 : 1
    3Cazaux A.Martinez P.2 : 1
    4ByeNorrie C. (30)
    5Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Bye
    6Arnaldi M.Sakamoto R. (Q)2 : 0
    7Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)Svrcina D. (Q)0 : 1
    8ByeMedvedev D. (16)
    9Khachanov K. (9)Bye
    10Kovacevic A.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    11Van De Zandschulp B.Borges N.0 : 2
    12ByeVukic A. (LL)
    13Nakashima B. (29)Bye
    14Majchrzak K.Quinn E.2 : 0
    15Ugo Carabelli C.Atmane T. (RET.)0 : 0
    16ByeDe Minaur A. (7)
    17Zverev A. (3)Bye
    18Royer V. (Q)Navone M.2 : 1
    19Rinderknech A.Medjedovic H. (RET.)0 : 1
    20ByeMichelsen A. (28)
    21Shapovalov D. (23)Bye
    22Dzumhur D.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    23McDonald M. (LL)Halys Q.0 : 2
    24ByeLehecka J. (15)
    25Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Bye
    26Giron M.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    27Zhou Y. (WC)De Jong J.1 : 2
    28ByeMensik J. (17)
    29Darderi L. (26)Bye
    30Bu Y.Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    31Comesana F.Blanchet U. (Q)2 : 0
    32ByeMusetti L. (8)
    33Shelton B. (6)Bye
    34Goffin D.Muller A.2 : 1
    35Opelka R.Bonzi B.0 : 2
    36ByeDiallo G. (31)
    37Cerundolo F. (19)Bye
    38Mannarino A.Berrettini M.2 : 0
    39Korda S.Bergs Z.0 : 2
    40ByeRuud C. (11)
    41Rublev A. (13)Bye
    42Nishioka Y. (Q)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    43Munar J.Fucsovics M.2 : 1
    44ByeCobolli F. (22)
    45Tiafoe F. (25)Bye
    46Sonego L.Hanfmann Y. (Q)1 : 2
    47Cilic M.Basilashvili N. (Q)2 : 0
    48ByeDjokovic N. (4)
    49Fritz T. (5)Bye
    50Marozsan F.Wawrinka S. (WC)2 : 1
    51Ofner S. (PR)Nardi L.1 : 2
    52ByeMpetshi Perricard G. (32)
    53Humbert U. (21)Bye
    54Thompson J.Holmgren A. (Q)2 : 1
    55Zhang Z. (WC)Baez S.1 : 2
    56ByeRune H. (10)
    57Bublik A. (14)Bye
    58Djere L.Vacherot V. (Q)0 : 2
    59Walton A.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    60ByeMachac T. (20)
    61Griekspoor T. (27)Bye
    62Brooksby J. (PR)Trotter J. K. (Q)2 : 0
    63Schoolkate T. (Q)Altmaier D.0 : 2
    64ByeSinner J. (2)

    1/32-finals
    1Moutet C. (33)Tien L.1 : 2
    2Cazaux A.Norrie C. (30)1 : 2
    3Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Arnaldi M.2 : 0
    4Svrcina D.Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    5Khachanov K. (9)Shang J.0 : 2
    6Borges N.Vukic A.2 : 0
    7Nakashima B. (29)Majchrzak K.0 : 2
    8Ugo Carabelli C.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    9Zverev A. (3)Royer V.2 : 0
    10Rinderknech A.Michelsen A. (28)2 : 0
    11Shapovalov D. (23)O'Connell C.2 : 0
    12Halys Q.Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    13Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Tabilo A.2 : 0
    14De Jong J.Mensik J. (17)2 : 1
    15Darderi L. (26)Bu Y.2 : 0
    16Comesana F.Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    17Shelton B. (6)Goffin D.0 : 2
    18Bonzi B.Diallo G. (31)0 : 2
    19Cerundolo F. (19)Mannarino A.2 : 0
    20Bergs Z.Ruud C. (RET.) (11)1 : 1
    21Rublev A. (13)Nishioka Y.1 : 2
    22Munar J.Cobolli F. (22)2 : 0
    23Tiafoe F. (25)Hanfmann Y.1 : 2
    24Cilic M.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    25Fritz T. (5)Marozsan F.2 : 1
    26Nardi L.Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    27Humbert U. (21)Thompson J.2 : 0
    28Baez S.Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    29Bublik A. (14)Vacherot V.1 : 2
    30Bellucci M.Machac T. (20)0 : 2
    31Griekspoor T. (27)Brooksby J.2 : 1
    32Altmaier D.Sinner J. (2)0 : 2

    1/16-finals
    1Tien L.Norrie C. (30)2 : 0
    2Davidovich Fokina A. (18)Medvedev D. (16)0 : 2
    3Shang J.Borges N.1 : 2
    4Majchrzak K.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    5Zverev A. (3)Rinderknech A.1 : 2
    6Shapovalov D. (23)Lehecka J. (15)0 : 2
    7Auger-Aliassime F. (12)De Jong J.2 : 0
    8Darderi L. (26)Musetti L. (8)0 : 2
    9Goffin D. (RET.)Diallo G. (31)0 : 0
    10Cerundolo F. (19)Bergs Z.0 : 2
    11Nishioka Y.Munar J.1 : 2
    12Hanfmann Y.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    13Fritz T. (5)Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)0 : 2
    14Humbert U. (21)Rune H. (10)0 : 2
    15Vacherot V.Machac T. (RET.) (20)1 : 0
    16Griekspoor T. (27)Sinner J. (RET.) (2)1 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Tien L.Medvedev D. (16)1 : 2
    2Borges N.De Minaur A. (7)0 : 2
    3Rinderknech A.Lehecka J. (15)2 : 0
    4Auger-Aliassime F. (12)Musetti L. (8)2 : 0
    5Diallo G. (31)Bergs Z.1 : 2
    6Munar J.Djokovic N. (4)1 : 2
    7Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)Rune H. (10)1 : 2
    8Vacherot V.Griekspoor T. (27)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Medvedev D. (16)De Minaur A. (7)2 : 0
    2Rinderknech A.Auger-Aliassime F. (12)2 : 0
    3Bergs Z.Djokovic N. (4)0 : 2
    4Rune H. (10)Vacherot V.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Medvedev D. (16)Rinderknech A.
    2Djokovic N. (4)Vacherot V.

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2