Holstein Kiel vs Dynamo Dresden – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga
Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
  • Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaRTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyRTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 8, Nova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 6
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 2
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
turkeyTurkeyTivibu Spor 4
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.07
Ball Possession
49%51%
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
79
Passes
78% (356/455)79% (371/467)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
0.861.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.501.22
Total shots
1219
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
26
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
411
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
79
Touches in opposition box
2022
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
87
Passes
78% (356/455)79% (371/467)
Long passes
41% (26/64)43% (27/63)
Passes in final third
62% (53/86)59% (76/129)
Crosses
37% (7/19)17% (4/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.931.34
Throw-ins
1721
Fouls
78
Tackles
64% (9/14)67% (6/9)
Duels won
4847
Clearances
4323
Interceptions
816
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
72
xGOT faced
1.221.50
Goals prevented
0.22-0.50

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 5', Pauli J. 🟨,
  • 12', 0 - 1, Vermeij V. ⚽, Herrmann L. (A),
  • 29', 1 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 51', 2 - 1, Nekic I. ⚽, Niehoff N. (A),
  • 54', Boeder L. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
  • 63', Niehoff N. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
  • 64', Kapralik A. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
  • 74', Pauli J. ↓, Kammerknecht C. ↑,
  • 74', Herrmann L. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
  • 75', Nekic I. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
  • 75', Skrzybski S. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
  • 84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
  • 84', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
  • 88', Wagner R. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Holstein Kiel
51.1%		Draw
25.6%		Dynamo Dresden
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.7% 26.4% 27.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 25.2% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel's performance.
  • Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
    •

    Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.85 ↓
    (2.05)    		 3.68 ↑
    (3.56)    		 4.03 ↑
    (3.36)    		 6%
    (6.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 2.5% – 64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Dynamo Dresden (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Holstein Kiel is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Foot Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L. (Knee Injury) Marx J. (Ankle Injury) Menzel T. (Injury) Risch S. (Shoulder Injury) Zickler J. (Shoulder Injury)
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 1.8:0.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    13.12.2025 Magdeburg - Holstein Kiel 3:3 ✺
    07.12.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Holstein Kiel 1:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Hamburger SV - Holstein Kiel 1:2 ✺
    29.11.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hertha Berlin 0:1 ✺
    23.11.2025 Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel 4:1 ✺
    Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
    12.12.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Eintracht Braunschweig 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Kaiserslautern - Dynamo Dresden 3:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf 2:1 ✺
    21.11.2025 Bochum - Dynamo Dresden 1:2 ✺
    07.11.2025 Dynamo Dresden - Nürnberg 1:2 ✺
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke26156537:231451
    2Darmstadt261310348:291949
    3Elversberg26146644:281648
    4Paderborn26146643:301348
    5Hannover26137645:341146
    6Hertha Berlin26118737:31641
    7Kaiserslautern261241045:38740
    8Karlsruher SC26971040:50-1034
    9Bochum2689936:33333
    10Nurnberg26961134:37-333
    11Dusseldorf26941324:35-1131
    12SG Dynamo Dresden26781144:44029
    13Braunschweig26851329:43-1429
    14Greuther Furth26851339:56-1729
    15Arminia Bielefeld26771238:36228
    16Preussen Munster26681230:44-1426
    17Holstein Kiel26671331:40-925
    18Magdeburg26731636:49-1324

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga

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