Result
2:1
20/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 17
- Referee: Schroder R. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | RTL Nitro, Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | RTL Nitro, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 8, Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2, Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 5, Arena Sport 1 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Sport TV2 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Thailand | beIN Connect |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 4 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (356/455) | 79% (371/467) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 1.22 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (356/455) | 79% (371/467) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 41% (26/64) | 43% (27/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (53/86) | 59% (76/129) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 17% (4/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.50 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.22 | -0.50 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', Pauli J. 🟨,
- 12', 0 - 1, Vermeij V. ⚽, Herrmann L. (A),
- 29', 1 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Skrzybski S. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 1, Nekic I. ⚽, Niehoff N. (A),
- 54', Boeder L. ↓, Froling N. ↑,
- 63', Niehoff N. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
- 64', Kapralik A. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
- 74', Pauli J. ↓, Kammerknecht C. ↑,
- 74', Herrmann L. ↓, Sapina V. ↑,
- 75', Nekic I. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
- 75', Skrzybski S. ↓, Knudsen M. ↑,
- 84', Hauptmann N. ↓, Kutschke S. ↑,
- 84', Vermeij V. ↓, Daferner C. ↑,
- 88', Wagner R. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
51.1% | Draw
25.6% | Dynamo Dresden
23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Holstein Kiel's performance.Dynamo Dresden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dynamo Dresden than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.05) |
3.68 ↑
(3.56) |
4.03 ↑
(3.36) |
6%
(6.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Dynamo Dresden will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 2.5% – 64.1%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Dynamo Dresden (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Dynamo Dresden (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Dynamo Dresden (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 3. Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 4.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Dynamo Dresden may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Holstein Kiel has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Holstein Kiel is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A.
(Foot Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Dynamo Dresden: Grill L.
(Knee Injury)
Marx J.
(Ankle Injury)
Menzel T.
(Injury)
Risch S.
(Shoulder Injury)
Zickler J.
(Shoulder Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 22:5. (average 1.8:0.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:3. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Dynamo Dresden?
Holstein Kiel has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Dynamo Dresden won against Holstein Kiel?
Dynamo Dresden has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Dynamo Dresden were as follows:
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Dynamo Dresden
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 31 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 48:28 | 20 | 64 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 54:38 | 16 | 58 |
| 3 | Hannover | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 53:37 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 55:35 | 20 | 56 |
| 5 | Darmstadt | 31 | 13 | 12 | 6 | 55:40 | 15 | 51 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 31 | 13 | 9 | 9 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 46 |
| 8 | Nurnberg | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 40:41 | -1 | 41 |
| 9 | Karlsruher SC | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 48:59 | -11 | 40 |
| 10 | Bochum | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 45:44 | 1 | 39 |
| 11 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 40:43 | -3 | 38 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 50:50 | 0 | 35 |
| 13 | Arminia Bielefeld | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 35 |
| 14 | Braunschweig | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 34:50 | -16 | 34 |
| 15 | Dusseldorf | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 30:48 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Magdeburg | 31 | 10 | 3 | 18 | 48:56 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Greuther Furth | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 44:65 | -21 | 33 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 31 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34:54 | -20 | 28 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
