Result
1:1
28/02/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 24
- Referee: Wienefeld J. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, ESPN |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 5 |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 2 |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.94 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/391) | 81% (280/347) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.64 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (316/391) | 81% (280/347) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 34% (12/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (46/79) | 72% (78/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 14% (3/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 0.45 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 32', Nekic I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 59', Pherai I. ↓, Gunther L. ↑,
- 59', Mickelson N. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
- 61', 0 - 1, Mokwa Ntusu D. ⚽, Gunther L. (A),
- 63', 1 - 1, Therkelsen J. ⚽,
- 71', Kelati A. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
- 73', Gyamerah J. ↓, Keidel F. ↑,
- 73', Mokwa Ntusu D. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
- 79', Tohumcu U. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 79', Kapralik A. ↓, Davidsen K. ↑,
- 80', Ivezic M. 🟨,
- 84', Keidel F. 🟨,
- 86', Conde A. 🟨,
- 89', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
- 90+2', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
Chances of winning
Holstein Kiel
29.4% | Draw
26.2% | Elversberg
44.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)The ML Model estimate for Holstein Kiel aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Holstein Kiel - Elversberg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.23 ↑
(3.18) |
3.59 ↓
(3.62) |
2.12 ↓
(2.14) |
6%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Holstein Kiel - Elversberg?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 50%) .
- AH +1.25 - Holstein Kiel (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Elversberg will win
(19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Elversberg will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 20%). Elversberg (votes: 4 - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 15 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )).
- Holstein Kiel has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Elversberg is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
Skrzybski S.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P.
(Knee Injury)
- We predict that Elversberg will win today's game, with odds of 2.15.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 0.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Elversberg?
Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Holstein Kiel?
Elversberg has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Holstein Kiel - Elversberg were as follows:
27.09.2025
Elversberg
-
Holstein Kiel
1:0
16.03.2024
Elversberg
-
Holstein Kiel
0:2
08.10.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Elversberg
1:1
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
Latest results of Elversberg
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 38:24 | 14 | 52 |
| 2 | Elversberg | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 51 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 45:31 | 14 | 51 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 49:30 | 19 | 50 |
| 5 | Hannover | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 46:34 | 12 | 49 |
| 6 | Hertha Berlin | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 42:33 | 9 | 44 |
| 7 | Kaiserslautern | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 45:41 | 4 | 40 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 43:51 | -8 | 37 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 37:37 | 0 | 36 |
| 10 | Bochum | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 38:36 | 2 | 33 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 26:40 | -14 | 31 |
| 12 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 45:46 | -1 | 29 |
| 13 | Braunschweig | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 29:44 | -15 | 29 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 40:59 | -19 | 29 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 39:39 | 0 | 28 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 28 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 27 | 8 | 3 | 16 | 39:50 | -11 | 27 |
| 18 | Preussen Munster | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 31:47 | -16 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
