Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 60% | 40% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (411/488) | 81% (274/337) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.85 | 0.66 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (411/488) | 81% (274/337) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (16/41) | 44% (17/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (111/143) | 59% (41/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 15% (4/26) | 55% (6/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 44% (8/18) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.85 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.66 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Muller M. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 46', Conde A. 🟨,
- 58', Therkelsen J. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
- 64', Petkov L. 🟨,
- 65', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
- 68', Schmahl F. 🟨,
- 69', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
- 76', Gyamerah J. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
- 76', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
- 76', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 81', Knudsen M. 🟨,
- 85', Knudsen M. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 85', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 86', Wagner R. 🟨,
- 90', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
- 90+1', Stange O. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Stange O. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Elversberg
43.6% | Draw
25.7% | Holstein Kiel
30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Elversberg - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.18 ↓
(2.32) |
3.67 ↑
(3.65) |
3.1 ↑
(2.62) |
5.5%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elversberg - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 9).
- Elversberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P.
(Knee Injury)
Pfeiffer L.
(Foot Injury)
Seifert L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Holstein Kiel?
Elversberg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Elversberg?
Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
16.03.2024
Elversberg
-
Holstein Kiel
0:2
08.10.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Elversberg
1:1
Latest results of Elversberg
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Elversberg | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 22 |
| 2 | Schalke | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 21 |
| 3 | Paderborn | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:8 | 7 | 20 |
| 4 | Darmstadt | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 18 |
| 5 | Kaiserslautern | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 18:11 | 7 | 18 |
| 6 | Hannover | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 7 | Karlsruher SC | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Hertha Berlin | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11:10 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Holstein Kiel | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Preussen Munster | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 15:17 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Arminia Bielefeld | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | Braunschweig | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:17 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 | Dusseldorf | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:17 | -8 | 10 |
| 14 | Greuther Furth | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 10 |
| 15 | Nurnberg | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 14:18 | -4 | 7 |
| 17 | Bochum | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Magdeburg | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7:19 | -12 | 4 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
