Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.69
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
84% (411/488)81% (274/337)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.66
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2725
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
84% (411/488)81% (274/337)
Long passes
39% (16/41)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
78% (111/143)59% (41/69)
Crosses
15% (4/26)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.63
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1114
Tackles
44% (8/18)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4945
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.660.85
Goals prevented
0.66-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Muller M. , Harres P. ,
  • 46', Conde A. 🟨,
  • 58', Therkelsen J. , Skrzybski S. ,
  • 64', Petkov L. 🟨,
  • 65', Conde A. , Schmahl F. ,
  • 68', Schmahl F. 🟨,
  • 69', Bernhardsson A. , Rosenboom L. ,
  • 76', Gyamerah J. , Mickelson N. ,
  • 76', Zimmerschied T. , Malanga J. ,
  • 76', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 81', Knudsen M. 🟨,
  • 85', Knudsen M. , Wagner R. ,
  • 85', Kapralik A. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 86', Wagner R. 🟨,
  • 90', Ebnoutalib Y. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+1', Stange O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Stange O. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Elversberg
43.6%
Draw
25.7%
Holstein Kiel
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 25.2% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 23.8% 33.1%

Elversberg - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.18
(2.32)
3.67
(3.65)
3.1
(2.62)
5.5%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elversberg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 9).
    • Elversberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    16.03.2024 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    08.10.2023 Holstein Kiel - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke15111320:81234
    2Elversberg1593329:141530
    3Darmstadt1585226:151129
    4Paderborn1592422:16629
    5Hannover1584329:20928
    6Kaiserslautern1582527:18926
    7Hertha Berlin1582517:12526
    8Karlsruher SC1563623:27-421
    9Bochum1561821:20119
    10Preussen Munster1554621:24-319
    11Nurnberg1554617:21-419
    12Arminia Bielefeld1552826:23317
    13Holstein Kiel1544715:18-316
    14Braunschweig1542915:26-1114
    15Dusseldorf1542913:25-1214
    16Greuther Furth1542922:39-1714
    17SG Dynamo Dresden1534821:29-813
    18Magdeburg15411015:24-913

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga