Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Waldstadion Kaiserlinde (Spiesen-Elversberg).

2. Bundesliga - Round 7
Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 8
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	DAZN / App
Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.00	0.69
Ball Possession
60%	40%
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
4	3
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	4
Passes
84% (411/488)	81% (274/337)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00	0.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.85	0.66
Total shots
19	12
Shots on target
4	3
Shots off target
10	6
Blocked Shots
5	3
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
9	4
Touches in opposition box
27	25
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
84% (411/488)	81% (274/337)
Long passes
39% (16/41)	44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
78% (111/143)	59% (41/69)
Crosses
15% (4/26)	55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.54	0.63
Throw-ins
19	21
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
44% (8/18)	50% (7/14)
Duels won
49	45
Clearances
13	35
Interceptions
6	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	1
xGOT faced
0.66	0.85
Goals prevented
0.66	-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Muller M. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
46', Conde A. 🟨,
58', Therkelsen J. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
64', Petkov L. 🟨,
65', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
68', Schmahl F. 🟨,
69', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
76', Gyamerah J. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
76', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
76', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
81', Knudsen M. 🟨,
85', Knudsen M. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
85', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
86', Wagner R. 🟨,
90', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
90+1', Stange O. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Stange O. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Elversberg
43.6%

Draw
25.7%

Holstein Kiel
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.7%

25.2%

35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

23.8%

33.1%

Elversberg - Holstein Kiel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.32)	3.67 ↑ (3.65)	3.1 ↑ (2.62)	5.5% (8.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Elversberg - Holstein Kiel?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2% – 92%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Holstein Kiel (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 9).
Elversberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Holstein Kiel?

Elversberg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Elversberg?

Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:

16.03.2024 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 0:2

08.10.2023 Holstein Kiel - Elversberg 1:1

Latest results of Elversberg

20.09.2025 Eintracht Braunschweig - Elversberg 1:4 ✺

14.09.2025 Elversberg - Dynamo Dresden 2:2 ✺

05.09.2025 Wehen Wiesbaden - Elversberg 0:2 ✺

29.08.2025 Hertha Berlin - Elversberg 0:2 ✺

22.08.2025 Elversberg - Kaiserslautern 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

21.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher 3:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Schalke 04 - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

03.09.2025 Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli 1:1 ✺

30.08.2025 Holstein Kiel - Hannover 1:2 ✺

24.08.2025 Greuther Fürth - Holstein Kiel 0:2 ✺

German 2 Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Darmstadt	21	11	8	2	40:22	18	41
2	Schalke	21	12	4	5	26:16	10	40
3	Paderborn	21	12	3	6	33:24	9	39
4	Elversberg	21	11	5	5	37:23	14	38
5	Hannover	21	11	5	5	38:28	10	38
6	Hertha Berlin	21	9	7	5	28:20	8	34
7	Kaiserslautern	21	9	4	8	35:31	4	31
8	Bochum	21	7	6	8	30:27	3	27
9	Karlsruher SC	21	7	6	8	30:37	-7	27
10	Nurnberg	21	7	5	9	24:30	-6	26
11	Arminia Bielefeld	21	6	6	9	33:30	3	24
12	Holstein Kiel	21	6	6	9	26:29	-3	24
13	Dusseldorf	21	7	3	11	20:31	-11	24
14	Braunschweig	21	7	3	11	23:35	-12	24
15	Magdeburg	21	7	2	12	31:37	-6	23
16	Preussen Munster	21	5	7	9	25:32	-7	22
17	SG Dynamo Dresden	21	5	6	10	31:38	-7	21
18	Greuther Furth	21	5	4	12	32:52	-20	19

      Promotion ~ Bundesliga
      Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
      2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 3. Liga