Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.69
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
84% (411/488)81% (274/337)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.66
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2725
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
84% (411/488)81% (274/337)
Long passes
39% (16/41)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
78% (111/143)59% (41/69)
Crosses
15% (4/26)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.63
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1114
Tackles
44% (8/18)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4945
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.660.85
Goals prevented
0.66-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Muller M. , Harres P. ,
  • 46', Conde A. 🟨,
  • 58', Therkelsen J. , Skrzybski S. ,
  • 64', Petkov L. 🟨,
  • 65', Conde A. , Schmahl F. ,
  • 68', Schmahl F. 🟨,
  • 69', Bernhardsson A. , Rosenboom L. ,
  • 76', Gyamerah J. , Mickelson N. ,
  • 76', Zimmerschied T. , Malanga J. ,
  • 76', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 81', Knudsen M. 🟨,
  • 85', Knudsen M. , Wagner R. ,
  • 85', Kapralik A. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 86', Wagner R. 🟨,
  • 90', Ebnoutalib Y. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+1', Stange O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Stange O. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Elversberg
43.6%
Draw
25.7%
Holstein Kiel
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 25.2% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 23.8% 33.1%

Elversberg - Holstein Kiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.18
(2.32)
3.67
(3.65)
3.1
(2.62)
5.5%
(8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elversberg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 9).
    • Elversberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    16.03.2024 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    08.10.2023 Holstein Kiel - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Schalke17121422:101237
    2Elversberg17104331:151634
    3Darmstadt1796229:171233
    4Paderborn17103428:181033
    5Hannover1785430:22829
    6Hertha Berlin1784521:16528
    7Kaiserslautern1783629:21827
    8Nurnberg1764719:23-422
    9Karlsruher SC1764725:33-822
    10Bochum1763823:22121
    11Holstein Kiel1755720:22-220
    12Preussen Munster1755722:26-420
    13Braunschweig1762920:29-920
    14Arminia Bielefeld1754827:24319
    15Magdeburg17521021:29-817
    16Dusseldorf17521015:27-1217
    17Greuther Furth17431026:44-1815
    18SG Dynamo Dresden17341024:34-1013

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga