Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
- Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Croatia | SportKlub 8 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 8 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | Viaplay |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | DAZN / App |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5 |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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2.00 | 0.69 |
Ball Possession |
---|
60% | 40% |
Total shots |
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19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 4 |
Passes |
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84% (411/488) | 81% (274/337) |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.00 | 0.69 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.85 | 0.66 |
Total shots |
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19 | 12 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 3 |
Shots off target |
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10 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
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5 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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9 | 3 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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1 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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9 | 4 |
Touches in opposition box |
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27 | 25 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 1 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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14 | 11 |
Passes |
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84% (411/488) | 81% (274/337) |
Long passes |
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39% (16/41) | 44% (17/39) |
Passes in final third |
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78% (111/143) | 59% (41/69) |
Crosses |
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15% (4/26) | 55% (6/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.54 | 0.63 |
Throw-ins |
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19 | 21 |
Fouls |
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11 | 14 |
Tackles |
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44% (8/18) | 50% (7/14) |
Duels won |
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49 | 45 |
Clearances |
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13 | 35 |
Interceptions |
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6 | 14 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
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0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
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0.66 | 0.85 |
Goals prevented |
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0.66 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Muller M. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 46', Conde A. 🟨,
- 58', Therkelsen J. ↓, Skrzybski S. ↑,
- 64', Petkov L. 🟨,
- 65', Conde A. ↓, Schmahl F. ↑,
- 68', Schmahl F. 🟨,
- 69', Bernhardsson A. ↓, Rosenboom L. ↑,
- 76', Gyamerah J. ↓, Mickelson N. ↑,
- 76', Zimmerschied T. ↓, Malanga J. ↑,
- 76', Petkov L. ↓, Stange O. ↑,
- 81', Knudsen M. 🟨,
- 85', Knudsen M. ↓, Wagner R. ↑,
- 85', Kapralik A. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
- 86', Wagner R. 🟨,
- 90', Ebnoutalib Y. ↓, Schnellbacher L. ↑,
- 90+1', Stange O. 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Stange O. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Elversberg 43.6% | Draw 25.7% | Holstein Kiel 30.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Elversberg - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.18 ↓ (2.32) |
3.67 ↑ (3.65) |
3.1 ↑ (2.62) |
5.5% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Elversberg - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2% – 92%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 9).
- Elversberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P.
(Knee Injury)
Pfeiffer L.
(Foot Injury)
Seifert L.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M.
(Ankle Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Kelati A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Elversberg won against Holstein Kiel?
Elversberg has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Elversberg?
Holstein Kiel has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
16.03.2024
Elversberg
-
Holstein Kiel
0:2
08.10.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Elversberg
1:1
Latest results of Elversberg
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Darmstadt | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 8 | 16 |
2 | Elversberg | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 16 |
3 | Hannover | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 16 |
4 | Schalke | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8:4 | 4 | 15 |
5 | Paderborn | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 14 |
6 | Karlsruher SC | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Kaiserslautern | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12:7 | 5 | 12 |
8 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13:10 | 3 | 10 |
9 | Preussen Munster | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 10 |
10 | Dusseldorf | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:12 | -6 | 10 |
11 | Holstein Kiel | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:7 | 1 | 9 |
12 | Greuther Furth | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 9 |
13 | Hertha Berlin | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
14 | Braunschweig | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:14 | -6 | 7 |
15 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Nurnberg | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
17 | Bochum | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:12 | -6 | 3 |
18 | Magdeburg | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:15 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga