Elversberg vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German 2 Bundesliga Elversberg - Holstein Kiel
Result
1:0
27/09/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 2. Bundesliga - Round 7
  • Referee: Wagner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 8
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
icelandIcelandViaplay
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 8
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN SPORTS MAX
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
singaporeSingaporebeIN SPORTS MAX
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.69
Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Passes
84% (411/488)81% (274/337)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.69
xG on target (xGOT)
0.850.66
Total shots
1912
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
106
Blocked Shots
53
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
94
Touches in opposition box
2725
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1411
Passes
84% (411/488)81% (274/337)
Long passes
39% (16/41)44% (17/39)
Passes in final third
78% (111/143)59% (41/69)
Crosses
15% (4/26)55% (6/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.540.63
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1114
Tackles
44% (8/18)50% (7/14)
Duels won
4945
Clearances
1335
Interceptions
614
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
0.660.85
Goals prevented
0.66-0.15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Muller M. , Harres P. ,
  • 46', Conde A. 🟨,
  • 58', Therkelsen J. , Skrzybski S. ,
  • 64', Petkov L. 🟨,
  • 65', Conde A. , Schmahl F. ,
  • 68', Schmahl F. 🟨,
  • 69', Bernhardsson A. , Rosenboom L. ,
  • 76', Gyamerah J. , Mickelson N. ,
  • 76', Zimmerschied T. , Malanga J. ,
  • 76', Petkov L. , Stange O. ,
  • 81', Knudsen M. 🟨,
  • 85', Knudsen M. , Wagner R. ,
  • 85', Kapralik A. , Niehoff N. ,
  • 86', Wagner R. 🟨,
  • 90', Ebnoutalib Y. , Schnellbacher L. ,
  • 90+1', Stange O. 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Stange O. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Elversberg
43.6%
Draw
25.7%
Holstein Kiel
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 25.2% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1% 23.8% 33.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Elversberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elversberg than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Elversberg - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.18
    (2.32)
    3.67
    (3.65)
    3.1
    (2.62)
    5.5%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Elversberg - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Elversberg will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Elversberg: 35.2%92%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Elversberg (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: ) and 9).
    • Elversberg is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Holstein Kiel is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Elversberg will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Elversberg: Dragon P. (Knee Injury) Pfeiffer L. (Foot Injury) Seifert L. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Cvjetinovic M. (Ankle Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Kelati A. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Elversberg won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Elversberg won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Elversberg - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    16.03.2024 Elversberg - Holstein Kiel 0:2
    08.10.2023 Holstein Kiel - Elversberg 1:1
    Latest results of Elversberg
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    German 2 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Darmstadt751113:5816
    2Elversberg751112:6616
    3Hannover751113:8516
    4Schalke75028:4415
    5Paderborn74219:4514
    6Karlsruher SC74218:6214
    7Kaiserslautern740312:7512
    8Arminia Bielefeld731313:10310
    9Preussen Munster731312:13-110
    10Dusseldorf73136:12-610
    11Holstein Kiel73048:719
    12Greuther Furth730413:16-39
    13Hertha Berlin72237:618
    14Braunschweig72148:14-67
    15SG Dynamo Dresden71249:13-45
    16Nurnberg71154:10-64
    17Bochum71066:12-63
    18Magdeburg71067:15-83

          Promotion ~ Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 3. Liga