Result
3:1
08/02/2026 at 07:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 2. Bundesliga - Round 21
- Referee: Oldhafer K. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN, FOX Sports |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 3 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 Germany | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Sport TV2, Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4 |
 Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Turkey | S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.66 | 0.75 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/475) | 81% (352/436) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.66 | 0.75 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.30 | 0.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 16 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 55 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (400/475) | 81% (352/436) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (28/54) | 29% (12/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (104/143) | 63% (49/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 44% (7/16) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 3.53 | 0.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 19 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (14/26) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 73 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.68 | 3.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.32 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Kallman B. ⚽, Aseko-Nkili N. (A),
- 14', Zec D. 🟨,
- 21', 2 - 0, Aseko-Nkili N. ⚽,
- 43', Harres P. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Niehoff N. ↓, Jakupovic A. ↑,
- 52', Davidsen K. 🟨,
- 66', Meffert J. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽,
- 72', Saad E. ↓, Thordarson S. T. ↑,
- 72', Oudenne K. ↓, Taibi W. ↑,
- 72', Aseko-Nkili N. ↓, Kokolo W. ↑,
- 77', Okon I. ↓, Blank H. ↑,
- 78', 3 - 1, Thordarson S. T. ⚽, Kokolo W. (A),
- 82', Kallman B. ↓, Nielsen H. ↑,
- 84', Kelati A. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
- 88', Harres P. ↓, Muller M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Hannover
58.2% | Draw
25.1% | Holstein Kiel
16.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hannover has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hannover's performance.Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Holstein Kiel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hannover that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Holstein Kiel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hannover - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↓
(1.88) |
3.75 ↑
(3.5) |
5.63 ↑
(3.98) |
6.2%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Hannover - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Hannover will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 2 - 9.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hannover: 58% – 94.4%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Hannover (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Hannover will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Hannover (votes: 8 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 3.
- Hannover is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Holstein Kiel's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Holstein Kiel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Hannover is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hannover: Chakroun H.
(Inactive)
Matsuda H.
(Illness)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A.
(Foot Injury)
Erras P.
(Concussion)
Johansson C.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tohumcu U.
(Injury)
- We predict that Hannover will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hannover won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hannover won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.5:2.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Hannover won against Holstein Kiel?
Hannover has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Hannover?
Holstein Kiel has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hannover - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
30.08.2025
Holstein Kiel
-
Hannover
1:2
19.05.2024
Hannover
-
Holstein Kiel
1:2
13.01.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Hannover
2:3
16.12.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Hannover
3:0
07.07.2023
Holstein Kiel
-
Hannover
1:2
Latest results of Hannover
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Schalke | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Paderborn | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 40:27 | 13 | 46 |
| 3 | Darmstadt | 24 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 45:28 | 17 | 45 |
| 4 | Elversberg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 43:26 | 17 | 45 |
| 5 | Hannover | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 | Kaiserslautern | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:35 | 5 | 37 |
| 7 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 34:29 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Karlsruher SC | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 9 | Nurnberg | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 31:34 | -3 | 30 |
| 10 | Bochum | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 32:30 | 2 | 29 |
| 11 | Dusseldorf | 24 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 23:34 | -11 | 28 |
| 12 | Arminia Bielefeld | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 27 |
| 13 | Preussen Munster | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 29:36 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | SG Dynamo Dresden | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 35:41 | -6 | 25 |
| 15 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 25 |
| 16 | Braunschweig | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 27:42 | -15 | 25 |
| 17 | Magdeburg | 24 | 7 | 2 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 23 |
| 18 | Greuther Furth | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | 35:55 | -20 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Bundesliga
Promotion ~ Bundesliga (Promotion: )
2. Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 3. Liga
