Result
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
- Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena |
Albania | SuperSport 4 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD |
Australia | beIN Connect |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Azerbaijan | Idman TV |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Sportklub 4 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | Nova Sports 3, Nova Sports Prime |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Iceland | Viaplay |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+ |
Indonesia | iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio |
Japan | SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5 |
Kosovo | SuperSport 4 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Montenegro | Sportklub 4 |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4 |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Papua-new-guinea | TVWan Sports |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Poland | Viaplay |
Portugal | DAZN 2 |
Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | SportKlub 4 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+ |
Slovakia | Sport TV2, Voyo |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+ |
United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
World | Disney+, Onefootball |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.50 | 1.51 |
Ball Possession |
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38% | 62% |
Goal Attempts |
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14 | 16 |
Shots on Goal |
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5 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 7 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
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6 | 8 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
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1 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
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13 | 15 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Fouls |
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15 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 3 |
Throw-ins |
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17 | 21 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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24 | 28 |
Passes |
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75% (235/315) | 86% (447/517) |
Passes in the final third |
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61% (65/106) | 69% (74/107) |
Crosses |
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36% (5/14) | 11% (2/18) |
Tackles |
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54% (13/24) | 69% (9/13) |
Clearances Total |
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35 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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9 | 11 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Pieringer M. ⚽, Kratzig F. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Rosenboom L. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
- 46', Gigovic A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
- 47', 2 - 0, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),
- 54', Komenda M. 🟨,
- 56', Knudsen M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
- 56', Machino S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
- 57', Traore O. H. 🟨,
- 75', Pieringer M. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
- 78', Harres P. 🟨,
- 80', Dorsch N. ↓, Keller T. ↑,
- 81', Skrzybski S. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
- 85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Porath F. (A),
- 88', Busch M. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
- 89', Beck A. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
- 90+3', 3 - 1, Conteh S. ⚽, Zivzivadze B. (A),
Chances of winning
Heidenheim 47.1% | Draw 26.9% | Holstein Kiel 26% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.04 ↑ (1.82) |
3.58 ↓ (3.77) |
3.68 ↓ (4.33) |
4.1% (4.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 54.7% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 2.
- Heidenheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Heidenheim will have a poor advantage in this game.
- There will not play in Heidenheim: Niehues J.
(Muscle Injury)
Schoppner J.
(Hip Injury)
- There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P.
(Concussion)
Geschwill M.
(Muscle Injury)
Kelati A. Y.
(Knee Injury)
Kleine-Bekel C.
(Knee Injury)
Nekic I.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Heidenheim: Wanner P.
(Illness)
- There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tolkin J.
(Thigh Injury)
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 2.4:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Holstein Kiel?
Heidenheim has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Heidenheim?
Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
02.11.2024
Holstein Kiel
-
Heidenheim
1:0
23.04.2023
Heidenheim
-
Holstein Kiel
3:0
16.10.2022
Holstein Kiel
-
Heidenheim
3:1
Latest results of Heidenheim
Latest results of Holstein Kiel
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union Berlin | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Bayern Munich | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Werder Bremen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Hamburger SV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Dortmund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | B. Monchengladbach | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Hoffenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | FC Koln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Mainz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Freiburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | St. Pauli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Augsburg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Stuttgart | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Heidenheim | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | RB Leipzig | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga