Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
  • Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
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argentinaArgentinaDisney+
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asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
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azerbaijanAzerbaijanIdman TV
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brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
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colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 4
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3, Nova Sports Prime
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaJioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
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laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 7
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
montenegroMontenegroSportklub 4
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north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
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philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
polandPolandViaplay
portugalPortugalDAZN 2
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaSportKlub 4
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
slovakiaSlovakiaSport TV2, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandAIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
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usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
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vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.501.51
Ball Possession
38%62%
Goal Attempts
1416
Shots on Goal
54
Shots off Goal
65
Blocked Shots
37
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
35
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Free Kicks
1315
Offsides
11
Fouls
1513
Yellow Cards
13
Throw-ins
1721
Touches in the Opposition Box
2428
Passes
75% (235/315)86% (447/517)
Passes in the final third
61% (65/106)69% (74/107)
Crosses
36% (5/14)11% (2/18)
Tackles
54% (13/24)69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
3522
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 33', 1 - 0, Pieringer M. ⚽, Kratzig F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Rosenboom L. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
  • 46', Gigovic A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
  • 47', 2 - 0, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),
  • 54', Komenda M. 🟨,
  • 56', Knudsen M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
  • 56', Machino S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
  • 57', Traore O. H. 🟨,
  • 75', Pieringer M. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
  • 78', Harres P. 🟨,
  • 80', Dorsch N. ↓, Keller T. ↑,
  • 81', Skrzybski S. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
  • 85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
  • 87', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Porath F. (A),
  • 88', Busch M. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
  • 89', Beck A. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
  • 90+3', 3 - 1, Conteh S. ⚽, Zivzivadze B. (A),

Chances of winning


Heidenheim
47.1%		Draw
26.9%		Holstein Kiel
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.5% 25.4% 22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5% 25.4% 22.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.
  • Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
    •

    Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.04 ↑
    (1.82)    		 3.58 ↓
    (3.77)    		 3.68 ↓
    (4.33)    		 4.1%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 54.7% – 88.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 2.
    • Heidenheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Heidenheim will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • There will not play in Heidenheim: Niehues J. (Muscle Injury) Schoppner J. (Hip Injury)
    • There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Geschwill M. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Wanner P. (Illness)
    • There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tolkin J. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 2.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 1:0
    23.04.2023 Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel 3:0
    16.10.2022 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 3:1
    Latest results of Heidenheim
    09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺
    01.03.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺
    23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺
    20.02.2025 Heidenheim - Copenhagen 1:3 ✺
    16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Holstein Kiel
    08.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺
    02.03.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺
    22.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺
    16.02.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺
    09.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 2:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

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          Bundesliga (Relegation)
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