Heidenheim vs Holstein Kiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/03/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Voith-Arena (Heidenheim).

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 26
Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	SuperSport 4
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 8, TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Azerbaijan	Idman TV
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, TV Cultura, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 1, V Sport Fotbool
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports 3, Nova Sports Prime
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	iNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, RCTI+, Vidio
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 5
Kosovo	SuperSport 4
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 7
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	SportKlub 4
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Sport TV2, Voyo
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	K+, ON Plus, TV 360
World	Disney+, Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	1.51
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Goal Attempts
14	16
Shots on Goal
5	4
Shots off Goal
6	5
Blocked Shots
3	7
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
3	5
Shots inside the Box
8	8
Shots outside the Box
6	8
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
Free Kicks
13	15
Offsides
1	1
Fouls
15	13
Yellow Cards
1	3
Throw-ins
17	21
Touches in the Opposition Box
24	28
Passes
75% (235/315)	86% (447/517)
Passes in the final third
61% (65/106)	69% (74/107)
Crosses
36% (5/14)	11% (2/18)
Tackles
54% (13/24)	69% (9/13)
Clearances Total
35	22
Interceptions
9	11

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Pieringer M. ⚽, Kratzig F. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Rosenboom L. ↓, Bernhardsson A. ↑,
46', Gigovic A. ↓, Harres P. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Zivzivadze B. ⚽, Mainka P. (A),
54', Komenda M. 🟨,
56', Knudsen M. ↓, Holtby L. ↑,
56', Machino S. ↓, Arp J.-F. ↑,
57', Traore O. H. 🟨,
75', Pieringer M. ↓, Scienza L. ↑,
78', Harres P. 🟨,
80', Dorsch N. ↓, Keller T. ↑,
81', Skrzybski S. ↓, Tolkin J. ↑,
85', Arp J.-F. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Harres P. ⚽, Porath F. (A),
88', Busch M. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
89', Beck A. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 1, Conteh S. ⚽, Zivzivadze B. (A),

Chances of winning

Heidenheim
47.1%

Draw
26.9%

Holstein Kiel
26%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.5%

25.4%

22.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

25.4%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Heidenheim's form might have worsened.

Holstein Kiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Heidenheim, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↑ (1.82)	3.58 ↓ (3.77)	3.68 ↓ (4.33)	4.1% (4.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel?

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Heidenheim will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Heidenheim: 54.7% – 88.1%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 2.
Heidenheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Holstein Kiel is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Holstein Kiel could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Heidenheim will have a poor advantage in this game.
There will not play in Heidenheim: Niehues J. (Muscle Injury) Schoppner J. (Hip Injury)
There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Erras P. (Concussion) Geschwill M. (Muscle Injury) Kelati A. Y. (Knee Injury) Kleine-Bekel C. (Knee Injury) Nekic I. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Heidenheim: Wanner P. (Illness)
There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Tolkin J. (Thigh Injury)
Last 15 head-to-head matches Heidenheim won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25:18 (average 1.7:1.2).
Including matches at home between the teams Heidenheim won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 17:8 (average 2.4:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Heidenheim won against Holstein Kiel?

Heidenheim has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Holstein Kiel won against Heidenheim?

Holstein Kiel has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel were as follows:

02.11.2024 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 1:0

23.04.2023 Heidenheim - Holstein Kiel 3:0

16.10.2022 Holstein Kiel - Heidenheim 3:1

Latest results of Heidenheim

09.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Heidenheim 1:1 ✺

01.03.2025 Heidenheim - Borussia Mönchengladbach 0:3 ✺

23.02.2025 RB Leipzig - Heidenheim 2:2 ✺

20.02.2025 Heidenheim - Copenhagen 1:3 ✺

16.02.2025 Heidenheim - Mainz 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Holstein Kiel

08.03.2025 Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart 2:2 ✺

02.03.2025 Union Berlin - Holstein Kiel 0:1 ✺

22.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bayer Leverkusen 0:2 ✺

16.02.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Holstein Kiel 3:1 ✺

09.02.2025 Holstein Kiel - Bochum 2:2 ✺

German Bundesliga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	6:0	6	3
2	Eintracht Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	4:1	3	3
3	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
4	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
5	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	2:1	1	3
7	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	1:0	1	3
8	Dortmund	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
9	St. Pauli	1	0	1	0	3:3	0	1
10	Hamburger SV	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
11	B. Monchengladbach	1	0	1	0	0:0	0	1
12	Bayer Leverkusen	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	1:2	-1	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	0:1	-1	0
15	Freiburg	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
16	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	1:3	-2	0
17	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	1:4	-3	0
18	RB Leipzig	1	0	0	1	0:6	-6	0

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Bundesliga (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga